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NHL Atlantic Division Winner Odds, Favorites, Best Bets: Reigning Stanley Cup Champs Back on Top

Updated: Feb. 5, 2025, 07:55 AM ET
8 min read
  • The Florida Panthers are listed as the betting favorite to win the Atlantic division title

  • Florida currently leads the division in total points and in point percentage

  • Toronto’s defense ranks 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations

After going 7-3-0 in their last 10 contests, the reigning Stanley Cup champions are back on top of the Atlantic division standings as they lead the division in total points and in point percentage. Even with Auston Matthews back from injury, the Toronto Maple Leafs lack of defensive production hurts their chances of sustaining a hot stretch of play to help rack up points at a consistent rate.

Atlantic Division Winner Odds 2025

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NHL Atlantic Division Predictions and Odds

Atlantic Division Winner Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Until their defense rounds back into form, then the Toronto Maple Leafs are in serious jeopardy of being bumped out of the top three in the division standings.

Florida Panthers at FanDuel

With less than 30 games remaining in the regular season, the Florida Panthers are in the driver's seat for the Atlantic division title as they currently lead the division in total points and in point percentage. Their offense has recently hit their stride as they are tied for third in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.44 Expected Goals per game. Their top two lines generate a majority of their offensive production with five of their six players averaging more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.

On the other side of the ice, the Panthers back line have struggled to match their front lines level of production as their defense still ranks just slightly above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Should their defense continue to struggle with consistently playing at a competitive level, then the Panthers will be prone to playing in high variance contests. That hurts their chances of holding on to their lead in the division standings, making them a pass at their short odds to win the Atlantic.

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Tampa Bay Lightning at BetMGM

Not only has Tampa’s recent cold stretch of play knocked them out of the top three in the division standings, but they are no longer in possession of a wildcard spot as they are one point behind the Detroit Red Wings and Columbus Blue Jackets in the wildcard standings. While there is still plenty of time left for the Lightning to round back into form, their room for error has drastically diminished as they now have to compete against the rest of the Eastern Conference for one of the two wildcard spots.

Fortunately for Tampa, positive regression looms large as they actually grade out very well on both sides of the ice. As of writing, the Lightning rank top-10 in Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations. The Lightning also receive a high level of play from their former Vezina Trophy winner Andrei Vasilevskiy as he is averaging just 2.28 Goals Against per game. Pass on the Lightning to win the division, but consider laying a wager on them to make the playoffs should their odds continue to decline.

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Ottawa Senators at FanDuel

After winning their last five games in a row, the Ottawa Senators have managed to leap over the Tampa Bay Lightning for the third spot in the Atlantic division standings. Finishing in the top three of the division is vital as it secures you an auto berth for the playoffs instead of having to compete against the rest of the Eastern Conference for one of the two wildcard spots. 

Holding on to their top-3 spot for the remainder of the year will be tough as the Senators offense severely struggles with creating high quality scoring opportunities as their below league average mark in Expected Goals For in All Situations indicates. Their struggles stem from their lack of playmakers as only three players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. Even at their inflated odds at Caesars Sportsbook, pass on the Senators to win the Atlantic division title.

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Who Will Win the Atlantic Division - My Pick 

Toronto Maple Leafs at FanDuel

Even with their star center Auston Matthews back on the ice, the Toronto Maple Leafs have failed to hold on to their lead for first in the division standings as their defense continues to put them in high variance contests. Toronto’s back line have struggled to defend their net this season as the Maple Leafs defense currently ranks 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All SItuations with an average of 3.15 Expected Goals Against per game.

Should Toronto’s defense drastically elevate their level of play, then the Maple Leafs will remain in contention for the division title as their offense continues to excel at creating high quality Shots on Goal on a nightly basis. Anthony Stolarz making his return from injury should help out their defense as the star goalie was averaging just 2.15 Goals Against per game before going on injury reserve. If Stolarz can quickly pick up from where he left off, then expect Toronto to rival Florida for the division title.

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Who Won the Atlantic Division in 2023/2024?

The Florida Panthers won the Atlantic division title in 2023-2024, claiming their third title since making their return to the division in 2013.

Atlantic Division History

Seemingly a revolving door for teams to make brief appearances before moving on to somewhere else, the Atlantic division has seen plenty of different teams claim the division title over the years. The New Jersey Devils currently hold the record for the most Atlantic division titles, winning the division nine times before departing for the Metropolitan division. The Boston Bruins and Florida Panthers are currently tied for first for teams still active in the Atlantic, winning the division three times apiece.

Past Atlantic Division Winners

SeasonTeam
2023-2024Florida Panthers
2022-2023Boston Bruins
2021-2022Florida Panthers
2020-2021Division Suspended - Realignment
2019-2020Boston Bruins

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Atlantic Division Winner

When looking to make a wager on the Atlantic futures market, it’s important to create an account with as many online sportsbooks as you can. This allows you to line shop the market as odds can vary between each book. When betting on the Maple Leafs to win the Atlantic, their odds can be found as high as +210 at FanDuel and as low as +170 at BetMGM. That is a difference of $40 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another perk of creating an account with multiple sportsbooks is that you can collect their new user signup bonuses to help boost your bankroll. Caesars Sportsbook for example is giving new users up to $1,059 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSN1000.

BetMGMCaesarsFanDuel
Toronto Maple Leafs Atlantic Division Winner Odds+170+175+210
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How to Read Atlantic Division Winner Odds

Before making any type of wager, it’s important to know how the listed odds work. Should you want to bet the Maple Leafs to win the division at their current odds of +210, then a $100 wager would profit you $210 if they win the Atlantic. If you wait to see if they get off to a lead in the division standings and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (ex: -130), then you would need to wager $130 to profit $100.

Atlantic Division FAQ

Who is favored to win the Atlantic Division in 2024-2025?

Who Has the Most Atlantic Division Titles?

Who Was the Last Team to Repeat as an Atlantic Division Winner?

Who Was the Atlantic Division Winner to Win the Stanley Cup?

Can You Bet on the Atlantic Division Winner During the Season?

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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