Since being listed as the betting favorite to win the Stanley Cup heading into the season, the Edmonton Oilers have yet to look the part as they are currently 0-3-0 and at the bottom of the league standings. Their defensive production has been sporadic, ranking well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Fortunately for Edmonton, their back line gets the opportunity to round back into form as they face off against one of the worst offenses in terms of Expected Goals.
Before that takes place, we turn our attention towards the Dallas Stars and San Jose Sharks as the new look Stars offense gets the opportunity to build much needed chemistry by skating circles against one of the worst teams in the league. The Stars have yet to gel together since reconfiguring their top line, ranking near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations three games into their season.
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After bringing back a majority of their core that led the Oilers to a Western Conference Championship and Stanley Cup appearance, it was expected Edmonton would sustain their high level of success right out the gate. That was yet to be the case, entering week two of the regular season ranked below league average in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Their lack of defense is especially alarming, averaging five goals against them per game in the first three games of their season. Fortunately for Edmonton, their back line gets the opportunity to round back into form as they are set to defend against the Philadelphia Flyers who rank near dead last in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. With continuity on their side, as well as a history of success to indicate positive regression is looming, back the Oilers to hold the Flyers anemic offense to less than three total goals.
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While nothing has gone right for the Oilers, their forward Jeff Skinner has been their lone consistent source of production as he has continued to generate a high amount of Shots on Goal. In the first three games of their season, Skinner is averaging four Shots on Goal and over one Expected Goal per game. With the Flyers defense struggling to smother opposing shot attempts as their low mark in Expected Goals Against indicates, back Skinner to continue to send the puck towards the net at a high rate.
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Speaking of rounding back into form, the Dallas Stars new look offense is in desperate need of recapturing last year’s success should they want to keep their undefeated record unblemished. Since reconfiguring their lineup by elevating Wyatt Johnston to their top line, the Stars offense has yet to string together a productive offense performance as they rank near dead last in Expected Goals For.
Luckily for Dallas, their top line gets the opportunity to build on their chemistry as they are set to face off against the lowly San Jose Sharks. After finishing last season with the lowest point total in the league standings, the Sharks are on the same trajectory as last year as they already rank near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their inability to limit the quality of opposing Shots on Goal will be on full display, giving the Stars offense an opportunity to routinely find the back of the net.
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After starting the year with four Shots on Goal, Johnston has been rather conservative in his efforts of applying pressure to goalies by generating only one Shot on Goal in his last two games. With the Sharks back line struggling with limiting the quality of shots towards their net, expect Johnston to take advantage of their lack of coverage and put himself in a favorable scoring position for a majority of the contest.
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