LA has lost three of their previous four games
Gus Edwards is averaging 3.4 YPC on the ground this season
Ladd McConkey leads the team in receptions and yards this season
This week’s edition of Thursday Night Football features two AFC West rivals fighting for a playoff spot. With just three games remaining, the winner of this Week 16 matchup will gain a significant leg up in the race for a Wild Card spot.
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The Broncos and Chargers have been trending in different directions over the last four games. Denver has won four straight, while LA has gone 1-3.
The Chargers offense has completely fallen apart since losing JK Dobbins. Gus Edwards has been a massive disappointment, leading to LA scoring 17 points in three straight games. The defense has helped keep these games close, but we saw them run out of steam at home against the Bucs last weekend. We expect a similar situation to play out on Thursday night.
The Broncos are an incredibly dangerous team heading into the final three weeks. They have won their last four games with a point differential of +69. Their previous game was the offense’s worst outing, but the team’s elite defensive play made up for it. Denver is firing on all cylinders, and they’ll keep things going in Week 16.
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The Chargers brought in Gus Edwards due to his success backing up the oft-injured Dobbins. While he was fantastic for the Ravens in this role, that hasn’t been the case in LA. The back averages just 3.4 YPC and has gone for under 36 yards in four of his last five games.
The Broncos have a great run defense, allowing 3.9 YPC and 98.6 yards per game. They have shut down far better running games than they’ll see on Sunday, leading to another quiet day from Edwards.
Edwards's struggles have led rookie running back Kimani Vidal to see some action. While he hasn’t been any better than Edwards, the Chargers could opt to increase his carries as they desperately try to fix their ground game.
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The rookie receiver has taken over as the top option for Justin Herbert this season. His 63 receptions and 873 yards lead the team by a wide margin, while he is second with five touchdowns.
Herbert has been locking in on the receiver over the last few games, and that won’t change on Thursday. With the run game broken, count on the Chargers to air it out early and often.
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