After the NHL’s season opener on Tuesday, ten more teams are ready to make their debut with five games scheduled for Wednesday’s slate. Future hall of famer Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers prepare to make their run back to the Stanley Cup Finals, kicking off their year hosting the reigning Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets.
The Toronto Maple Leafs also look to get off on the right foot, fielding a revamped defense in a favorable matchup against an anemic Montreal Canadiens offense. Austin Matthews also looks to redeem himself after coming up just short of eclipsing 70 total goals scored last year, getting the opportunity to start the scoring early against a defense who ranked near dead last in Expected Goals Against.
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After getting benched for a game against the Vancouver Canucks in round two of the playoffs, Stuart Skinner elevated his level of play and gave the Oilers much needed production in net. While it was not enough to halt the Florida Panthers in a game seven loss in the Stanley Cup Finals, it at least gave the Oilers a sense of security knowing they have a starting caliber goalie in their rotation.
In their season opener against the Winnipeg Jets, Skinner will have the opportunity to continue to build on his momentum as the Jets offense ranked well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations last year. Factor in the Oilers bringing back a bulk of their core that led them to a top-5 mark in Expected Goals Against, and the Jets will have a hard time generating high quality shots on goal. That will result in easier save opportunities for Skinner, feeding towards the over on this prop.
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Speaking of coming into the year with momentum, arguably no one on offense played at a more consistent rate than the Oilers Zach Hyman as he comfortably outpaced the rest of the team in Expected Goals. Hyman finds himself in a favorable position on a nightly basis, getting the benefit of opposing defenses throwing extra coverage at McDavid while he exploits the gaps for high quality shots on net.
Even when against a defense that finished last year ranked in the top-10 in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play, Hyman should continue to find himself with plenty of scoring opportunities as Connor McDavid commands a majority of the Jets attention. To go along with Hyman to score a goal, sprinkle some couch change on his alt goal scoring props for some extra fun in their season opener.
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In his three appearances in last year’s playoffs, arguably no goalie played better than the Toronto Maple Leafs Joseph Woll as he finished the first round averaging just 0.86 Goals Against per Game while generating a Save Percentage of .964. That is a sharp increase from his injury riddled regular season campaign as Woll finished the year with a Save Percentage of .907 while averaging 2.94 Goals Against per Game.
After spending the offseason focusing on adding production to their defense, it’s safe to assume the Maple Leafs will improve on last year’s below average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. That means lower quality shots on goal being fired at Woll, increasing the chances of him making the save. With the Canadiens expected to rank near dead last again in Expected Goals For, back Woll to go over on his saves.
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Turning our attention towards the Maple Leafs offense, Auston Matthews will find himself in a position to generate high quality scoring opportunities as the focal point of Toronto’s offense. The Canadiens defense ranked equally as bad as their offense, finishing last year ranked near dead last in Expected Goals Against. Expect Matthews to kick off the scoring early, starting his run to 70 goals after finishing just one short of the benchmark last year.
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