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Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: Best TNF Player Props Week 5

Contributors
Published October 5, 2023
3 min read
NFL TNF Prop Bets Week 5 2023

Week 5 of the NFL season starts with the 2-2 Washington Commanders hosting the 0-4 Chicago Bears. The Commanders have lost two straight and now look to get above .500 with a win over the winless Bears.

Below are our best props for this matchup.

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Justin Fields Under 0.5 Passing TDs +195 at DraftKings

Coming off of a four-passing touchdown performance, taking the under on Fields passing touchdowns at 0.5 might seem like a fruitless wager.

Before Week 4, Fields had thrown exactly one touchdown in the three previous games. Those games were against the Green Bay Packers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Kansas City Chiefs. The Bears and Fields were getting blown out of those games by the Packers and Chiefs.

Going against the Commanders on a short week, Fields will battle against Benjamin St-Juste and Kendall Fuller at the cornerback position while his weakened offensive line goes up against some excellent defensive line talent. 

For the Bears to have a chance here, Fields will need to run plenty as he contends with one of the top 10 defenses in the NFL, according to Pro Football Focus.

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Sam Howell Over 1.5 Passing TDs +100 at DraftKings

Commanders starting quarterback Sam Howell has thrown for two or more passing touchdowns just once this season. That was against the Denver Broncos in Week 2. Now, heading into Week 5, he has another squishy matchup with the Bears.

Howell has many weapons, including wide receivers Curtis Samuel, Terry McLaurin, Jahan Doston, and tight end Logan Thomas.

The Bears are sporting Terell Smith and Tyrique Stevenson at cornerback. Stevenson has allowed 13 receptions on 17 targets for 181 yards and three scores.

Smith has only played 65 coverage snaps, seventh on the team. He’s allowed five receptions on 12 targets for 87 yards.

Howell, who has 30 attempts or more in three of four games this season, will dice up this defense.

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Justin Fields Under 16.5 Pass Completions -113 at Caesars

For our final prop, we’re targeting Fields again.

In Week 4, Fields completed 28 passes on 35 attempts, but again, this was the Broncos defense that’s been atrocious this season.

Before this, Fields had 11 completions in Week 3 and 16 in Week 2.

Going up against the Commanders, the Bears are underdogs, of course, but the Commanders aren’t a potent enough team to start pulling away and forcing Fields to throw while behind.

Still, we saw the Bears get beat up in Week 3 by the Chiefs, and he still only completed 11 passes.

We could see Fields look to throw a bit more here after a great performance in Week 4, but again, on a short week, we’re expecting some massive regression from Fields in the passing attack and hope to see him run more.

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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