Steelers vs. Browns Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Will Jameis Winston Stop the Pick-Sixes

• Browns quarterback Jameis Winston had nearly 500 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions in Week 13

• The Browns beat the Steelers earlier this season

• The Steelers are coming off a 44-38 win over the Bengals last week

The 9-3 Pittsburgh Steelers are home in Week 14 against the 3-9 Carolina Panthers. The Steelers are first in the AFC North, while the Browns are last in the same division.

Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.

Steelers vs. Browns Odds

Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Using our exclusive link and promo code WSNDYW, you’ll get your next 10 bets doubled in winnings after betting $1.

Steelers vs. Browns: My Pick

• My Pick: Browns to cover the spread at +7 (-110) at Caesars.

This line started at 6.5, and I like the Browns value, and now that it’s out to seven, I like it even more. 

The Browns offense has put up points with quarterback Jameis Winston under center, scoring 24 points or more in three of his five starts. 

Last week, against the Denver Broncos, Winston had 497 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. 

The Browns beat the Steelers earlier this season, too. 

I’ll take the points.

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Steelers vs. Browns Predictions

The Browns won at home over the Steelers a couple of weeks ago, and while I’m not sure they can win at Pittsburgh, they should be able to cover. 

The Steelers allow one passing touchdown per game and average more than one interception. Last week, they allowed 309 yards and three touchdowns to the Cincinnati Bengals and quarterback Joe Burrow.

While I don’t put Winston in a league near Burrow, Winston is willing to throw a lot if required. In the win over the Steelers, he attempted just 27 passes, partially because of the weather.

He did throw an interception in that game, which didn’t help, but that’s all part of the “Winston experience.” 

Over his five starts, he has 1,680 yards, 10 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. He’s averaging 336 passing yards, two touchdowns, and 1.4 interceptions per game.

There’s been a bit of an up-and-down nature to his play, but he can put up numbers. 

Meanwhile, yes, Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson is coming off a game with 414 yards and three touchdowns. Not to take anything away, but this was against a Bengals team that’s lost several games despite scoring 30-plus points. 

Before this, he had multiple touchdown passes in two of five games. 

The Browns rushing attack has also been one of the worst this season, but in their previous game, they managed two rushing scores despite the inefficiency. 

The Steelers have allowed at least one rushing touchdown to running backs in each of the last seven games. 

The Browns failed to cover against the Broncos, but a big part of that was two pick-sixes. While that’s certainly in Winston's repertoire in any given game, I’ll take a chance on that not happening here and take the points with a player who’s willing to throw 60 times if needed.

Steelers vs. Browns Best Player Props

Nick Chubb Anytime TD (+165) at Caesars Sportsbook

I’ll be transparent in saying that this prop will keep me on the edge of my seat all afternoon long. 

The Steelers consistently allow rushing touchdowns to running backs, and Chubb is their lead back.

The problem is Chubb has been wildly inefficient, and understandably so—he’s coming off an incredibly brutal injury. 

In the Week 12 matchup between these teams, Chubb had 20 carries for 59 yards and two touchdowns. 

At +165, and given the trends, I’m willing to go for it, maybe a half-unit bet, but it’s unsettling.

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Jameis Winston 2+ Passing TDs (+107) at Caesars Sportsbook

As I mentioned multiple times above, Winston, for the lack of a better term, is a wild man. 

He’s had 41 attempts or more in four of five games and has two touchdowns or more in three of those five. 

He didn’t have one against the Steelers last time, but again, the weather was less than accommodating. 

Just look at the game logs: He attempted just 27 passes in that game, 14 less than in the next closest game. 

I think Winston will throw plenty here. It could be a messy stat line, but that’s been his career arc.

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Jameis Winston 2+ INTs (+180) at Caesars Sportsbook

Winston has seven interceptions through five starts. He has multiple interceptions in two of five starts. 

He threw one interception against the Steelers in Week 12 on just 27 attempts, which was a massive outlier in his five starts. 

The Steelers average 1.08 interceptions per game and have multiple in five games. 

Getting +180 value on Winston to throw multiple interceptions is just smart betting. He averages more than one interception per game across his entire career (103 games and 106 interceptions). 

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Steelers vs. Browns: How to Watch

• When: Sunday, Dec. 8 at 1:00 PM ET

• Where: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

• Where to Watch: CBS

Steelers vs. Browns Best Promos and Sportsbooks

If you’re looking for the best odds for the Steelers vs. Browns matchup or any other Week 14 NFL game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. I always refer to Caesars because of their player props. They hit the market early, allowing me to get in on the action early. 

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Steelers vs. Browns Injuries

Steelers Injuries

• The Steelers had multiple players not practice on Wednesday, but it was non-injury related and cited as “rest.”

Browns Injuries

• Browns cornerback Myles Harden is questionable with a tibia injury

• Browns defensive tackle Maurice Hurst is questionable with an ankle injury

• Browns defensive end Sam Kamara is questionable with a concussion

• Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore is questionable with a shoulder injury

• Browns wide receiver Cedric Tillman is questionable with a concussion

• Browns safety Juan Thornhill is questionable with a calf injury

• Browns wide receiver Jamari Thrash is questionable with a shoulder injury

• Browns offensive tackle Jedrick Wills is questionable with a knee injury

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