Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Panthers Offense to Round Back Into Form

After a dominant game six performance, the Edmonton Oilers have done the unimaginable and have stretched the series out to game seven after starting the Stanley Cup Finals down 0-3. It’s been an embarrassing stretch of games for the Florida Panthers, seemingly sleepwalking the start of their past three contests and being forced to play from behind. They can not afford to get off to a slow start in a winner takes all game seven, desperately needing to get back to their roots and prolong their offensive possessions while peppering the lowly Stuart Skinner in the net.

Get more betting insights for the Panthers vs Oilers Game Seven by checking our daily selection of Best NHL Bets Today.

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Edmonton Oilers vs. Florida Panthers - Game 7 Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Stuart Skinner Over 2.5 Goals Against (-135) at BetMGM

While Stuart Skinner does deserve some praise for walling off the Panthers' offense to just one total goal scored in game six, it’s hard to put too much stock into his play after another sluggish Panthers' offensive performance. This marks three games in a row that the Panthers' offense have slept walked through, showing a lack of urgency while quickly falling behind on the scoreboard as the Oilers' offense continues to outplay them.

An Expected Goals For result of just 1.94 is simply inexcusable, especially when star goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is going through a slump. The Panthers offense needs to desperately mask Bobrovsky’s loss of production while also having to set the scoring pace. When playing behind, the Panthers' offense is forced to increase their tempo which plays into the Oilers' favor. This opens more lanes for Connor McDavid and company to weave through in transition, rifling high-quality Shots on Goal on Bobrovsky.

Assuming the Panthers offense resembles what we have seen throughout the season as a top-5 unit in Expected Goals For in all situations, that means prolonged possessions in the offensive zone while cycling the puck until someone generates a high-quality Shot on Goal. Skinner is prone to crumbling in the Oilers net when under duress, now potentially being in the same situation we saw in the first three contests. Expect Skinner to mirror his negative Goals Saved Above Expected performances that we saw earlier in the series as the Panthers offense can not afford to start out sluggish in a winner takes all game seven.

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Vladimir Tarasenko Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-165) at BetMGM

Florida’s Vladimir Tarasenko has been one of the more consistent sources of production for the Panthers throughout the Stanley Cup Finals, routinely finding his name near the top of the board in Expected Goals for their offense. That was until a lackluster game six, finishing the contest with just one Shot on Goal and an Expected Goal of 0.03 in 12 minutes of play.

With positive regression looming large over the Panthers' offense, expect Tarsenko to find himself back on top of the board as he continues to put himself in favorable scoring positions. He has comfortably cleared the over in games one through five, backing his level of play with a high Expected Goal mark as well. Tarasenko benefits from playing on the opposite side of heavy coverage as the Oilers shade their bodies towards the likes of Sam Bennett and Brandon Montour when mixed into their lines, generating high-quality Shots on Goal towards Stuart Skinner with minimal coverage in front of him.

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