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NFL Super Bowl MVP Odds: Allen Favored, Rookie Daniels Enters Top Five

Updated January 20, 2025
8 min read
  • Patrick Mahomes won the last two Super Bowl MVPs

  • The last true upset in Super Bowl MVP betting came when Cooper Kupp won in 2022

  • Six of the last eight Super Bowl MVPs were quarterbacks, and the other two were receivers

Football is a team game, and the ultimate goal is to win the Super Bowl—but once per year, one player etches their name into permanent football lore by winning the race in Super Bowl MVP odds.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen leads the Super Bowl MVP odds board despite stars Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley leading the Super Bowl favorites, the Philadelphia Eagles. Rookie phenom Jayden Daniels is also up to fifth following the Washington Commanders' historic upset over the first seed Detroit Lions.

Here’s a look at Super Bowl MVP odds and arguments for the top candidates.

NFL Super Bowl MVP Odds

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and claim the bonus: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

PlayerPositionTeamOdds
Josh AllenQBBuffalo Bills+250
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Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs+270
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Jalen HurtsQBPhiladelphia Eagles+500
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Saquon BarkleyRBPhiladelphia Eagles+500
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Jayden DanielsQBWashington Commanders+800
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AJ BrownWRPhiladelphia Eagles+2400
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Travis KelceTEKansas City Chiefs+4200
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James CookRBBuffalo Bills+6000
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Xavier WorthyWRKansas City Chiefs+6000
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DeVonta SmithWRPhiladelphia Eagles+6500
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Marquise BrownWRKansas City Chiefs+11000
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Dallas GoedertTEPhiladelphia Eagles+12000
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Terry McLaurinWRWashington Commanders+12000
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Isiah PachecoRBKansas City Chiefs+12000
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Kareem HuntRBKansas City Chiefs+15000
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Jalen CarterDTPhiladelphia Eagles+16000
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Keon ColemanWRBuffalo Bills+19000
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Zack BaunLBPhiladelphia Eagles+20000
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Brian Robinson Jr.RBWashington Commanders+20000
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Super Bowl MVP Predictions

Favorites to Win Super Bowl MVP

Josh Allen (+250) - QB, Buffalo Bills

Allen was a second-team All-Prop and will finish in the top two in MVP voting. He’s had a great start to the playoffs, averaging 232.5 total yards and two touchdowns per game while blitzing past the Denver Broncos and outlasting the Baltimore Ravens in freezing weather. The 28-year-old also went for 262 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception when he helped take down the Chiefs in Week 11, marking their starters’ only loss of the regular season.

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Patrick Mahomes (+270) - QB, Kansas City Chiefs

Mahomes had a very slow start to the year before he picked it up down the stretch, now reaching 19 touchdowns and two interceptions over his final nine games. He only went 16/25 for 177 yards and a touchdown in KC’s divisional win over the Houston Texans, and he will need to move the ball with greater purpose to help beat the Bills. Regardless, no player is more comfortable in high-leverage moments or close games than the two-time MVP and three-time champ.

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Jalen Hurts (+500) - QB, Philadelphia Eagles

Hurts is walking on thin ice in the City of Brotherly Love. Since returning from a two-and-a-half week layover with a concussion and across two playoff games, he averaged 129.5 passing yards and 53 rushing yards, and has three total touchdowns to zero interceptions. Hurts also appeared to injure his knee in Sunday’s snowy win over the LA Rams and is going to need to find a way to produce against a high-flying Washington team to even reach the Super Bowl.

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Saquon Barkley (+500) - RB, Philadelphia Eagles

The first-year Eagle just torched the Rams for 205 yards and two touchdowns, bringing him to 324 rushing yards in just two playoff games. He eclipsed 100 yards rushing in eight of his last nine games and racked up 196 rushing yards, 52 receiving yards, and four touchdowns in two games against the Commanders. With Hurts struggling, Barkley should be the focal point of the offense for the rest of the playoffs.

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Jayden Daniels (+800) - QB, Washington Commanders

Daniels just ripped the Lions to the tune of 299 passing yards, 51 rushing yards, and two touchdowns, and now leads the playoffs in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and QBR, all as a rookie. Road playoff teams are only 2-8, but the Commanders have both of those wins and no losses. The Eagles only allowed one player to throw more than two touchdowns in a game, but that was Daniels when he threw five TDs in Week 16.

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Who Won the Super Bowl MVP in 2024?

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes won the 2024 Super Bowl MVP after he went 34/46 for 333 yards, two touchdowns, an interception, and 66 rushing yards in a 25-22 overtime win against the San Francisco 49ers. That was Mahomes’ second straight Super Bowl MVP award and the third of his career.

