Titans quarterback Will Levis is second in the NFL in interceptions with five. He also has three fumbles.
It’s looking like Tyler Huntley will start for the Dolphins. In his only start in 2023 with the Ravens, he completed 53.6% of his passes for 146 yards, one touchdown pass, and had 40 rushing yards against the Steelers.
If Huntley starts, this will be the fourth quarterback the Dolphins have used this season, and it’s only Week 4.
In Week 4 of the NFL season, the Miami Dolphins host the Tennessee Titans as one of the two games on Monday Night Football. The Titans are 0-3 this season, while the Dolphins are 1-2 following the concussion of starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.
Below is my pick, predictions, and top player props for this game.
Below, you’ll find the moneyline, point spread, and total odds for the Dolphins and Titans, courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. By using our exclusive Caesars link, you can receive up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first wager loses when you use our promo code WSN1000.
Team | Moneyline | Point Spread | Caesars Totals |
---|---|---|---|
Titans | +100 | +1 (-110) | Over 36.5 (-110) |
Dolphins | -120 | -1 (-110) | Under 36.5 (-110) |
The Dolphins appear to be heading into this game without Tagovailoa and backup Skylar Thompson at quarterback. As a result, it looks like they’ll turn to the recently acquired Tyler Huntley to suit up for them. While your first instinct may be to look toward the Titans, I think the Dolphins cover here at -1.
Huntley has starting quarterback experience and has an excellent cast of offensive weapons around him. Meanwhile, Titans quarterback Will Levis has been a turnover machine this season, with five interceptions and three fumbles.
Look for the Dolphins to play a game in which they focus on holding onto the ball, converting first downs by running effectively, and using Huntley’s mobility to help them gain some yardage.
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It is somewhat difficult to analyze the Dolphins heading into this matchup for several reasons. In Week 2, Tagovailoa threw three interceptions in a blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills before suffering a concussion. Then, in Week 3, backup Skylar Thompson drew the start on the road against the Seattle Seahawks and mustered just three points.
In that game, the Dolphins converted just one of 12 first downs, allowed six sacks, and had 11 penalties. The Dolphins allowed two rushing touchdowns to Seahawks running back Zach Charbonnet.
With Huntley in the fold, the Dolphins will have a quarterback who, as mentioned, has some starting experience during his time with the Baltimore Ravens in relief of Lamar Jackson. He’s 3-6 in nine starts, and across his career, he’s completed 63.5% of his throw for 2,243 yards, 10 touchdown passes, and eight interceptions. In his only start in 2023, he completed 15 of 28 passes for 146 yards, one touchdown pass, and also had 40 rushing yards.
The name of the game for the Dolphins here, especially putting a quarterback out there who’s only been on the roster a short time, will be to run the ball with De’Von Achane and Jaylen Wright effectively while he uses his mobility to help pick up first downs to win the time of possession.
As for the Titans, Levis enters this game with five interceptions, which is second-most in the NFL only behind Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson. To add, he has the three fumbles. He threw two interceptions in Week 1, one in Week 2, and two more in Week 3. He also had two touchdown passes, but the Titans are taking on a team somewhat similar to the situation their Week 3 opponent, the Green Bay Packers, was in—mobile backup quarterback, good running game, and excellent weapons.
Despite the offense being all over the place at the quarterback position, the defense for the Dolphins has held up reasonably well. They’re allowing 112 rushing yards (12th) and 182.7 passing yards (12th) per game. They have one interception, too.
This is going to be a lower-scoring game. The Dolphins have several injuries and their tallest task will be their offensive line holding up against a Titans defensive front that has some talent, including rookie T’Vondre Sweat in the middle of it.
The Dolphins also have talent on the defensive line, including Calais Campbell, who has two sacks and six pressures this season.
In the end, I think the Dolphins, again, in a low-scoring game, do enough here to win the game at home. I think Huntley will limit the turnovers, lean on the running game, and he’ll get a couple of shots for an explosive play. He’ll have wide receiver Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill on the receiving end, who can make those big plays.
Lean with the home team here despite the quarterback issues. I don’t trust Levis yet to not turn the ball over excessively and give the game away.
While it wasn’t a great game from Achane in Week 3, he should rebound here. In that game, he had 11 carries for 30 yards and caught three passes for 28 yards.
Against the Titans, Achane might have some trouble running the ball as the Titans have allowed just 3.67 yards per carry this season (running backs average 21 carries for 78 yards per game). The Titans have also allowed just one rushing touchdown.
However, they’ve allowed three receiving touchdowns to this position, including two against the New York Jets in Week 2 and another in Week 3 against the Packers.
Achane is a fantastic pass-catching running back, and in Huntley’s only start last season, more than 64% of his attempts were either behind the line of scrimmage or less than 10 yards downfield.
I think Achane will get some looks in the passing game, but he’ll still get plenty of carries despite the Titans' run defense, and I think volume ultimately wins out for Achane here.
He’ll find the end zone.
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There’s still some value in this prop at -135, and I think we will see another one this week.
As mentioned, Levis is second in the NFL in interceptions, and the Dolphins picked off two passes in Week 3 despite getting blown out on the road.
Remember, the Dolphins have a lot of talent on defense, including cornerback Jalen Ramsey.
When you look at how Levis does under pressure or kept clean, it seemingly doesn’t matter as the interceptions keep coming:
Kept Clean: 72.7% completion rate, 452 yards, 6.8 yards per reception, three touchdowns, three interceptions.
Under Pressure: 16 of 28 (57.1%), 127 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions.
I don’t think the Dolphins have the best pass rush in the world, but the Titans have allowed nine sacks and 46 pressures to start the season.
Until I see Levis stay out of the turnover column consistently, I’ll take the over on his interception props.
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Ridley signed with the Titans this offseason, and through three games, he has 136 receiving yards and one touchdown on eight catches.
Here, he’ll take on a Dolphins defense that allowed 13 receptions for 191 yards and a touchdown to opposing wide receivers in Week 3 on the road against Seattle.
Ridley leads the team in receiving snaps with 98 and targets with 16. He had just nine yards in Week 3, but I think that’ll change here.
I expect him to get the targets, and he has a skillset that allows him to gain all of these yards in a single play.
This is a low receiving line for a player like Ridley.
Lean over here.
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When: Monday, September 30 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
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Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert is questionable with a chest injury.
Dolphins linebacker David Long is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Dolphins cornerback Kendall Fuller is questionable with a concussion.
Dolphins left tackle Terron Armstead is questionable with a concussion.
Dolphins quarterback Skylar Thompson is questionable with a rib injury.
Titans cornerback Chidobe Awuzie is questionable with a groin injury.
Titans defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons is questionable with an elbow injury.
Monday Night Football Week 4 Picks
Monday Night Football Week 4 Prop Bets
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