NFL Week 7 Best Parlay Picks: Going Against the NFL’s Worst Teams

• The Dolphins have scored 40 total points over their last four games.

• The Browns have failed to score more than 18 points in a game this year.

• The last four games between the Chiefs and 49ers have featured at least 47 total points.

NFL parlays always offer plenty of upside, but putting together a successful one is always a challenge. With just two teams on bye in Week 7, there are plenty of options for putting together a parlay that should hit. Hopefully, six weeks into the season, we’ve learned enough about each team to predict how some of these games are going to play out.

By targeting the moneyline of a couple of home favorites and trusting our instincts on a couple of other picks, we have a four-leg parlay for Week 7. For this parlay, we’re using odds from Caesars Sportsbook, which has long been one of the most prominent names in sports betting. Right now, new Caesars users can get a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose their first wager. This means you can go big on a parlay with your first bet knowing that you’ll have a bonus bet coming your way if you lose. The odds for our four-leg parlay at Caesars is currently +506.

If you end up betting with Caesars this week, you should also know how to stream NFL Week 7 games for free on the Caesars platform. Also, it’s never a bad time to check out the current Super Bowl LIX odds and our breakdown for who will win it all this year. In the meantime, here are the four legs of our Week 7 parlay.

Dolphins vs Colts ML (-190) at Caesars Sportsbook 

As long as Tua Tagovailoa is sidelined, it’s hard to envision the Dolphins beating a quality team on the road. Miami’s ugly 15-10 win over the Patriots doesn’t count because New England is terrible. Keep in mind the Dolphins have scored a total of 40 points in their last four games. We’re staying away from the spread in this game because the Dolphins could find a way to keep this within a field goal. But winning on the road in their current state seems unlikely.

Granted, the Colts aren’t the best defensive team in the league. They also have their own quarterback issues with the injury to Anthony Richardson. However, the Indy defense was good against Will Levis and the Titans last week. In fact, they’ve played well against young and inexperienced quarterbacks this year, which should create some confidence in the Indy defense. The Colts can also feel comfortable if Joe Flacco needs to step in at quarterback again because he can manage games and guide the Colts to a home win.

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Bengals ML (-235) vs. Browns at Caesars Sportsbook 

Admittedly, there is some risk in taking a 2-4 Cincinnati team to win a game on the road against a division rival. However, the Bengals have won their two previous games when they were favored on the road. In fact, Cincinnati is 3-0 against the spread on the road this year. Despite all of their problems, the Bengals still have Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins together. Even for the Cleveland defense, that can be a tough trio to contain for 60 minutes.

Meanwhile, the Browns are reeling after four straight losses. They are an unmitigated disaster offensively, failing to score more than 18 points in any game this season. They have been consistently bad with Deshaun Watson being among the most unreliable quarterbacks in the league. The Cleveland defense is good, but not good enough to win games if the offense can’t even get to 20 points. It’s worth mentioning that the Bengals have lost six straight games in Cleveland. But the Browns have been so bad offensively this year that we still feel confident taking Cincinnati’s moneyline. 

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Panthers vs. Commanders -3.5 (-218) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Carolina managed to score a win in the first game that Andy Dalton started. But it’s been downhill for the Panthers since then. They’ve allowed over 30 points in three straight games, giving them the worst defense in the league. Since Carolina has only scored more than 20 points twice in six games, there is a narrow path to victory for them this week in Washington.

Despite losing in Baltimore last week, Jayden Daniels and the Commanders put forth a good effort and earned some respect. Even with little help from his running game, Daniels managed to keep Washington competitive. The Commanders just simply couldn’t contain Derrick Henry, which is a problem most teams have had this year. While the spread for this game is -7.5, we teased it down just to play it safe in a parlay because Washington’s defense may not make this such an easy win.

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49ers vs. Chiefs Under 46.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

These two teams have developed quite a rivalry lately. The last four meetings between the 49ers and Chiefs have ended with at least 47 points with most of them featuring far more scoring than that. But that may not be the narrative this game follows. The Chiefs, in particular, have won more with their defense than their offense this year. The 49ers, meanwhile, still feature one of the most talented defenses in the league.

The Chiefs are averaging just over 21 points per game over their last three games. They are also dealing with multiple injuries to key players. In a road game against a talented defense, the Chiefs may not hit on a lot of big plays and score much more than 20 points. Of course, given how the Kansas City defense has played this year, the same can be said of the 49ers. This will be the toughest defensive team the 49ers have played this season. Look for that to translate into a defensive slugfest in this marquee game.

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