Thursday Night Football Week 10 Prop Bets: Both Pass Attacks in a Position to Thrive

• Lamar Jackson is listed as one of the betting favorites to win the MVP award

• Joe Burrow ranks near the top of the board in quarterback EPA per Play and PFF Grade

• The Baltimore Ravens secondary ranks near dead last in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate

After winning the NFL MVP award in 2023, the Baltimore Ravens Lamar Jackson is making a strong case to win it once again as he continues to terrorize opposing defenses with his elite dual-threat ability. With Lamar leading the charge, the Ravens offense has been one of the best units in the league as they currently rank top-10 in both Pass and Rush DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. With the Bengals' defense severely underwhelming, expect Lamar to string together another dominant performance.

In an attempt to match the Ravens offensive production, the Cincinnati Bengals Joe Burrow may be tasked with throwing the ball at a heavier rate. Especially since the Ravens' secondary ranks near dead last in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate while their run-stopping metrics rank top-10 in the same previously mentioned metrics. With Joe Burrow in a position to thrive, value in the anytime touchdown market shades towards their pass catchers as they should see an uptick in targets when in the red zone.

As for where to wager on Thursday night’s slate of player props, BetMGM Sportsbook has an abundance of markets for their users to choose from and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM Sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can get up to $1,500 back in the form of bonus bets should you lose your first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

Joe Burrow Over 263.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After gashing the Ravens' secondary for nearly 400 passing yards earlier in the year, Joe Burrow will have the opportunity to succeed again in their rematch as the Ravens' defense continues to grade out poorly in coverage. Heading into Thursday’s AFC North divisional matchup, the Ravens' back end ranks near dead last in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Their front line has also struggled to consistently collapse the pocket as the Ravens rank below league average in Adjusted Sack Rate and Pressure Rate.

With a clean pocket and a deep group of pass catchers who excel at creating space away from opposing coverage, Joe Burrow should have no issue with capitalizing on his high-quality passing lanes. Especially if Tee Higgins is able to make his return from injury, giving Burrow another high-quality target to throw to while also pulling coverage away from Ja'Marr Chase. If Higgins is ruled out, then look to target Ja'Marr Chase and Mike Gesicki receiving props as their usage should skyrocket.

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Mike Gesicki Anytime Touchdown (+240) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Speaking of Mike Gesicki, the Bengals' tight end should also play a major role when in the red zone as the Ravens' defense will be forced to shade their coverage toward Ja'Marr Chase. This may lead to single coverage opportunities if he does not get bracketed off the line, putting him in a favorable position to exploit the gaps for a touchdown. With the Ravens front seven excelling at stopping the run, then Gesicki may see a potential uptick in targets should the Bengals continue to air out the ball.

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Lamar Jackson Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook 

Not only does Joe Burrow have the opportunity to put together a dominant outing, but the Ravens Lamar Jackson also draws a favorable matchup as the Bengals secondary ranks equally as bad in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Lamar will also find himself with a clean pocket for a majority of the contest as the Bengals' front line enters the contest ranked near well below league average in Adjusted Sack Rate, Adjusted Line Yards, and Pressure Rate.

Lamar also gets the benefit of playing alongside NFL Offensive Player of the Year contender Derrick Henry as the newly acquired Ravens running back commands a majority of linebackers attention due to his elite size and speed. With Cincinnati forced to anchor their linebackers to help stop the run, the Ravens' pass catchers will find themselves with more room to work within their efforts of creating space from the Bengals' coverage. Diontae Johnson is also expected to play a bigger role after being traded to Baltimore, giving Lamar another reliable target to throw to.

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