Jayden Daniels is the favorite to win AFC Rookie of the Year
The Ravens are coming off an overtime victory against the Bengals
The Ravens are favored to win the AFC North following their win over the Bengals on Sunday. Baltimore overcame a double-digit deficit in the fourth quarter against Cincinnati, bringing their record to 3-2 on the season.
However, the team allowed Joe Burrow to post massive numbers, and this isn’t a positive sign heading into a game against Jayden Daniels. Daniels has led Washington to a 4-1 record, and he is the current favorite to win Rookie of the Year.
Even though Washington has a better record, the Ravens are still favored by a touchdown at home. The Commanders deserve to be an underdog, but there is no denying they’ll be ready for a battle on Sunday.
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The following odds for the Ravens vs Commanders matchup are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Washington Commanders | +6.5 (-115) | +230 | Over 51.5 (-105) |
Baltimore Ravens | -6.5 (-105) | -280 | Under 51.5 (-115) |
The Cold, Hard Football Facts have successfully predicted the outcome of NFL games and seasons for over 20 years. Cold Hard has 22 proprietary stats we can use to determine the best bet for Sunday’s Ravens vs. Commanders game.
Baltimore is the better team, ranking fourth in the Quality Stats Power Rankings. However, Washington isn’t far behind in 10th, which doesn’t warrant a 6.5-point spread.
Daniels is playing excellently and can do many of the same things that Lamar Jackson can, which makes him a legitimate threat to score points. Baltimore has a bad secondary, and this is something Daniels can exploit.
This could be a game where Washington hangs around, and a late touchdown could lead to a cover because of the massive spread. We’re trusting the Commanders, one of the hottest teams in the league.
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The Ravens are a legitimate Super Bowl LIX contender. They have talent on both sides of the ball, even though they have been lit up through the air this season. The passing game could be the most significant difference-maker in a cover for the Commanders.
We’re on Washington because we don’t trust Baltimore’s defense. The Ravens were expected to have a solid defense and stop the run. They have been average against the run and bad against the pass.
Baltimore ranks 25th in Defensive Passer Rating and 22nd in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating. They’re also 26th in Defensive Real Passing Yards per Attempt.
Baltimore has been surrendering big pass plays through the air, and this isn’t the recipe for success in the NFL. Daniels has evolved as a pocket passer, and while he hasn’t posted substantial yardage numbers, he has been very efficient.
Daniels is 101 for 131 with 1135 passing yards, four touchdowns, and just two interceptions. If Daniels can get the ball around the goal line with some deep shots down the field, we trust Washington to find the end zone.
Terry McLaurin will be Daniels’ primary target throughout the game. The receiver has caught 23 passes for 303 yards and two touchdowns in 2024.
If Daniels and McLaurin can get on the same page early in this contest, Washington will be positioned to win the game outright. However, stay safe and take the points.
McLaurin has been Daniels’ primary target this season. The receiver has posted big numbers, considering he has a rookie quarterback in his huddle.
While the Commanders don’t throw much around the goal line, they take frequent shots down the field. The Ravens' defense gives them plenty of chances to create explosive plays.
Baltimore is notorious for allowing deep passing plays, and McLaurin has the speed to beat their secondary. He has two touchdowns this season, and we believe he will have his third on Sunday.
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The Commanders could play from behind in this contest as a 6.5-point favorite. This means they will have to pass, and they should have chances to succeed against the Ravens.
Baltimore’s secondary has been shaky, and Burrow dominated them last week. The Bengals have a similar offense to the Commanders, so if Burrow can hit 392 yards, Daniels can throw for 225.
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The Ravens will have a passing advantage over the Commanders' secondary. Washington has been even worse against the pass than Baltimore, so we expect a high-scoring game.
Jackson is a quarterback who can run and throw at a high level. Although he may not reach 150 passing yards in some games, he rushes for a significant amount.
Jackson should have a vast game throwing the ball, surpassing 221.5 yards. The Commanders rank 31st in Defensive Passer Rating, and Jackson is coming off a 348-yard performance.
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When: Sunday, October 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
How to Watch: CBS
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Ravens OT Ronnie Stanley - Questionable
Ravens WR Rashod Bateman - Questionable
Ravens DT Broderick Washington - Questionable
Commanders WR Noah Brown - Questionable
Commanders S Quan Martin - Questionable
Commanders S Percy Butler - Questionable
Commanders G Nick Allegretti - Questionable
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