NFL Week 4 Best Prop Bets: Will the Vikings Remain Undefeated?

• The Vikings are one of two remaining undefeated teams in the NFC

• Sam Darnold leads the league in passing touchdowns 

• Bills vs. Ravens is the biggest matchup of the week

The Bills and Ravens are legitimate Super Bowl LIX contenders and will battle on Sunday Night Football. This matchup is expected to be very competitive and the biggest of the weekend.

As great as this game is expected to be on Sunday, tons of great storylines are developing all over the league. One of the best so far revolves around Sam Darnold and the Vikings. 

Minnesota is one of two remaining undefeated NFL teams in the NFC, and Darnold leads the league in passing touchdowns. We’ve located a Darnold prop and a play for Sunday Night Football on FanDuel Sportsbook. 

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Sam Darnold Under 218.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Josh Allen is the NFL MVP favorite, the most significant mover has been Sam Darnold. Few people expected Darnold to be relevant in 2024, but he has consistently delivered for his team. 

It’s hard not to be a fan of Darnold’s story because he has overcome the odds. After falling off the map as a first-round draft pick and seeing ghosts in New York, he has helped lead the Vikings to a 3-0 start in 2024. 

While Darnold has been efficient, he hasn’t thrown for many yards. The Vikings are leaning on the rushing attack with Aaron Jones. Jones has been one of the best running backs in the NFL this season.

He has carried the ball 42 times for 228 yards and a touchdown. Jones had the hot hand on Sunday against the Texans, carrying the ball 19 times for 102 yards. Houston had no answer for the running back, as he averaged 5.4 yards per carry. 

We're leaning under Darnold's passing prop since Minnesota is evolving into a running team. It’s set at 218.5 yards, which is low, but he has gone under in two of three starts. 

He also has a bone bruise on his left knee, which could change his throwing mechanics and cause errant throws. The Packers rank 7th in Defensive Passer Rating and 1st in Defensive Real Quarterback Rating, so nothing will come easy for Darnold in this divisional game.

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Derrick Henry Over 72.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Derrick Henry has been one of the most dominant running backs in the NFL. His total was 68.5 yards last week against the Cowboys on FanDuel Sportsbook, which was surprisingly low. 

John Harbaugh didn’t commit to a strategy for Henry’s usage, but after last week, it’s clear what the Ravens plan on doing with their running back. The team wants to pound the rock, and they should because it gives them the best chance to win football games. 

Henry carried the ball 25 times for 151 yards with two touchdowns against Dallas. He is fifth in attempts (56), rushing yards (281), and first in touchdowns with four. 

The Bills haven’t been challenged defensively. The Cardinals had some success, but Buffalo stoned the Dolphins and Ravens. 

Henry’s rushing yards total is 72.5, and we’re going over this line. While Buffalo is fifth in defensive rusher rating according to Cold, Hard Football Facts, Henry will get plenty of attempts, resulting in yards. 

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Patrick Mahomes Under 255.5 Passing Yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The evolution of the Chiefs is fascinating. At one time, the offense was a juggernaut, scoring tons of points thanks to the arm of Patrick Mahomes. 

Mahomes isn’t under center to throw for 300 yards per game. He is an elite quarterback, but he has done more game-managing than anything else this season. 

Despite Mahomes' shaky start, the team is still undefeated. The quarterback knows how to win when the game is on the line, but this doesn’t result in passing yards throughout the game. 

We’re taking the under on Mahomes passing line at 255.5 against the Chargers. Los Angeles is 11th in Defensive Passer Rating and Defensive Real Quarterback Rating. They’re also 10th in Defensive Real Passing Yards/Attempt. 

We don’t expect the Chargers to score many points, which should make this contest low-scoring where stats are hard to find.

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