Super Bowl NFL MVP History

Six of the last eight Super Bowl MVP winners were quarterbacks. The two that weren’t were wide receivers.

Chuck Howley was the first defensive player and the only player ever to win the Super Bowl MVP as a member of the losing team. He accomplished this in Super Bowl V, when he had two interceptions and a fumble recovery but saw his Dallas Cowboys lose to the Baltimore Colts 16-13.

The most improbable Super Bowl MVP is arguably ex-Philadelphia Eagles QB Nick Foles, who in 2017 took over for MVP frontrunner Carson Wentz after he suffered a season-ending knee injury. Foles helped Philly beat the Tom Brady-led New England Patriots while throwing for 373 yards and three touchdowns and even caught a touchdown on a trick play.

Super Bowl MVP Betting History

YearPlayerPositionTeamClosing Odds
2024Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs+145
2023Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs+130
2022Cooper KuppWRLos Angeles Rams+600
2021Tom BradyQBTampa Bay Buccaneers+190
2020Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs+105
2019Julian EdelmanWRNew England Patriots+2500
2018Nick FolesQBPhiladelphia Eagles+460
2017Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots+125
2016Von MillerLBDenver Broncos+2500
2015Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots+200

Past Super Bowl MVP Award Winners

YearPlayerPositionTeam
1967Bart StarrQBGreen Bay Packers
1968Bart StarrQBGreen Bay Packers
1969Joe NamathQBNew York Jets
1970Len DawsonQBKansas City Chiefs
1971Chuck HowleyLBDallas Cowboys
1972Roger StaubachQBDallas Cowboys
1973Jake ScottSMiami Dolphins
1974Larry CsonkaRBMiami Dolphins
1975Franco HarrisRBPittsburgh Steelers
1976Lynn SawnnWRPittsburgh Steelers
1977Fred BiletnikoffWROakland Raiders
1978Harvey Martin/Randy WhiteDE/DTDallas Cowboys
1979Terry BradshawQBPittsburgh Steelers
1980Terry BradshawQBPittsburgh Steelers
1981Jim PlunkettQBOakland Raiders
1982Joe MontanaQBSan Francisco 49ers
1983John RigginsRBWashington Redskins
1984Marcus AllenRBLos Angeles Raiders
1985Joe MontanaQBSan Francisco 49ers
1986Richard DentDEChicago Bears
1987Phil SimmsQBNew York Giants
1988Doug WilliamsQBWashington Redskins
1989Jerry RiceWRSan Francisco 49ers
1990Joe MontanaQBSan Francisco 49ers
1991Ottis AndersonRBNew York Giants
1992Mark RypienQBWashington Redskins
1993Troy AikmanQBDallas Cowboys
1994Emmitt SmithRBDallas Cowboys
1995Steve YoungQBSan Francisco 49ers
1996Larry BrownCBDallas Cowboys
1997Desmond HowardKR/PRGreen Bay Packers
1998Terrell DavisRBDenver Broncos
1999John ElwayQBDenver Broncos
2000Kurt WarnerQBSt. Louis Rams
2001Ray LewisLBBaltimore Ravens
2002Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2003Dexter JacksonSTampa Bay Buccaneers
2004Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2005Deion BranchWRNew England Patriots
2006Hines WardWRPittsburgh Steelers
2007Peyton ManningQBIndianapolis Colts
2008Eli ManningQBNew York Giants
2009Santonio HolmesWRPittsburgh Steelers
2010Drew BreesQBNew Orleans Saints
2011Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers
2012Eli ManningQBNew York Giants
2013Joe FlaccoQBBaltimore Ravens
2014Malcolm SmithLBSeattle Seahawks
2015Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2016Von MillerLBDenver Broncos
2017Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots
2018Nick FolesQBPhiladelphia Eagles
2019Julian EdelmanWRNew England Patriots
2020Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs
2021Tom BradyQBTampa Bay Buccaneers
2022Cooper KuppWRLos Angeles Rams
2023Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs
2024Patrick MahomesQBKansas City Chiefs

Super Bowl MVP FAQ's

What Is the Super Bowl MVP?

What Is the Criteria for Winning the Super Bowl MVP?

Who Has Won the Most Super Bowl MVPs?

How Many Quarterbacks Have Won the Super Bowl MVP?

How Many Running Backs Have Won the Super Bowl MVP?

What Is the Most Common Position of Super Bowl MVP Winners?

What Team Has Produced the Most Super Bowl MVPs?

Has a Player for the Losing Team Ever Won a Super Bowl MVP?

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Grant Mitchell

Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
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