The NFL Week 3 nightcap pits the Pittsburgh Steelers against the Las Vegas Raiders in an AFC showdown under the lights of Las Vegas, Nevada.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.5 (-105) | +116 | O 43 (-110). |
Las Vegas Raiders | -2.5 (-115) | -136 | U 43 (-110) |
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The Raiders have a slight rest advantage over the Steelers, who had to play the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football in Week 2. Pittsburgh also has to fly across the country to meet the Raiders in Allegiant Stadium.
The Steelers emerged victorious from their Monday night encounter, 26-22, thanks to two defensive touchdowns. The offense was almost useless aside from a quick slant route George Pickens turned into a 71-yard trip to the house.
The Raiders won their season opener at Denver but were thumped 38-10 by the Buffalo Bills last week. They allowed 450 yards of total offense to Josh Allen and company, including 183 on the ground.
The season is still young, but the Raiders rank bottom seven in points scored and points allowed. The Steelers are not much better but are four points better in average scoring margin.
The Steelers are excellent as underdogs in the Mike Tomlin era. During his time in charge, they are 52-28-3 against the spread when they are spotted points, most recently including their outright win as 2.5-point dogs against the Browns.
Even if their offense continues to struggle, the defense is strong enough to win games on its own. They proved that last year, when the team won nine games despite ranking 26th in scoring output.
The Raiders have a couple of nice pieces but are mostly bereft of talent, particularly on the defensive side of the football. Josh Jacobs is also yet to really get off the mark in the new year, and Jimmy Garoppolo is averaging less than 200 yards passing to go with three touchdowns and three interceptions.
Pickens is arguably the most talented player on Pittsburgh’s offense, yet he only has five TDs in 19 career games. So why do we like this bet so much?
Pittsburgh has made it clear it wants to get Pickens' more involved in the offense. He scored the touchdown last week and is the firm number-one option with Diontae Johnson currently serving a stint on the injured reserve. The sportsbooks also view Pickens as the most likely Pittsburgh pass-catcher to score.
Kenny Pickett has struggled to get the ball outside the numbers during his NFL career, but the Raiders have a bottom-half pass defense. The Steelers might only score one touchdown in this game, which means that if Pickens finds his way into the end zone at all, this bet has a great chance to cash.
Garoppolo has not thrown for more than 200 yards in two games thus far. He’s played stout defenses, but it’s not going to get any easier going against a Pittsburgh unit that has allowed an average of 206.5 per game.
The key for the Steelers will be shutting down Davante Adams. Easier said than done, but Adams also has not been at his best and is yet to eclipse 90 yards.
The Raiders offensive line has allowed the fewest pressures in the league thus far, according to Pro Football Focus, but they’ll be put to the test against T.J. Watt and company. We expect Garoppolo to be under fire, and also for the Raiders to look to run the ball in a low-scoring, clock-centered affair.
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