With positive regression swinging towards Colorado’s way, the Avalanche finally look like a Stanley Cup contender as they are one of the few teams in the league who rank above league average in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their defense will have the opportunity to continue to build on their momentum as they draw a favorable matchup with the Chicago Blackhawks offense continuing to struggle.
At the same time as the Blackhawks and Avs, we also focus on the matchup between the San Jose Sharks and Utah Hockey Club as we have the opportunity to continue to fade the Sharks anemic offense. With Calder Memorial Trophy contender Macklin Celebrini still out with an injury, the Sharks offense has struggled to generate high quality Shots on Goal for the duration of their contests after losing a major source of their offensive production.
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After finishing 31st in the overall standings last season, the Chicago Blackhawks are already on the same trajectory as they continue to struggle on both sides of the ice. Heading into Monday night, the Blackhawks rank near dead last in both Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Other than Connor Bedard, Teuvo Teravainen, and Seth Jones, no one on the Blackhawks roster has generated more than four total points.
Sustaining a high level of offensive play is near impossible for Chicago as their offensive production drastically declines after their top line. That bodes well for the Avs as their goalie play is still shaky with Alexandar Georgiev struggling to wall off low quality Shots on Goal. With Colorado’s back line excelling at smothering opposing shot attempts as their above league average mark in Expected Goals Against indicates, expect another low scoring outing from the Blackhawks offense.
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With the Blackhawks back line playing equally as bad as their offense, the Avs front line will have the opportunity to string together another aggressive outing as one of the league leaders in Expected Goals For in All Situations. That bodes well for Mikko Rantanen in his efforts of netting his fifth goal of the season as has been one of Colorado’s main sources of scoring production. Heading into Monday night’s contest against the Blackhawks, Rantanen ranks top three on the team in Expected Goals and Shots on Goal.
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The only team to finish lower than the Chicago Blackhawks in total points last season was the San Jose Sharks and their offense this year is already dealing with adversity after the injury to their star rookie center Macklin Celebrini. Celebrini was called up this season to help give a boost to the lowly Sharks offense, yet his debut was cut short after suffering an injury in the Sharks first game of the year. Since Celebrini’s injury, the Sharks offense ranks 30th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
Their offensive woes may continue to persist as the Utah Hockey Club have continued to rank in the top half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with their pair of goalies possessing underwhelming Save Percentages, they get the benefit of their back line excelling in coverage by ranking 16th in Shots on Goal Against per Game. With the Sharks offense struggling to pressure opposing goalies with high quality Shots on Goal, bet the under 2.5 on their team total.
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With the Sharks offense unable to pressure the Hockey Club’s back line, that opens the door for Utah to build up a sizable lead as their own offense gets the benefit of exploiting the Sharks gaps in coverage. Heading into Monday, San Jose’s defense ranks 28th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. While Utah’s puck line of -1.5 is worth a wager, ladder bet their alternatives with smaller wagers on -2.5 and -3.5 as well.
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