The Ravens and Chargers will battle in what should be one of the most competitive Sunday Night Football games of the season. The Chargers have underperformed this season, entering this game with a 4-6 record.
Los Angeles hasn’t been able to defend home turf either, with a 2-3 record at SoFi Stadium. Head coach Brandon Staley is on the hot seat because his team has underperformed in 2023. It doesn’t appear like he will be the leader in Los Angeles moving forward unless the team has a severe turnaround.
The Ravens are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. They enter this game at 8-3, which includes a 4-1 road record. Baltimore is on a mission this season, and they have been tremendous on defense.
We expect the Ravens to win and cover in this game, but props could be very profitable. Let’s break down some of our favorite bets for the action!
Keaton Mitchell has gained a lot of traction in the Ravens backfield in the past few weeks. John Harbaugh is committed to getting Mitchell his touches, but the running back room still belongs to Gus Edwards.
Edwards has an elite mix of speed and strength and fits Baltimore’s scheme. Lamar Jackson will run away from defenders, and Edwards will run them over frequently.
Mitchell’s increased workload is a concern for betting on Edwards rushing yards, but it doesn’t change our opinion on the feature back finding the endzone. As of late, Edwards has been a touchdown machine, scoring in five straight games.
He also has three multi-touchdown games in his past four contests. The Ravens have a lot of momentum following a win over the Bengals in Week 11, and Edwards was the catalyst. He carried the ball 12 times for 62 yards with two touchdowns. We believe Edwards’ touchdown streak will continue on Sunday.
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Justin Herbert has been asked to throw the ball a lot this season. His passing yards prop is listed at 242.5 on Sunday Night Football, which is low, but this is for a good reason.
Baltimore has one of the best passing defenses in the NFL, and they have terrorized many top-tier passers. According to Cold, Hard Football Facts, the Ravens rank second in Defensive Passer Rating.
The group is also second in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating from CHFF. This stat measures how well a defense defends all aspects of quarterback play. Herbert will need help finding receivers down the field based on this rank.
Justin Herbert has relatively low passing yardage numbers in his past few games. He had 136 against the Jets and 260 against the Packers, a team that isn’t great in the secondary. If the Ravens play their best game, Herbert stays under this line even if he has a lot of attempts.
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Zay Flowers has burst onto the scene in his rookie season. The 5’10” receiver out of Boston College has 53 receptions on the season for 588 yards with one touchdown. He has averaged 11.1 yards per attempt this season and will look to continue building off his success on Sunday.
Lamar Jackson has been fantastic throwing the ball this season inside the pocket. He has also been great at improvising plays, which leads to long completions down the field.
Flowers has been the most explosive player for the Ravens in the passing game and can surpass his 60.5-yard line in a few catches. Los Angeles is 20th in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating, 29th in Defensive Passer Rating, and 24th in Total Team Yards Allowed.
Flowers has only gone over this total in two of the team’s past five games, but the Chargers present him with many profound pass opportunities.
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