Pittsburgh leads the AFC North at 6-2
Washington sits at the top of the NFC East at 7-2
Jayden Daniels is the heavy favorite to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year
One of the best matchups in Week 10 is Steelers vs. Commanders on Sunday. Russell Wilson has played great football, going 2-0 as a starter.
Jayden Daniels is currently -1350 to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award in 2024. He has Washington in playoff contention as they are leading the NFC East.
This game will depend on how well the Commanders protect Daniels, giving him time to find his playmakers.
It won’t be easy for Daniels, as TJ Watt should be applying pressure throughout the game. He is the betting favorite to win the Defensive Player of the Year at -135 on FanDuel sportsbook.
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Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. New customers on FanDuel Sportsbook can get $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager on the app wins. This is a great way to rack up some bonuses for the NFL season.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Steelers | +3 (-118) | +124 | Over 45.5 (-108) |
Washington Commanders | -3 (-102) | -148 | Under 45.5 (-112) |
This matchup will be the most exciting game in Week 10, and we have a play with a ton of value. We are taking the Steelers to cover the spread, as they’re a slightly better team than Washington.
According to Cold Hard Football Facts, the Steelers are the best team in the Quality Stats Power Rankings and have the second-best Defensive Real Quarterback Rating. This proprietary statistic breaks down how well each team performs on the defensive side of the ball.
Pittsburgh is also the third-best team in the Intelligence Index, which measures efficient football teams.
Head coach Mike Tomlin is one of the best coaches in the NFL's history. He will have his team ready for Sunday.
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Russell Wilson is playing some of his best football in 2024. In two starts, he has thrown for 542 yards and three touchdowns.
Wilson has not turned the ball over this season, a sign of a winning quarterback.
Wilson doesn’t have to be perfect, as Pittsburgh’s defense will not allow many points. The defense has been led by Watt, who has 6.5 sacks and four forced fumbles. This is impressive, considering he is getting double-teamed by almost every opponent's offensive line.
The Commanders have found their franchise quarterback in Jayden Daniels. In 2024, he has thrown for 1,945 yards with nine touchdowns.
Daniels has displayed great decision-making in his first year, throwing only two interceptions.
Brian Robinson Jr. has been great rushing the football for Washington. He has 461 yards on the ground with six touchdowns. Austin Ekeler is also an excellent back-up to have alongside Robinson.
We expect Washington to struggle to run the ball in this contest, facing one of the best defenses in the NFL. Daniels will face his most challenging task and must use his legs to escape pressure.
Look for Wilson to carry the momentum into Week 10 and find success. This will be a great matchup that will come down to defense, and we think the Steelers have the advantage.
George Pickens only had one touchdown in 2024 but was the best playmaker on the Steelers. He is Wilson's clear number-one target, and we expect them to be on the same page this week.
Pickens has 35 catches for 548 yards this season. He is coming off a 74-yard performance one week ago, and we expect his volume to increase.
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Brian Robinson Jr. has been one of the most reliable players in scoring touchdowns this season. He has six touchdowns and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry.
He has done a terrific job capitalizing in the red zone, taking pressure off Daniels. He has scored in five out of seven games this season.
After not scoring a touchdown one week ago, look for Robinson to get back on track.
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Pat Freiermuth is a tremendous offensive threat for the Steelers, especially considering his size and route-running ability. He excels in the red zone, and Mike Tomlin likes to utilize him.
Freiermuth has 264 receiving yards to go with two touchdowns in 2024. We expect him to play a more significant role in this week’s matchup and score a touchdown.
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When: Sunday, November 10, 2024
Where: Northwest Stadium
Where to Watch: CBS
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Steelers Terrell Edmunds S - Questionable
Steelers Nick Herbig LB - Questionable
Commanders Dorance Armstrong DE - Questionable
Commanders Dante Fowler Jr. LB - Questionable
Commanders Clelin Ferrell DE - Questionable
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Sunday Night Football Picks: NFL Week 10
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