The NFL regular-season finale is here as the Buffalo Bills prepare to take on the Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football in Week 18.
The Bills won the last meeting between these two in Week Four 48-20 and won four straight games, though their performances the last couple of weeks were anything but impressive. The Dolphins are banged up and struggle against teams above .500 but are 7-1 at home.
We built a same-game parlay for the Bills vs. Dolphins SNF matchup rife with playoff implications—let’s see how it looks.
Josh Allen anytime TD scorer
Tyreek Hill 70+ receiving yards
James Cook 50+ rushing yards
Dolphins +3.5
Under 48.5 points
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Bet $5, and Get $150 at FanDuel, as well as daily profit boosts.
Allen ran for a touchdown in five straight and 12 of his last 14 games. He and Jalen Hurts are tied for the single-season record for rushing touchdowns by a quarterback, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him cross the pylons against a Dolphins team he also ran one by in Week 4.
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Tyreek leads the league in receiving yards but hasn’t been overly productive in losses or against teams with winning records—that’s why the Dolphins are going to need him to step up big with a chance to guarantee the second seed in the conference. He went over 70 receiving yards in 11 of 15 games, even including last week’s 56-19 loss to the Ravens, during which he managed 76 receiving yards.
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Cook has been much more involved in the game plan recently, earning an average of 20.3 carries over the last three games. He managed 50+ rushing yards in five of his last seven outings and is facing a Miami front that, while it is solid, just lost Bradley Chubb to an injury. He should get a steady diet to help keep the Miami offense on the sidelines, which gives him a platform to go over his total.
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Despite their injury concerns and struggles against top teams, the Dolphins are excellent at home. The Bills are also notorious for disappointing in big moments over the past few seasons and are going to be facing tons of pressure if the Steelers win and they can be eliminated with a loss. Josh Allen’s turnover problem also makes riding with a home underdog even more alluring of an option.
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Although we picked a few overs, this is a high line in a game that is going to be cagey and in primetime. The teams are also a combined 15-17 on the over/under and will know that one mistake could severely alter their postseason prospects.
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When: Sunday, Jan. 7 @ 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
TV: NBC
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