Sunday Night Football Picks Week 11: AFC Playoff Berth on the Line?

• The Bengals (4-6) are still seventh in odds to win the AFC, just behind the Chargers

• Joe Burrow leads the NFL in passing yards and is tied for the lead in passing touchdowns

• Justin Herbert went over his passing line in four of his last five games

The Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers are both outside contenders to win the AFC Championship and the Super Bowl, and they’re set to take center stage on Sunday Night Football.

The 4-6 Bengals could be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss, yet they’re still viewed as one of the most dangerous teams in the conference. Meanwhile, the humble Chargers are quietly 6-3 with the best defense in the NFL.

We’re here to share our best Bengals vs. Chargers betting picks to close out the weekend on Sunday Night Football. Here are our best bets. 

Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSNSPORTS and claim up to $1,500 in bonus bets*.

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Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-145) at BetMGM

Burrow is the majority of the Bengals’ offense, and he’s been outstanding this season. The former first-overall pick and Heisman winner threw four touchdowns last week and five the week before and went over this line in seven of 10 games thus far.

In addition, Burrow leads the league in passing touchdowns and is playing for his playoff life on Sunday. The Chargers give up the fewest points per game and do a great job at defending the pass, but Burrow is dialed in and will throw the ball plenty of times, if his 56 attempts last Thursday are any indication.

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Justin Herbert Over 227.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM 

It’s almost as if Jim Harbaugh finally realized how special of a talent he had at quarterback! After throwing for less than 180 yards in four straight games to start the season, Herbert beat this line in his next four games until he only managed 164 in 18 attempts against the Tennessee Titans last weekend.

The Bengals are going to move the ball, and Herbert is going to need to respond. Cincy is 17th in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.6) and 23rd in passing yards allowed per game (220.2), and Herbert has found ways to be successful through the air even without having a great cast of weapons. 

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Chase Brown Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-120) at BetMGM

This one could be controversial, seeing as Brown went under in five of his last six games and isn’t revered as a great back in general, while the Chargers allow the fewest points per game. However, there’s some key contextual evidence that leads us to believe that he could get over this total on SNF.

The Chargers are only 25th in yards allowed per rush attempt (4.7) and gave up 132 yards in 21 carries to the Titans last week. The Bengals don’t typically run the ball all that much, but they’ll be well rested with 10 days between games and should come out trying to impose their will at the point of attack.

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Ladd McConkey Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at BetMGM

McConkey, a second-round pick in the summer, might be a rookie, but he’s the best receiving option on the Chargers. The former Georgia Bulldog caught two passes for 52 yards last week but went over this line in consecutive games just before that and leads the team in receptions, targets, and receiving yards.

The Bengals’ porous secondary is going to leave holes for Herbert to exploit. McConkey can work underneath or down the field, and his quarterback is in a great rhythm. If Herbert goes over his passing total, there’s a strong chance that McConkey does as well.

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