Texans vs. Packers Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Stroud’s First-Ever Game at Lambeau

• The Packers defense averages 1.5 interceptions per game. 

• The Texans are without wide receiver Nico Collins. 

• The Texans traded running back Cam Akers ahead of this game to the Minnesota Vikings. 

The Green Bay Packers (4-2) are hosting the Houston Texans (5-1) in Week 7 of the NFL season. 

Below are the odds for this game, my pick, predictions, and best player props. 

Texans vs. Packers Odds

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Texans vs. Packers: My Pick

• My Pick: Packers to cover the spread at -2.5 (-120) at FanDuel

The Texans are playing their second straight road game as they head from New England to Green Bay. This is the first time Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has played against the Packers, and it's at Lambeau Field. 

Both offenses have plenty of weapons, but I trust the Packers defense to make a few more plays at home to get the job done. 

I’m leaning toward the Packers covering and winning at home, but the safer play is the Packers moneyline, even with this being 2.5. 

These are two excellent teams.

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Texans vs. Packers Predictions

No team in the NFL has a better turnover differential than the Packers at +9. 

The Texans have a differential of zero, which is tied with the Cincinnati Bengals, Baltimore Ravens, Atlanta Falcons, and Arizona Cardinals. 

Simply put, the Packers make plays and generate turnovers while Jordan Love takes care of the football.

The Packers average 1.5 interceptions per game and have three games with multiple interceptions. 

They didn’t have one in their crushing Week 6 win over Arizona, but it’s tough to get an interception when the opposing quarterback has an average depth of target of just 6.1 yards and throws the ball 10+ yards downfield just six times on 32 tries. 

The one weakness the Packers have defensively is against the run, and that’s the spot where this game makes me feel a bit uneasy.

They allow approximately 19 carries for 89 yards (4.65 yards per carry). However, they’ve only allowed one rushing touchdown since Week 1. 

Still, all Texans running back Joe Mixon needs to do is help put Stroud and the Texans offense in a positive field position, and more times than not, Stroud will make something happen. 

The Texans defense allows two passing touchdowns per game, but the yards per game is down to just 185. They had two interceptions in Week 6, but that was against Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye in his first start. He also threw three touchdown passes on them. 

The Packers have so many weapons. While they may not be at the levels of Stefon Diggs or Mixon individually, there are so many ways they can beat you and Love, who’s played in four games this season and has four touchdown passes in half of them. 

He’s a bit wild with the ball, completing less than 59% of his passes, but he’s not afraid to throw the ball downfield, as 14.4% of his pass attempts go 20+ yards. 

This is going to be a close game, but I think the Packers defense makes a timely play to seal the win for the Packers at home as Love slings it all over the field. 

Texans vs. Packers Best Player Props

The following prop bets are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. 

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Christian Watson Any Time TD (+245 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Whenever Watson is active and suiting up in a game, it’s hard not to bet on him to score a touchdown. 

Over his career, he has 79 receptions and 14 touchdowns. This season, he has just eight catches and two touchdown catches. 

Sadly, Watson is a player who is hurt more often than not, but when he plays, he’s one of the best deep threats in the league. 

Here, he’ll see a lot of Texans cornerback Derek Stingley Jr., who’s a tough cornerback to crack, but in Week 6 against New England, he allowed his highest yards per reception rate in a single game and a touchdown. 

As mentioned, Love has no problem throwing it downfield. He’s had three touchdown passes on passes that went 20+ yards downfield. 

This is probably a quarter or half-unit wager, but Watson could take one to the house at any moment.

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Joe Mixon Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-123 at Caesars Sportsbook)

The key for the Texans in this game is going to be running the football, and as mentioned above, teams have been able to at a fairly efficient clip this season.

The Packers have allowed four running backs to eclipse this line in six games. The only two teams that fell short were the Cardinals, who scored 13 points, and the Tennessee Titans, who managed just eight carries in the whole game. 

Otherwise, running backs like Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones, Jonathan Taylor, and Saquon Barkley have all gone for 93 or more.

The Texans traded running back Cam Akers to the Minnesota Vikings, meaning there are even fewer mouths to feed in the backfield. 

I think Mixon gets to 75 rushing yards or more in this one. 

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Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-179 at Caesars Sportsbook)

The line we’re getting is 1.5 touchdowns, and while the odds aren’t great at -179, there’s really no data to make us think otherwise. 

Not only do the Texans allow two passing touchdowns per game, but in all four games Love has played, he’s had two passing touchdowns or more. As mentioned, he’s had four in two of those games. 

In the other two games, he’s had exactly two. 

The Packers have an excellent passing attack, and this feels like the safest prop bet, albeit with a caveat of -179 odds, that you can take for this matchup. 

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Texans vs. Packers: How to Watch

• When: Sunday, Oct. 20 at 1:00 PM ET

• Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

• Where to Watch: CBS

Texans vs. Packers Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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Texans vs. Packers Injuries

• Packers defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt is questionable. 

• Packers wide receiver Dontayvion Wicks is questionable with a shoulder injury. 

• Packers tight end Luke Musgrave was placed on injured reserve with an ankle injury. 

• Texans wide receiver Robert Woods is questionable. 

• Texans safety Jimmie Ward is questionable. 

• Texans cornerback Kamari Lassiter is questionable. 

• Texans linebacker Henry To’oTo’o is questionable with a concussion. 

• Texans linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair is questionable with a knee injury. 

• Texans left tackle Laremy Tunsil is questionable with an ankle injury.

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