The Bengals have started the season 1-4
The Giants are coming off a 29-20 win over the Seahawks
New York is 0-2 at MetLife Stadium
The Bengals had Super Bowl LIX aspirations, but their start to the 2024 season could have been better. Cincinnati is 1-4, coming off a 41-38 loss to the Ravens.
The team has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. They would likely be a 4-1 football team if they were an average unit.
The Giants are 2-3 but still looking for their first win at home. Neither team is reliable, so the best way to attack this game is through the prop markets. We’re targeting a few player props on bet365 Sportsbook.
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Betting on Joe Burrow is a better way to view a Bengals game than a spread or moneyline play. Cincinnati has barely covered this season, and they have just one moneyline win over the Panthers of the NFC South.
Carolina isn’t a good team, but the Bengals struggled in their lone win of the season. The quarterback's props have been valuable since the defense is playing poorly, and Burrow looks like one of the best quarterbacks in the league.
When the Bengals' defense gives up points, Cincinnati throws the ball down the field to keep pace with their opponents. Burrow’s passing yards line is 262.5, and he has exceeded this mark in two of his past three games.
Burrow is sixth in the NFL in passing yards with 1,370. He is also 12th in passing touchdowns and second in QBR at 73.6. The Cold, Hard Football Facts are a proprietary statistical tool used to compare NFL teams.
New York is 27th in Defensive Passer Rating and 23rd in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating. They have done an excellent job not surrendering the big play but look for Burrow to have success down the field.
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Ja’Marr Chase has been one of the best receivers in the NFL. He is 29th in receptions but second in yards with 493. He is also tied for first in touchdowns with five.
Chase’s and Burrow’s stats clearly show that the offense isn’t the issue in Cincinnati. If Burrow exceeds his passing prop, Chase must exceed his receiving prop, as these are correlated.
Even though the Bengals have Tee Higgins on their side, Chase is still the leader in the receiver room. Chase is coming off his best game of the season, where he caught ten passes for 193 yards and two touchdowns.
He has two 100+ yard games in the past three weeks and has exceeded 75.5 yards in three straight contests. Chase and Burrow are clicking, a positive sign for the team moving forward.
If the Bengals' defense allows points, look for Burrow and Chase to start taking many shots downfield to create explosive plays.
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The New York Giants should win this contest. Daniel Jones and company are facing one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL, which should allow Malik Nabers to have a big performance.
Nabers is first in the NFL in receptions and seventh in receiving yards with 386. He is also sixth in touchdowns with three this season. Nabers has quickly become Jones’ favorite target, and this should continue against the Bengals' horrid passing defense.
Cincinnati is 26th in Defensive Passer Rating, 22nd in Total Team Yards Allowed, and 23rd in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt. The Bengals allow explosive plays through the air, and Nabers creates these significant gains for the Giants.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see Nabers find the end zone on a long pass from Jones on Sunday night.
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