The Eagles attempted four two-point conversions this season.
Of the Eagles four attempts, three involved the same player who scored the touchdown before it.
The Chiefs attempted two two-point conversions this season but didn’t use the same player who scored the touchdown on either.
With Super Bowl 59 between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles on the horizon, it’s time to start examining the list of Super Bowl prop bets.
In scanning FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get $200 in bonus bets right now after you create an account, deposit $5, and place a winning $5 bet, we came across the prop market for whether or not there will be an “Octopus.”
Octopus is a term for a player who scores a touchdown and two-point conversion on the same drive.
Below, we’ll use odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and determine whether or not this will happen.
Any Player to Record an Octopus | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1040 |
No | -2500 |
When you examine a prop like this, it’s only natural to look back at the season to see if a team has actually accomplished this.
After researching each game the Chiefs and Eagles played this season, here are my findings.
The Eagles attempted four two-point conversions this season. Three of those four attempts went to the same player who scored a touchdown. The only time they were successful, though, was when it didn’t involve the same player.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs have attempted two two-point conversions. They converted one in the AFC championship game against the Buffalo Bills. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes ran in a touchdown and then converted a pass to Justin Watson.
As for the other, it came against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Christmas. Running back Kareem Hunt ran in a touchdown, and Mahomes threw an interception on the two-point try.
With this data in mind, I’d be willing to bet on it happening.
The willingness comes solely from the Eagles' side. They have two players, running back Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts, who are prolific scoring options.
They’ve scored a combined 36 rushing touchdowns this season, including the playoffs.
I could see a situation where either of them runs in a touchdown and then runs in a two-point try.
There could also be a scenario where Hurts scores, there’s a flag and the Eagles move from the two-yard to the one-yard line to attempt the two-point try and they use the tush push.
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Below are three players who could record an “Octopus.”
Barkley is a scoring machine. He has scored 20 times this season, including the playoffs.
With Barkley, I’m not worried about him scoring a touchdown in this game. That feels like a foregone conclusion, and the odds are in the -200 range.
As for a two-point conversion, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him get a carry up the middle or a draw out of a shotgun.
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While many question Hurts’ throwing ability, he can score rushing touchdowns almost better than anyone in the league.
He had three rushing touchdowns against the Commanders alone. He also scored against the Rams.
Hurts has scored in all but six games, including the playoffs.
If he scores, there’s real potential for him to either drop back and scramble or a tush push if a flag moves them to the one-yard line.
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Kelce scored a touchdown against the Houston Texans in the divisional round. He was quiet in the AFC championship, but I expect him to be a big-time target in the year's biggest game.
The problem is that Kelce scored just three times during the regular season.
The Eagles allowed two touchdowns to tight ends against the Rams. While they didn’t only one against Washington, they did allow 14 catches on 19 targets for 138 yards.
Kelce has just five two-point conversions since 2014 and hasn’t over the past two seasons.
However, if the Chiefs need a two-point conversion, Kelce is still a red zone threat in what could be his last season in the NFL.
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