Thursday Night Football Prop Bets Week 3: Expect Another Heavy Workload From Rhamondre Stevenson

• Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 23 carries a game this season

• The Patriots offensive line ranks near dead last in Pass Protection Grade

• The full game total continues to steam down after opening at 39.5

With little support from their pass attack, New England’s offense has had to heavily rely on their running back Rhamondre Stevenson to help generate offensive production. This has resulted in an average of 23 carries a game, now having to churn out another heavy workload on Thursday night with the Jets fielding one of the best secondaries in the league. With the weather also potentially playing a factor, the Patriots' best course of success will be to keep the ball on the ground.

On the other side of the field, the Jets will find themselves also calling the run at a higher rate as the Patriots' defense has played far above preseason projections and can take advantage of the Jets' offensive tackles who grade out poorly in Pass Protection Grade. With Aaron Rodgers struggling to generate a league average CPOE when under pressure, the Jets will turn towards star running back Breece Hall to help command defensive attention and shade the Patriots linebackers towards the middle.

As for where to wager on Thursday’s AFC East divisional matchup between the New England Patriots and New York Jets, FanDuel Sportsbook has a wide range of props for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel Sportsbook, you can claim $200 in bonus bets as well as three weeks of NFL Sunday Ticket after creating an account and making an initial wager of at least $5.

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With their pass attack expected to struggle against the Jets' defense, the Patriots may continue to rely on a heavy dose of the run. In two games played, Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 23 carries, 100.5 yards per game, and 4.4 yards per carry. Stevenson has been their lone consistent source of offensive production while Jacoby Brissett struggles to get the pass game going with an underwhelming group of pass catchers, now being in a position to receive another heavy workload.

With one of the worst offensive lines in pass protection being prone to getting pushed back from the snap and a group of receivers struggling to create separation in the open field, Stevenson negates all of that by keeping the ball on the ground. Poor weather may also play a factor as there is a chance for rain and strong winds which will also hamper the pass attack. With another heavy workload in store, take the over on his rushing yards prop as volume alone may help Stevenson clear this.

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Rhamondre Stevenson Over 2.5 Receptions (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Even though the Patriots' offense may revert to a heavier dose of the run, Stevenson will still be featured in their pass attack as one of Jacoby Brissett’s more reliable options. In two games played, Stevenson is averaging 20.5 routes, 4 targets, and 2.5 receptions per game.

Better yet, the Jets' defensive scheme actually plays towards opposing running backs getting more opportunities for receptions as we saw last week against the Titans with Tony Pollard hauling in five receptions. With the Jets secondary smothering the Patriots' receivers, as well as their front line collapsing the Patriots' pocket, Brissett will be forced to dump it off to Stevenson to avoid a forced throw in heavy coverage while under pressure.

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Aaron Rodgers Under 31.5 Pass Attempts (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook 

Like the Patriots, the Jets offense may also continue to rely on the run to help sustain drives down the field. Aaron Rodgers has struggled to throw at a league-average rate in terms of CPOE, now having to find success against a stout Patriots defense while potentially playing in poor weather conditions. To help limit variance, the Jets' best course of success will be to utilize star running back Breece Hall to command defensive attention and help open up passing lanes on the outside in the process.

The Jets also come into the contest as a -6.5 betting favorite, indicating that they should have a sizable lead late in the contest. Should the Jets get out to a comfortable lead, then they will call the run at a heavier rate to help keep the clock moving. This also eats away at Rodgers pass attempts, shading more value towards the under.

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