Saints vs. Chiefs MNF Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Can Kansas City Stay Unbeaten Ahead of Bye Week

• The Saints have scored just 36 total points in their last two games after scoring over 40 points in their first two games. 

• Kansas City has held opposing teams to 20 points or less in three of four games this season.

• Travis Kelce had seven catches in Week 4 after just eight total catches in the first three games of the season.

Unfortunately, there are no more Monday Night Football doubleheaders. On the bright side, Week 5 gives us a fascinating matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the New Orleans Saints. While the Chiefs are still undefeated on the season, they’ve been less than convincing in some of their wins, perhaps leaving the door open for New Orleans to pull off an upset.

Saints vs. Chiefs Odds

Predictably, the Chiefs are home favorites on Monday night. However, the spread is less than a touchdown, indicating that this could be a close game. These are the current odds for the Saints-Chiefs game from bet365 Sportsbook where new users can claim a bonus of their choice: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $200 in Bonus Bets.

Saints vs. Chiefs Pick

• My Pick: Chiefs 5.5-point spread with -110 odds at bet365

Even if the Chiefs have some injury concerns and haven’t quite kicked it into gear yet, they’re still the Chiefs. Kansas City keeps finding ways to win games, including a pair of wins that have come with a seven-point cushion. The Saints, on the other hand, looked good early in the season with wins over the Panthers and Cowboys. But losses to the Eagles and Falcons have brought New Orleans back down to earth. Even if the Saints are 3-1 against the spread, there isn’t a lot of evidence that they’re ready to keep pace with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs on the road for 60 minutes.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions

In a surprising twist, the Kansas City defense might be out-playing the Kansas City offense over the first month of the season. The Chiefs boast a top-10 defense that’s held three of their four opponents to 20 points or less. More times than not, holding a team to 20 points or less will be more than enough for Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense to score enough points to win comfortably.

That being said, the Chiefs have lost Isiah Pacheco, Hollywood Brown, and Rashee Rice to injury, depriving the team of several key playmakers. Travis Kelce has also been kept under wraps to this point in the season, forcing Mahomes to lean on rookie Xavier Worthy and some of the team’s other complementary receivers. Yet, the presence of JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman, as well as the return of Kareem Hunt, give the Chiefs plenty of playmakers. 

Meanwhile, the Saints currently have a top-10 defense and the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. However, after a pair of 40-plus point games to open the season, the Saints have been held to just 36 total points over the last two weeks. Derek Carr failed to throw a touchdown pass last week and now has an interception in three consecutive games, so he’s a little out of sorts after such a promising start.

The New Orleans defense has also been exposed in recent weeks after a strong start to the campaign. Despite giving up just 15 points against the Eagles, the Saints allowed 460 yards of offense in that game. While the Chiefs are far from full strength, the New Orleans defense has shown weaknesses that the Chiefs are capable of taking advantage of on Monday night.

Saints vs. Chiefs Best Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (+110 at bet365)

While Mahomes hasn’t been at his best this season, he has still thrown multiple touchdown passes in two of his four games. Even against some tough defensive teams, Mahomes is making the plays he needs to make. Given the injury to Isiah Pacheco, the Chiefs will lean even more on their quarterback, so the smart money is with Mahomes throwing multiple touchdown passes, even against a New Orleans defense that has been tough to score against through the air this year.

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Alvin Kamara Anytime Touchdown (+105 at bet365)

Even with six touchdowns in four games, Kamara is still getting plus odds to get in the end zone. A month into the season, Kamara has nearly four times as many carries as backup Jamaal Williams, not to mention the second-most receptions on the team. The Saints are leaning on him more this year than at almost any point in his career. Assuming the Saints can find the end zone once or twice in this game, there is a good chance Kamara will be the one touching the paint because he’s the one getting the ball in big spots.

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Travis Kelce Over 5.5 Receptions (-115- at bet365)

It’s been tough for Kelce to get going this year, catching just eight total passes in Kansas City’s first three games. But things are surely moving in the right direction after Kelce had seven receptions on nine targets last week. With Rashee Rice out of the picture, Mahomes will be looking in Kelce’s direction even more frequently and might try forcing the ball into him more than usual. Andy Reid is also likely to draw up more plays designed to get Kelce the ball, which is why betting on him to get at least six receptions one week after he had seven is a wise choice.

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Saints vs. Chiefs How to Watch

• When: 8:15 PM, EST on Monday, October 7

• Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

• How to Watch: ESPN

Saints vs. Chiefs Best Promos and Sportsbooks

For a great sportsbook with a lot to offer for Monday’s Saints vs Chiefs game, consider bet365 Sportsbook. At bet365, you’ll get a platform that’s easy to navigate and a sportsbook with two different welcome offers for new users, so there is a lot that separates it from other sportsbooks.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Injuries

New Orleans Saints Injuries

• TE Taysom Hill (Questionable)

• OT Ryan Ramczyk (Injured Reserve)

• OG Cesar Ruiz (Questionable)

• LB Demario Davis (Questionable)

• LB Willie Gay (Questionable)

• S Tyrann Mathieu (Questionable)

Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

• WR Rashee Rice (Out)

• WR Hollywood Brown (Injured Reserve)

• DE Mike Danna (Questionable)

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