NFL Week 6 Best Parlay Picks: Teasing Home Underdogs

• All four of Houston’s wins this season have come by six points or less.

• The Browns have scored 18 points or less in every game this season.

• The Giants have allowed just five offensive touchdowns in their last four games.

The NFL continues to be a league full of surprising twists and turns. Even five weeks into the season, it’s hard to tell - outside of a few teams - what teams are going to play well from one week to the next and be reliable. That has made it difficult to put together a successful parlay because there are so few safe picks.

However, we have taken a crack at another four-leg parlay in Week 6. We’ve taken a slightly more conservative approach this week by teasing some spreads. But there is every reason to think that this parlay will win. The odds for this parlay are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is currently giving new users a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose their first wager. That means you can sign up for a Caesars account, bet on a high-value parlay, and get a second chance if the parlay loses. Currently, the odds for our four-leg parlay are +505.

If you bet at Caesars, this is also a good time to find out how to stream NFL Week 6 games for free on the Caesars platform. Plus, it’s always a good time to look at our latest breakdown of Super Bowl LIX odds. In the meantime, here is our Week 6 parlay.

Texans vs. Patriots +10.5 (-188) at Caesars Sportsbook 

On paper, this is a huge mismatch between the 4-1 Texans and the 1-4 Patriots. However, while the Patriots have lost their only two home games of the season, those losses have come by a total of eight points. Despite New England’s obvious shortcomings in the passing game, they have a top-10 rushing attack and a top-10 defense. At home, that should be enough to keep this game somewhat respectable, so it makes sense to tease the line to 10.5 points.

As for the Texans, they might be due for a letdown after a huge win over the Bills last week. This is a classic trap game for Houston with far more difficult games on the horizon. Keep in mind the Texans are 1-4 against the spread and are yet to win a game by more than six points. They also haven’t scored more than 24 points in a game since Week 1. If that continues, winning by more than 10 points will be tough, even if they don’t have a huge letdown.

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Browns vs. Eagles Over 42 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

The Browns are coming off a game in which they allowed over 30 points for the second time this season. However, the Cleveland defense has been otherwise good and should present some challenges for the Philadelphia offense. Keep in mind that before last week’s bye, the Eagles scored 31 total points in their two previous games. There are still injury questions about wide receivers Devonta Smith and A.J. Brown, as well as offensive lineman Lane Johnson. Even with an extra week, there aren’t a lot of reasons to think the Philadelphia offense will be fully healthy and clicking against a stingy defense.

Meanwhile, the Browns aren’t likely to score a lot of points against anybody. Cleveland’s high watermark for the season is just 18 points. Deshaun Watson continues to be terrible while the Cleveland rushing attack isn’t much better. Even though the Eagles have been a little up and down defensively, they have more than enough talent to handle a limited offense. This game has all the signs of an ugly affair in which both teams struggle to reach 20 points, making us feel confident in the under.

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Lions vs. Cowboys +7.5 (-228) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Dallas continues to be frustratingly inconsistent from one game to the next. But after back-to-back road wins, the Cowboys might deserve the benefit of the doubt. With losses in both of their home games this year, it makes sense for Dallas to be a home underdog against the Lions. However, it’s also hard to believe the Cowboys going 0-3 at home, especially with the way Dak Prescott has thrown the ball at times.

In other words, we like the Cowboys just enough to think that they won’t lose by more than a touchdown at home. After all, this figures to be Detroit’s first big road test of the season. They’ve certainly looked the part of a contender, but are home wins over the Rams and Seahawks sandwiched around a road win over the Cardinals that impressive? The Detroit offense won’t have as easy a time against the Cowboys as they did the last time they played. Even if the Lions eke out a win, the chances are good this will be a close game, so teasing the line to 7.5 points sounds reasonable.

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Bengals vs. Giants +7.5 (-218) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Are the 1-4 Bengals actually favorites on the road? It’s not that the Bengals don’t have some of the qualities of a good team, it’s that they insist on finding ways to lose games. Even with Joe Burrow and the passing attack rolling, the Bengals are one of the worst running teams in the NFL while also giving up the second-most points. Those are fatal flaws that have us doubting if they can cover a field goal, much less a touchdown, leading us to tease the line to 7.5 points in this game.

Also, give the Giants a little credit. Since their Week 1 disaster, they have two wins and two close against a pair of division rivals that both have winning records. In fact, holding Washington without a touchdown in that ugly 21-18 loss looks quite impressive with the way the Commanders have looked since that game. Last week’s win over the Seahawks was also a great sign for the G-Men, especially without Malik Nabers available. It’s a stretch to say that Daniel Jones has been good, but he’s been good enough. Even if they don’t win, the Giants should at least keep this game within a touchdown to close out our parlay.

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