NFL Week 4 Best Parlay Picks: Embracing the Underdogs

• The Bengals have had a total of over 50 points scored in their last two games.

• Nine of the last 12 Chiefs-Chargers games have been either a win for the Chargers or a game the Chiefs won by seven points or less.

• The New England offense totaled just 139 yards in Week 3.

It’s been tough sledding for favorites through the first few weeks of the NFL season. Not only are big underdogs beating the spread but they are coming up with wins. That has made it far more challenging to come up with parlays that have a chance to cash. However, we’ve taken a close look at the Week 4 schedule and come up with a parlay we like.

The odds for our Week 4 parlay are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is among the most recognizable names in the industry. First-time customers at Caesars can receive a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose their first wager, creating a safety net for you to make a lucrative bet with your first wager on the platform. The four-leg parlay we’ve created currently has odds of +741 at Caesars

If you bet at Caesars Sportsbook, you’ll also be able to stream NFL Week 4 games for free right on the Caesars platform. You might also be interested in seeing how our Super Bowl LIX odds look heading into Week 4. There might be a few surprises to uncover. Now let’s take a closer look at the four legs of our Week 4 parlay.

Rams +3 (-105) vs. Bears at Caesars Sportsbook 

It’s hard to fathom why oddsmakers think the Bears deserve to be favored this week, even at home. Chicago’s only win came in Week 1 in a game in which the Bears didn’t score an offensive touchdown. Even if they’ve held up defensively, Caleb Williams has twice as many interceptions as touchdown passes while the Bears have the second-fewest rushing yards in the NFL. That’s the type of team you want to fade as a favorite, even at home.

To be fair, the Rams haven’t been the most impressive or consistent team through three weeks. But they did push the Lions to overtime on the road in Week 1 and then made an extraordinary comeback over the 49ers last week. Against the Bears, a lackluster Los Angeles defense will be less of a concern. Plus, last week’s win showed the Rams have enough firepower to score points against a strong defense, so we’ll gladly take them as an underdog against the Bears.

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Bengals vs. Panthers Over 47.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

There were no punts or turnovers in Cincinnati’s Week 3 loss. In fact, the Bengals have had back-to-back games with over 50 total points. That speaks to Joe Burrow settling into the season after a dreadful Week 1, as well as a porous Cincinnati defense. With Tee Higgins back, the Bengals should continue to click offensively, which points to another high-scoring affair in their visit to Carolina.

As for the Panthers, perhaps Bryce Young was the problem all along. With Andy Dalton at the helm, the Panthers racked up over 400 yards of offense and 36 points on the road. The Carolina offense should be able to keep it rolling at home against a lackluster Cincinnati defense. Ultimately, both of these teams should have no problem getting to 20 points with both likely to push for 30 points. That makes it easy to take the over in this matchup.

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Chiefs vs. Chargers +8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

The Chargers have been a thorn in Kansas City’s side in recent years. While the Chargers only have three wins in their last 12 games against the Chiefs, of Kansas City’s nine wins during that stretch, six came by a touchdown or less. Keep in mind those were underachieving teams that weren’t as strong defensively or as proficient running the ball as the Chargers have been this season. Even if they don’t pull off the win, the Chargers should keep this game within a touchdown and make it tough on the Chiefs.

It’s worth noting that nothing has come easy for the Chiefs this season. All three of their wins have come by a touchdown or less. Kansas City’s wins have almost been too close for comfort, and at times have been aided by fortuitous refereeing decisions. To their credit, the Chiefs are as good as anybody at finding a way to win games late. But that doesn’t mean they’re suddenly going to win comfortably and cover more than a touchdown in a road game against a division rival.

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Patriots vs. 49ers ML (-550) at Caesars Sportsbook 

We’ll close our parlay with the safest pick of the week. Believe it or not, a moneyline of -550 actually adds quite a bit of value to a four-leg parlay. Despite back-to-back road losses, the 49ers should get back on track at home this week. Granted, injuries are a concern, especially with Brock Purdy nursing a sore back. However, unless he misses this game, Purdy and the San Francisco defense should be enough to knock off the Patriots.

New England gained a total of 139 yards in last week’s loss to the Jets, showing no signs of life offensively. That makes this a bad time to face the San Francisco defense or consider switching to rookie Drake Maye. There is simply no reason to think the New England offense can score enough points to win this game. Even if the 49ers don’t cover a double-digit spread, they’ll get the victory, giving our four-leg parlay a slight boost with a safe pick.

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