Patrick Mahomes won the last two Super Bowl MVPs
The last true upset in Super Bowl MVP betting came when Cooper Kupp won in 2022
Six of the last eight Super Bowl MVPs were quarterbacks, and the other two were receivers
Football is a team game, and the ultimate goal is to win the Super Bowl—but once per year, one player etches their name into permanent football lore by winning the race in Super Bowl MVP odds.
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen leads the Super Bowl MVP odds board despite stars Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley leading the Super Bowl favorites, the Philadelphia Eagles. Rookie phenom Jayden Daniels is also up to fifth following the Washington Commanders' historic upset over the first seed Detroit Lions.
Here’s a look at Super Bowl MVP odds and arguments for the top candidates.
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Player | Position | Team | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Josh Allen | QB | Buffalo Bills | +250 BET HERE |
Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs | +270 BET HERE |
Jalen Hurts | QB | Philadelphia Eagles | +500 BET HERE |
Saquon Barkley | RB | Philadelphia Eagles | +500 BET HERE |
Jayden Daniels | QB | Washington Commanders | +800 BET HERE |
AJ Brown | WR | Philadelphia Eagles | +2400 BET HERE |
Travis Kelce | TE | Kansas City Chiefs | +4200 BET HERE |
James Cook | RB | Buffalo Bills | +6000 BET HERE |
Xavier Worthy | WR | Kansas City Chiefs | +6000 BET HERE |
DeVonta Smith | WR | Philadelphia Eagles | +6500 BET HERE |
Marquise Brown | WR | Kansas City Chiefs | +11000 BET HERE |
Dallas Goedert | TE | Philadelphia Eagles | +12000 BET HERE |
Terry McLaurin | WR | Washington Commanders | +12000 BET HERE |
Isiah Pacheco | RB | Kansas City Chiefs | +12000 BET HERE |
Kareem Hunt | RB | Kansas City Chiefs | +15000 BET HERE |
Jalen Carter | DT | Philadelphia Eagles | +16000 BET HERE |
Keon Coleman | WR | Buffalo Bills | +19000 BET HERE |
Zack Baun | LB | Philadelphia Eagles | +20000 BET HERE |
Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | Washington Commanders | +20000 BET HERE |
Allen was a second-team All-Prop and will finish in the top two in MVP voting. He’s had a great start to the playoffs, averaging 232.5 total yards and two touchdowns per game while blitzing past the Denver Broncos and outlasting the Baltimore Ravens in freezing weather. The 28-year-old also went for 262 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception when he helped take down the Chiefs in Week 11, marking their starters’ only loss of the regular season.
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Mahomes had a very slow start to the year before he picked it up down the stretch, now reaching 19 touchdowns and two interceptions over his final nine games. He only went 16/25 for 177 yards and a touchdown in KC’s divisional win over the Houston Texans, and he will need to move the ball with greater purpose to help beat the Bills. Regardless, no player is more comfortable in high-leverage moments or close games than the two-time MVP and three-time champ.
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Hurts is walking on thin ice in the City of Brotherly Love. Since returning from a two-and-a-half week layover with a concussion and across two playoff games, he averaged 129.5 passing yards and 53 rushing yards, and has three total touchdowns to zero interceptions. Hurts also appeared to injure his knee in Sunday’s snowy win over the LA Rams and is going to need to find a way to produce against a high-flying Washington team to even reach the Super Bowl.
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The first-year Eagle just torched the Rams for 205 yards and two touchdowns, bringing him to 324 rushing yards in just two playoff games. He eclipsed 100 yards rushing in eight of his last nine games and racked up 196 rushing yards, 52 receiving yards, and four touchdowns in two games against the Commanders. With Hurts struggling, Barkley should be the focal point of the offense for the rest of the playoffs.
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Daniels just ripped the Lions to the tune of 299 passing yards, 51 rushing yards, and two touchdowns, and now leads the playoffs in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and QBR, all as a rookie. Road playoff teams are only 2-8, but the Commanders have both of those wins and no losses. The Eagles only allowed one player to throw more than two touchdowns in a game, but that was Daniels when he threw five TDs in Week 16.
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Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes won the 2024 Super Bowl MVP after he went 34/46 for 333 yards, two touchdowns, an interception, and 66 rushing yards in a 25-22 overtime win against the San Francisco 49ers. That was Mahomes’ second straight Super Bowl MVP award and the third of his career.
