The Minnesota Vikings average 1.6 interceptions per game.
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has 699 passing yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions and is averaging just 5.54 yards per attempt over the last four games.
The Bears are coming off a 20-19 loss to the Green Bay Packers after their field goal was blocked as time expired.
The 8-2 Minnesota Vikings will play on the road in Week 12 against the 4-6 Chicago Bears. The Vikings are second in the NFC North, while the Bears are last in the same division.
Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook where you can receive $150 in bonus bets after placing and winning a $5 wager.
Team | Moneyline | Points Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Chicago Bears | +146 | +3.5 (-120) | Over 39.5 (-110) |
Minnesota Vikings | -174 | -3.5 (-102) | Under 39.5 (-110) |
The Vikings have a stout defense, averaging 1.6 interceptions per game. They’ve also not allowed a rushing touchdown to running backs since Week 7. In Week 11, the Bears had two touchdowns, both coming from the ground game.
Bears quarterback Caleb Williams played better but still didn’t throw a touchdown.
The Vikings win this one and cover.
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When I look at this game, I can’t forget what the Bears have looked like recently.
For the Bears, Williams has thrown for 699 yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions and is averaging just 5.54 yards per attempt over the last four weeks.
So, not only is he not performing all too well when passing the ball, but now he has to deal with a defense that averages closer to two interceptions per game than one at 1.6 per outing.
They’ve also only allowed one passing touchdown over the past three weeks.
The Bears lost in Week 11, 20-19, against the Green Bay Packers. They kicked a field goal as time expired, but it was blocked, resulting in the loss.
Both touchdowns they scored came on the ground, and, as mentioned, the Vikings haven’t allowed a score on the ground to a running back since Week 7.
As for the Bears, they’re allowing nearly one rushing touchdown per game to the position. They allowed one last week.
Vikings running back Aaron Jones has had an OK season, rushing 157 times for 692 yards, and two touchdowns.
He can do some damage here, as the Bears allow 4.88 yards per carry.
Against the pass, the Bears allowed 261 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception to Packers quarterback Jordan Love. They also allowed a rushing score.
The Bears starting cornerbacks, Tyrique Stevenson and Jaylon Johnson, will need to slow down Vikings wide receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.
This season, Stevenson has allowed 30 receptions on 55 targets for 435 yards and three touchdowns.
The Vikings will be able to do enough on offense to cover the spread while their defense creates headaches for the Bears offense.
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Jones has had an OK season in his first with the Vikings, but the touchdowns haven’t quite been there. As mentioned, he has 157 carries for 692 yards and just two rushing touchdowns.
He also caught one touchdown.
The last time he scored was Oct. 20 against the Detroit Lions.
In this game, though, I think that will change.
The Bears have given up three rushing touchdowns over the last three games, including one last week to Packers back Josh Jacobs.
Also, while they didn’t allow any touchdowns, the Bears have given up 50 receiving yards or more to running backs in two of the last three games.
Jones is historically a more than competent pass-catching back. This season, he’s caught 29 passes for 262 yards and that one touchdown.
I expect Jones to get a fair bit of work here, with the Vikings as favorites, which will result in him scoring a touchdown.
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At +235, I’m willing to wager a half-unit on Addison scoring a touchdown.
Here’s why: The Bears have two cornerbacks, Tyrique Stevenson and Jaylon Johnson, and one has been quite better than the other.
Johnson has allowed 18 catches on 33 targets for 276 yards and no touchdowns.
Stevenson, on the other hand, has given up 30 catches on 55 targets for 435 yards and three touchdowns.
The Vikings' two outside receivers are Justin Jefferson and Addison. While Stevenson and Johnson tend to line up on either side, I’d expect the Bears to deploy Johnson primarily on Jefferson while Stevenson tries to slow down Addison.
Addison left last week’s game with cramps in his leg, but assuming that’s all good to go, he’s in a pretty good spot to score here.
The Bears have allowed a touchdown to a receiver in back-to-back weeks.
Addison has two touchdowns over the last three games. On a per-game basis, he’s averaging three catches for 45 yards and 15 yards per catch.
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In Week 12, Romo will be playing in his third game for the Vikings.
Through the first two, he’s attempted five field goals and made all five, including a long of 45 yards.
Now, he’ll take on a Bears team that allows 2.4 field goal attempts per game, and opposing kickers are making 2.1 of them.
The Bears' offense may be in disarray, but they have a tough defense, especially in the red zone.
This season, opponents are only scoring touchdowns 40.63% of the time when they reach the red zone.
That’s dead last in the league.
I did pick Addison and Jones to score touchdowns, but it’s still possible there are other red zone drives that end in a field goal. We’ve also seen Romo hit a 45-yarder, and who knows how much further that can be.
This is a solid bet at +104.
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When: Sunday, Nov. 24 at 1 PM ET
Where: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: FOX
If you’re looking for the best odds for the Vikings vs. Bears matchup or any other Week 12 NFL game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. I always check out FanDuel and Caesars Sportsbook. FanDuel has the best point spread odds, while Caesars never disappoints with the player prop options.
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Vikings tight end Josh Oliver is questionable with an ankle injury.
Vikings wide receiver Jordan Addison is questionable with a leg injury.
Bears offensive tackle Kiran Amegadije is questionable.
Bears guard Teven Jenkins is questionable with an ankle injury.
Bears center Ryan Bates is questionable with a concussion.
Bears safety Jaquan Brisker was placed on injured reserve with a concussion.
Sunday Night Football Week 12 Picks
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