The Ravens haven’t allowed more than 218 passing yards in any game since Week 10.
The Ravens and Steelers are 1-1 against each other this season. They’re both in the AFC North.
In January, Ravens running back Derrick Henry has six touchdowns in five games.
The No. 3 Baltimore Ravens will host the No. 6 Pittsburgh Steelers in the wild-card round of the NFL playoffs. Both teams are from the AFC North and have already played twice this season. The home team won in each game, giving them a 1-1 record against each other.
Below are the odds for this game, my pick, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. By using our promo code WSNDYW you can Double Your Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets after betting $1.
Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Steelers | +400 | +10 (-110) | Over 44 (-110) |
Ravens | -550 | -10 (-110) | Under 44 (-110) |
This is one of those playoff games that is difficult to analyze using statistics because it is the third battle between two division rivals.
I’ll discuss it further in my prediction below, but I will hold my breath and take the Steelers without feeling good about it.
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The Ravens are easily the better team here, but this is the Steelers and the Ravens. These are two teams that know each other incredibly well. The same head coaches have been there for about two decades.
Thus, it’s extremely difficult for me to lay 10 points in a third matchup in one season regardless of how obviously better the Ravens are.
Looking at their two previous matchups, the Steelers won the first 18-16 at Acrisure Stadium. They didn’t score a touchdown, but they kicked six field goals.
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson completed less than 50% of his passes and held Derrick Henry to 65 rushing yards.
Jackson hit Zay Flowers for a touchdown with about a minute left, but they failed the two-point try.
In the second game, the Ravens defeated the Steelers 34-17. However, the game was tied 17-17 until the Ravens scored 17 unanswered points from 1:50 left in the third quarter and on.
The Ravens defense has dramatically improved since Week 10. They haven’t allowed more than 218 passing yards in any game and have only allowed five passing touchdowns in that span.
They also have six interceptions since then.
The Steelers are a team in disarray right now. Quarterback Russell Wilson has had 217 passing yards or fewer in every game since Week 13. He also only has six touchdowns since then.
The one silver lining is he hasn’t turned the ball over much this season, but he does have two picks over the last three games.
There’s something else to consider here, though: Justin Fields.
Let’s face it. The Steelers season is on the line. I wouldn’t be shocked if Mike Tomlin brought in the mobile signal-caller to see if that helps spark the offense.
From Week 1 to 6, he had five rushing scores and had 55 rushing yards or more in three games.
Again, there’s no denying that the Ravens are by far the better team right now, especially considering the morale of the Steelers, but I simply cannot lay 10 points in the third matchup in a divisional
I’ll kick this one off with what I consider a layup.
There’s a narrative about Henry that when the cold temperatures come out, he heats up.
In his career, Henry has played five games in January. Through those games, he has six touchdowns.
We can also look to December as another cold month sample size.
In 34 games, he has 610 carries for 3,145 yards (5.16 yards per carry) and 30 touchdowns.
This season alone, he’s scored in all but four games.
He scored in the first game against the Steelers, too.
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I’m doubling up on Henry here. I already cited how he does as the season continues, and I think that’ll continue here.
In the last matchup against the Steelers, Jackson attempted just 23 passes while Henry ran 24 times for 162 yards.
He didn’t score, but he ran nonstop.
He’s had no less than 20 carries or 138 rushing yards in any of his last three games.
I expect him to continue to get plenty of carries, which will wear down opposing defenses inside the cold and windy M&T Bank Stadium.
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Andrews has been excellent at finding the endzone this season, but when it comes to receiving yards, it’s a bit inconsistent.
One of the main reasons for that is they platoon him and fellow tight end Isaiah Likely.
This season, Andrews played 358 receiving snaps to Likely’s 308.
Andrews gets a bit more usage, but Likely isn’t far behind.
This season, Andrews is averaging under 40 receiving yards per game.
In both games against the Steelers, he had 37 yards or less.
He’s scored in six straight games, so perhaps any anytime touchdown bet could be something you parlay this with, but I wouldn’t rely on consistent receiving yardage production.
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When: Saturday, Jan. 11 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: AMZN
If you’re looking for the best odds for the Ravens vs. Steelers matchup or any other wild-card round game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. All playoffs long, I’ll rely on Caesars to deliver the best odds and player prop options.
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Below are players that were designated as “did not practice” on Tuesday, Jan. 7.
Note: Steelers guard Isaac Seumalo and defensive tackle Cam Heyward didn’t practice. However, they were listed as out for rest and illness, respectively.
Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers is questionable with a knee injury
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