Vikings vs. Packers Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Two NFC Heavyweights

• The Vikings intercept 1.47 passes per game

• Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold has multiple passing touchdowns in five of his last six games

• The Vikings allow about five catches for 51 yards per game to opposing tight ends

The 13-2 Minnesota Vikings will host the 11-4 Green Bay Packers in Week 17 of the NFL season. Both teams are in the NFC North. The Vikings are just behind the Detroit Lions in first place, while the Packers are third. The Vikings are 10-4-1 against the spread, while the Packers are 8-6-1. 

Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.

Vikings vs. Packers Odds

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Vikings vs. Packers: My Pick

• My Pick: Vikings to cover the spread of PICK at -110 at Caesars

This game is a true pick ‘em with two teams that know each other quite well. 

The Packers are likely to have cornerback Jaire Alexander back after he logged what would’ve been an estimated full practice on Wednesday. However, they will likely be without Evan Williams, Christian Watson, Quay Walker, and Ty’Ron Hopper. 

The Vikings do have a key injury with safety Harrison Smith. 

However, I believe the Vikings pull this off at home. The defense averages 1.47 interceptions per game. While Packers quarterback Jordan Love has been better regarding interceptions, I expect their defense to come up big with a key takeaway to secure the win.

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Vikings vs. Packers Predictions 

The Vikings and Packers played earlier this season, and the Vikings came up with a two-point win on the road. This came with Love throwing three interceptions. The Vikings went out to a quick 28-0 lead. The Packers came back, but in that game, I read it more as taking the foot off the gas due to the lead.

Heading into this game, the Vikings are allowing 1.47 passing touchdowns and 1.47 interceptions per game. They do allow a bunch of passing yards (about 269 per game). 

They’ve also been a bit tough against running backs lately. Over the last two games, they’ve held the Bears and Seahawks rushing attacks to 3.91 yards per carry or less and have kept them out of the end zone. They’ve only allowed six rushing scores to opposing running backs all year and surrender just 71 rushing yards per game.

A big part of the Packers offense is running back Josh Jacobs, who has over a dozen touchdowns and more than 1,400 total yards. 

The Vikings coverage unit has been a bit flimsy, but the Packers are likely without their top deep threat in Watson. Minnesota also has cornerback Stephon Gilmore back in the lineup. He’s allowed four touchdowns this season but is also holding players he covers to a reception rate of about 63%. 

As for the Packers defense, they’ve held down the New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks the past two weeks, but the Saints are one of the most depleted units in football, while Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith left that game due to injury. 

Before that, they allowed 283 yards, three touchdowns, and one pick to the Lions and 365 passing yards and two touchdowns to the Miami Dolphins. 

Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold has multiple passing touchdowns in five of his last six games. He has just one interception since Week 10. 

The Vikings are at home. They also have what I consider to be the better group of receivers and a defense that may not be as stiff as the Packers regarding yards allowed but is prolific at creating turnovers. 

I’ll go with the home team in another close game.

Vikings vs. Packers Best Player Props

Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 Receptions (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook

Heading into this game, Jefferson has seven receptions or more in each of his last four games. In the first matchup, he saw eight targets and caught six passes for 85 yards. 

However, this time, they’re at home, and no potential weather concerns are a factor. 

Alexander was projected to be a full participant in Wednesday’s practice. However, it’s important to note that this is a projection because there was no practice on Wednesday. Therefore, we don’t know if Alexander will be a full participant at a legitimate practice this week.

Still, even if he is, it’ll be his first game since Week 11. In Week 11, he barely played, logging just eight snaps. Before that, he played six games between Week 1 and 8, and he allowed five receptions in two of those games. 

Jefferson will continue to be peppered with targets here regardless of whether Alexander plays or not.

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Sam Darnold Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-142) at Caesars Sportsbook

As mentioned, Darnold has multiple passing touchdowns in five of his last six games. This season, he’s thrown multiple passing touchdowns in all but four games. 

He has 32 touchdowns across 15 games, averaging 2.13 per game. 

Yes, the Packers haven’t allowed a passing touchdown over the past two weeks, but again, it was against the Saints and the Seahawks where Smith was hurt. 

They’ve allowed multiple touchdowns in six games this season before these past two weeks, including against the Vikings. 

Darnold has consistently performed this year,, and I don’t expect that to stop now.

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Tucker Kraft Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook

It looks like Watson may not be playing in this game, and if he doesn’t, this only opens up more chances for Kraft to get involved. 

Whether he suits up or not, Kraft has been incredibly involved in the Packers offense. He’s had 32 yards or more in four straight games and in all but five games this season. 

In Week 15, Kraft was tied for the team lead in receiving snaps and still managed 34 yards despite just two catches. 

The Vikings allow about five catches for 51 yards per game to opposing tight ends. 

I expect Kraft to get around a half-dozen targets.

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Vikings vs. Packers: How to Watch

• When: Sunday, Dec. 29 at 4:25 PM ET

• Where: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

• Where to Watch: FOX

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Packers vs. Vikings Injuries

Packers Injuries

• Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander is questionable with a knee injury

• Packers linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper is questionable with an ankle injury

• Packers linebacker Quay Walker is questionable with an ankle injury

• Packers wide receiver Christian Watson is questionable with a knee injury

• Packers safety Evan Williams is questionable with a quad injury

Vikings Injuries

• Vikings cornerback Fabian Moreau is questionable with a hip injury

• Vikings free safety Harrison Smith is questionable with a foot injury

• Vikings defensive end Jalen Redmon is questionable with a concussion