Thursday Night Football Week 5 SGP: Crucial NFC South Matchup Takes Center Stage

• Atlanta’s two wins were by a combined 3 points

• Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards against the Eagles last week

• Bucky Irving is averaging 5.8 YPC

This Thursday Night Football matchup features bitter rivals as the Atlanta Falcons welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to town. The teams currently sit in the first and second spots in the division, making this a critical early-season game for both sides.

If you want to bet on this prime-time NFC South showdown, we have you covered. Below, we’ll share the Same Game Parlay we love for this Thursday Night Football matchup, giving you everything you need to bet confidently. We’ll use odds from Caesars Sportsbook, which gives new users a $1,000 First Bet Offer OR $250 in Bonus Bets when they sign up using promo code WSN1000.

Buccaneers ML (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook

Aside from a stunning Week 3 loss to the Broncos, Tampa has been fantastic. Their week one blowout of Washington looks more impressive each week, pairing impressive wins against the Lions and Eagles. The Falcons have not enjoyed the same success, with their two wins coming by three combined points, putting them dangerously close to being 0-4.

The Falcons improved their offense in the offseason, but it hasn’t been as good as they hoped. The unit looks off, with Kirk Cousins struggling to adapt to the new offense. As many problems as Tampa has had on defense, they completely shut down a great Eagles offense last week. We expect a similar result against a worse unit on Thursday.

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Baker Mayfield Over 239.5 Pass Yards (-119) at Caesars Sportsbook

Baker Mayfield is coming off his best game of the season against the Eagles. He completed 63.8% of his passes for 347 yards and three combined touchdowns. Philly's pass defense isn’t bad, but the Falcons aren’t much better. 

The Atlanta secondary is solid, but their pass rush has been non-existent. The defense has only registered four sacks, the lowest total in the league. That means Baker Mayfield will have time in the pocket, allowing him to surpass this low total easily.

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Bucky Irving Over 43.5 Rush Yards (-123) at Caesars Sportsbook

We loved what we saw from Irving over the first four weeks. The rookie is averaging 5.8 YPC this season, earning him more snaps each week. It appears the team is now taking a two-headed approach with Irving and Rachaad White in the backfield, meaning the 22-year-old should get plenty of touches on Thursday. 

Atlanta’s run defense has not had much success this season. They rank in the bottom ten in the league in rushing yards allowed, most recently allowing the Saints to go for 131 yards and three touchdowns. That won’t get better this week, as the Falcons' defense will be forced to drop more players into the secondary to make up for the poor pass rush.

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