Six of the last eight Super Bowl MVP winners were quarterbacks. The two that weren’t were wide receivers.
Chuck Howley was the first defensive player and the only player ever to win the Super Bowl MVP as a member of the losing team. He accomplished this in Super Bowl V, when he had two interceptions and a fumble recovery but saw his Dallas Cowboys lose to the Baltimore Colts 16-13.
The most improbable Super Bowl MVP is arguably ex-Philadelphia Eagles QB Nick Foles, who in 2017 took over for MVP frontrunner Carson Wentz after he suffered a season-ending knee injury. Foles helped Philly beat the Tom Brady-led New England Patriots while throwing for 373 yards and three touchdowns and even caught a touchdown on a trick play.
Year | Player | Position | Team | Closing Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs | +145 |
2023 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs | +130 |
2022 | Cooper Kupp | WR | Los Angeles Rams | +600 |
2021 | Tom Brady | QB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +190 |
2020 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs | +105 |
2019 | Julian Edelman | WR | New England Patriots | +2500 |
2018 | Nick Foles | QB | Philadelphia Eagles | +460 |
2017 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots | +125 |
2016 | Von Miller | LB | Denver Broncos | +2500 |
2015 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots | +200 |
Year | Player | Position | Team |
---|---|---|---|
1967 | Bart Starr | QB | Green Bay Packers |
1968 | Bart Starr | QB | Green Bay Packers |
1969 | Joe Namath | QB | New York Jets |
1970 | Len Dawson | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
1971 | Chuck Howley | LB | Dallas Cowboys |
1972 | Roger Staubach | QB | Dallas Cowboys |
1973 | Jake Scott | S | Miami Dolphins |
1974 | Larry Csonka | RB | Miami Dolphins |
1975 | Franco Harris | RB | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1976 | Lynn Sawnn | WR | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1977 | Fred Biletnikoff | WR | Oakland Raiders |
1978 | Harvey Martin/Randy White | DE/DT | Dallas Cowboys |
1979 | Terry Bradshaw | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1980 | Terry Bradshaw | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1981 | Jim Plunkett | QB | Oakland Raiders |
1982 | Joe Montana | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1983 | John Riggins | RB | Washington Redskins |
1984 | Marcus Allen | RB | Los Angeles Raiders |
1985 | Joe Montana | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1986 | Richard Dent | DE | Chicago Bears |
1987 | Phil Simms | QB | New York Giants |
1988 | Doug Williams | QB | Washington Redskins |
1989 | Jerry Rice | WR | San Francisco 49ers |
1990 | Joe Montana | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1991 | Ottis Anderson | RB | New York Giants |
1992 | Mark Rypien | QB | Washington Redskins |
1993 | Troy Aikman | QB | Dallas Cowboys |
1994 | Emmitt Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
1995 | Steve Young | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1996 | Larry Brown | CB | Dallas Cowboys |
1997 | Desmond Howard | KR/PR | Green Bay Packers |
1998 | Terrell Davis | RB | Denver Broncos |
1999 | John Elway | QB | Denver Broncos |
2000 | Kurt Warner | QB | St. Louis Rams |
2001 | Ray Lewis | LB | Baltimore Ravens |
2002 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2003 | Dexter Jackson | S | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
2004 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2005 | Deion Branch | WR | New England Patriots |
2006 | Hines Ward | WR | Pittsburgh Steelers |
2007 | Peyton Manning | QB | Indianapolis Colts |
2008 | Eli Manning | QB | New York Giants |
2009 | Santonio Holmes | WR | Pittsburgh Steelers |
2010 | Drew Brees | QB | New Orleans Saints |
2011 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
2012 | Eli Manning | QB | New York Giants |
2013 | Joe Flacco | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
2014 | Malcolm Smith | LB | Seattle Seahawks |
2015 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2016 | Von Miller | LB | Denver Broncos |
2017 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2018 | Nick Foles | QB | Philadelphia Eagles |
2019 | Julian Edelman | WR | New England Patriots |
2020 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
2021 | Tom Brady | QB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
2022 | Cooper Kupp | WR | Los Angeles Rams |
2023 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
2024 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
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