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Vikings vs. Bears Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Sam Darnold Is on Fire

Contributors
Published December 15, 2024
7 min read
  • Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has six turnover-worthy plays over the last three games. 

  • Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold has 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions over the last four games. 

  • Bears rookie wide receiver Rome Odunze has six targets or more in six of the last seven games. 

The 11-2 Minnesota Vikings will host the 4-9 Chicago Bears in Week 15 of the NFL season. The Vikings are in second place in the NFC North, while the Bears are last in the same division. The Bears are 7-5-1 against the spread, while the Vikings are 8-4-1. 

Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props. 

Vikings vs. Bears Odds 

Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. By using our promo code WSNDYW, you’ll get your next 10 bets doubled in winnings after betting $1. 

Team Moneyline Points Spread Total
Bears +245 +7 (-120) Over 44.5 (-108)
Vikings -300 -7 (-102) Under 44.5 (-112)
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Vikings vs Bears Predictions and Prop Bets

Vikings vs. Bears: My Pick

These two teams played earlier this season, and the Vikings won 30-27 in overtime. That game was played at Soldier Field, but this time, the Vikings were the home team.

Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has played clean football since mid-October, having not thrown an interception over the past seven games. 

However, with a game against the No. 1 overall pick under his belt, I think Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores will be able to get his defense (which averages more than 1.5 interceptions per game) to trip him up.

Additionally, Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold has been playing sensationally lately, throwing 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions over his last four games. 

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Vikings vs. Bears Predictions 

The line in this game is at seven points, and it appears to be trending toward 6.5. I like it even more if that happens, but I’ll lay the seven. 

As mentioned, Darnold has been playing excellent football lately and is coming off a game with 347 passing yards and five touchdowns. 

Against the Bears in their last matchup, he threw for 330 yards and two touchdowns. 

Over the last three games, the Bears' pass defense has been slipping. They’ve allowed 286.7 passing yards in that span, which is far more than their season average of 218. They also only have one interception in that span. 

The Bears have a couple of injuries in the secondary with Elijah Hicks and Jaquan Brisker which should help the Vikings pass game. 

As for Williams, no, he hasn’t thrown an interception in the past seven games. However, he’s been a bit lucky lately. Over his past three games, he has had six turnover-worthy plays, per Pro Football Focus. 

I do think Williams will be able to pass a bit on the Vikings, but the run game will be even less successful than it has been, as the Vikings allowed just 87.2 yards per game, second-least in the NFL. 

The Bears will be a one-dimensional squad, while Williams has had a stretch of play with some luck regarding not turning the ball over. 

Look for the Vikings to generate at least one turnover while the Vikings win easily at home in their dome. 

Vikings vs. Bears Best Player Props

Justin Jefferson Anytime TD (+102 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Any time I can get Jefferson at plus value to score a touchdown, I’m taking it. 

He ended his touchdown dry spell last week with seven catches for 132 yards and two touchdowns last week against Atlanta. 

In their last matchup with the Bears, he had just two catches for 27 yards on five targets. 

Since that game, though, he’s had 16 targets, 14 catches, 231 yards and two touchdowns over the last two weeks. 

Jefferson will likely face Bears cornerback Jaylon Johnson, who has allowed two touchdowns over the last three games. 

The yardage allowed has been low, but those two touchdowns are the only ones he’s allowed this season. 

This could be a sign of the season wearing on him a bit and I’ll take Jefferson, in a dome, coming off a fantastic performance.

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Caleb Williams 1+ INT (-130 at Caesars Sportsbook)

I discussed it above, but this game is setting up nicely for the Vikings to pick off the rookie signal-caller at least once. 

The Vikings average 1.54 interceptions per game. They have at least one in all but two games this season and have multiple interceptions in seven of them. 

Williams has been clean over the last seven games, but he has those six turnover-worthy plays over the last three games. 

The Vikings' run defense is excellent which I think will force the Bears to become more one-dimensional. That, and I believe the Bears will be forced to pass more in this game as I project they’ll be trailing. 

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Rome Odunze Anytime TD (+240 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Odunze had two touchdowns last week against the 49ers. 

Here, Odunze will likely see a lot of Fabian Moreau. Moreau, 31, has played just 54 snaps in coverage this season for the Vikings. He’s allowed three catches on six targets for 40 yards and a touchdown. 

As mentioned, Odunze had two touchdowns last week, and he’s had six targets or more in six of the last seven games. 

He’s second in receiving snaps on the Bears this season with 485. 

He has the talent to score a touchdown on just one catch, and he’s facing an aging corner that’s had limited action and has already allowed a touchdown this season. 

At +240, sign me up.

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Vikings vs. Bears: How to Watch

  • When: Monday, Dec. 16 at 8:00 PM ET

  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

  • Where to Watch: ABC

Vikings vs. Bears Best Promos and Sportsbooks

If you’re looking for the best odds for the Vikings vs. Bears matchup or any other Week 15 NFL game, check out our recommended NFL sportsbooks. Caesars is my go-to sportsbook for this matchup, as it offers the best odds, point spread, and a fantastic menu of player prop options. Caesars Promo Code for MNF Doubleheader matchups is also active, so be sure to check it out.

Our favorite NFL betting promos can be found listed in the table below.

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Vikings vs. Bears Injuries

  • Bears running back Roschon Johnson is questionable. 

  • Bears safety Elijah Hicks is questionable. 

  • Bears center Ryan Bates is questionable. 

  • Bears running back Travis Homer is questionable with a head injury. 

  • Bears wide receiver DeAndre Carter is questionable with a hamstring injury. 

  • Vikings linebacker Pat Jones II is questionable. 

  • Vikings cornerback Stephon Gilmore is questionable.

More MNF Week 15 Bets and Picks

Monday Night Football Week 15 Picks

Monday Night Football Week 15 Prop Bets

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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