After entering the year projected to be one of the worst defending units in the league, the Detroit Red Wings have quickly looked the part as they currently rank 28th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and 26th in 5-on-5 Play. With the New Jersey Devils generating high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate, their offense will have the opportunity to rack up goals in a hurry as they pick apart the Red Wings gaps in coverage.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the San Jose Sharks and Los Angeles Kings as generating offensive production should continue to be a struggle for the Sharks lowly offense. Especially since they are still without their star rookie center Macklin Celebrini who was expected to elevate their offense as one of the betting favorites for the Calder Memorial Trophy.
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After finishing last year ranked near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, it was expected the Red Wings would focus on adding defensive production to their back lines in the offseason. Instead of pooling their resources towards patching their weakness, the Red Wings decided to add more firepower to their offense. Their lack of additions on defense have already proven to be costly as the Red Wings currently rank near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and 5-on-5 Play.
That spells potential disaster when having to defend against the Metropolitan leading New Jersey Devils who generate high quality Shots on Goal at an aggressive rate, entering the contest ranked top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations by averaging 3.46 Expected Goals per Game. While the Devils already do a great job at consistently pressuring opposing goalies, they may receive an uptick in offensive possessions to help clear their team total over as they will be forced to match the Red Wings quick pace.
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With the New Jersey Devils in a favorable position to generate high quality shots at the Red Wings net, value in the anytime goalscorer market shades towards their offense. That makes Timo Meier an interesting choice for a wager as he currently ranks second overall for the Devils in Expected Goals by averaging 0.49 Expected Goals per Game. With a potential uptick in offensive positions, Meier will have a great opportunity to net his fifth goal of the year.
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After finishing last year ranked dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations and 29th overall in 5-on-5 Play, the San Jose Sharks offense were expected to improve on their poor marks after calling up their rookie center Macklin Celebrini to help bolster their offensive production. While Macklin proved to make an immediate impact by scoring one goal and generating one assist in their season opener, his debut was cut short after he suffered an injury.
During Celebrini’s absence, the Sharks have continued to struggle with generating high quality Shots on Goal. Their struggles are now poised to persist as they face off against one of the better back lines in the league as the Los Angeles Kings rank top-5 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. With a lack of versatility to help stretch out the Kings coverage, expect the Sharks offense to continue to underwhelm.
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Not only have the Kings defense been one of the best units in the league, but their offense currently ranks 12th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Kevin Fiala has played a major role in their impressive marks on offense as he comfortably leads the team in Expected Goals and Shots on Goal per Game. With the Sharks defense struggling to smother opposing Shots on Goal, back Fiala to continue to generate plenty of shot attempts as one of the focal points of the Kings offense.
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