Puka Nacua Prop Bets: Nacua Starting to Recapture Exceptional Form From His Rookie Year

• Injuries have limited Puka Nacua to just five games this season.

• Nacua is coming off his best game of the season, catching seven passes for 123 and his first touchdown of the season against the Patriots in Week 11.

• Nacua has at least seven catches and at least 98 receiving yards in three of his last four games.

After an amazing rookie season, injuries have defined the first half of Puka Nacua’s second season with the Rams. He was limited during training camp and then suffered a PCL tear in Week 1 that sent him to the injured reserve list. However, Nacua returned to the field in Week 8 and immediately looked like the player we saw last season. He has gone over 100 receiving yards twice in the last four weeks and also came close with 98 yards two weeks ago. That recent success has made Nacua a player worth targeting for prop bets in Week 12 when the Rams host the Eagles.

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Nacua’s return to the lineup has coincided with the Rams winning four of their last five games. Los Angeles now finds itself in the middle of one of the most compelling division races in the NFL. Be sure to check out the latest NFC West odds and a breakdown of what team has the best chance to win the division. You can also check out how Nacua’s return over the last few weeks could have an impact on Matthew Stafford leading the NFL in passing yards.

Puka Nacua Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Considering Nacua’s recent production, this figure is way too low. He’s finished with at least 98 receiving yards in three of his last four games, going over 100 yards twice during that stretch. Nacua is picking up where he left off last season and has good chemistry with Matthew Stafford. It would be surprising to see Nacua’s production suddenly drop, especially with at least nine targets in three of his last four games.

The caveat is that Nacua and the Rams face a tough opponent this week, as the Eagles have two rookie cornerbacks who have played at a high level all season with Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean. They also have Darius Slay, making the Eagles as deep at cornerback as any team in the league. However, don’t forget that Cooper Kupp, Demarcus Robinson, and Tutu Atwell help take some attention away from Nacua, which should allow him to finish with a healthy amount of receiving yards.

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Puka Nacua Over 5.5 Receptions (-155) at bet365 Sportsbook 

As mentioned, Nacua has had at least nine targets in three of his last four games. That has translated to a minimum of seven catches in those three games. Keep in mind that Nacua is coming off his best game of the season, hauling in seven catches for 123 yards and a touchdown. Stafford isn’t going to ignore Nacua after a game like that. 

Again, Philadelphia’s prowess at cornerback should be taken into account. Nacua plays a lot in the slot, which means he’s likely to get matched up with DeJean a lot. However, in the slot, Nacua is going to run much shorter routes, making it a little easier for Stafford to complete passes thrown in Nacua’s direction. As long as there isn’t a sudden decline in how many targets Nacua gets, he should have no problem going over 5.5 receptions.

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Puka Nacua Longest Reception Under 22.5 Yards (-115) at bet365 Sportsbook 

This is one area where the Philadelphia cornerbacks might have a clear edge over Nacua. DeJean, in particular, is among the leading cornerbacks in the NFL at limiting yards per reception against him. Even against a receiver like Nacua, DeJean has the tools to keep up with him and prevent a lot of yards after the catch. That could prevent Nacua from going beyond 10 yards with most of his catches, much less going beyond 22.5 yards.

In fairness, Nacua had a 37-yard catch last week, so he’s more than capable of being part of a big play down the field. But last week was the first time all season he had a catch longer than 21 yards. Even last season, Nacua only had a catch over 22.5 yards in about half of his games. While we expect him to catch at least six passes and go beyond 66 receiving yards, Nacua will limited by the Eagles when it comes to big plays.

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Puka Nacua Stats

After Week 11, here are Puka Nacua’s stats during the 2024 season:

• Receptions: 28

• Receiving Yards: 373

• Yards Per Reception: 13.3

• Touchdowns: 1

• Targets: 40

• First Downs: 20