While the Cleveland Browns hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday Night Football may not be the most exciting game offensively, there’s still a solid Same Game Parlay to be built here to win some cash.
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Going more conservative here, it just doesn’t feel like a great first step for the Same Game Parlay to be headed by the Browns giving five points to the Steelers in a game where the total is just 38.
This could be a brutally slow, sluggish game, similar to the Steelers and New England Patriots from Week 2, which finished 17-14.
The Browns are the better team here, thanks to their rushing attack and pass rush.
The duo of Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb out of the backfield should be plenty to outscore a Steelers offense that simply cannot move the football.
The running game for the Steelers is led by Najee Harris, a fine player, but is averaging less than three yards per carry because of the offensive line woes.
Those same offensive line woes could rear their ugly head in this one, though they may have an easier time as edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney is out for this one and Myles Garrett has landed on the injury report.
The Steelers have some opportunities with potentially hitting wide receiver George Pickens for some big plays against Browns cornerback Denzel Ward who’s been putrid to start the year. Still, other than that, if they rely solely on Diontae Johnson, they can’t win that way.
So, five points is too rich for our blood, but this is a game the Browns should ultimately win.
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With Steelers safety Minkah Fitzpatrick gearing up to focus solely on Browns wide receiver Amari Cooper, Brissett may not need to throw the ball many times in this one.
This will be much more of a rushing attack game, with the Brissett’s completions going to Hunt and Chubb.
There isn’t another receiving weapon on the Browns that strikes us as a multi-catch guy, so when relying on two running backs, 17.5 completions seems like an easy under bet.
In a game where they scored 30 points in Week 2, Brissett had 22, which included nine catches to Cooper, who we expect to be in for a rough day statistically.
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Catching just one pass in each of the first two games, getting this under 2.5 at a “+” price is a great third-leg to add to this Same Game Parlay.
Pickens is seeing an average target depth of 21.5, which could be nice to get the Steelers offense going. Still, due to the nature of the route tree, Pickens has so far this season, reaching three receptions may be tough.
Sure, Ward has been awful this season, but we have enough of a history to know he’s quite a good player. This could be a good game for him to get back on track against the Steelers second-round rookie, and with “+” money, we’ll take our chances.
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