Best Parlay Picks for NFL Week 17: Time to Trust the Road Team

• The Broncos are averaging 33.2 points per game over their last five games, going 4-1 during that stretch

• Carolina is 6-1 against the spread in the team’s last seven games

• The Browns are 1-6 straight up and 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games

Time is running out in the NFL season with just two weeks left in the regular season. However, Week 17 figures to be one of the best weeks of the season with games on Wednesday, Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. While that limits our options for a parlay a little bit with the Wednesday and Thursday games off the table, we still have a play for creating a four-leg parlay. As usual, we’ll tease lines just a little to create a parlay with a strong chance of hitting while still providing tons of value.

One of my preferred platforms for creating a parlay is Caesars Sportsbook. At Caesars, you’ll find competitive odds and a tool that makes it easy to tease spreads and point totals. Likewise, Caesars has a great offer for new users right now, giving them 10 separate 100% profit boosts when they sign up and make a $1 bet. Naturally, I suggest you place a $1 bet to get your profit boosts and use one of them to create a parlay. Even before a profit boost, the odds at Caesars for this Week 17 four-leg parlay are +539.

Beyond the welcome offer, Caesars also makes it easy to stream NFL Week 17 games for free right on the Caesars platform. This means you can track the games that are part of your parlay in real-time. This is also a good time to check out the latest breakdown of the current Super Bowl LIX odds with the playoffs around the corner. In the meantime, here is a four-leg parlay for Week 17.

Chargers ML vs. Patriots (-225) at Caesars Sportsbook 

The Chargers haven’t officially clinched a playoff spot, so they can’t afford to take it easy in Saturday’s matinee. Also, despite this game being played on a Saturday, they have a little extra rest after playing on Thursday last week. That could give them a slight edge over the Patriots. The Chargers also seemed to figure things out defensively in the second half of last week’s win. That’s a good omen as they prepare to face a rookie quarterback in Week 17. Since this spread is only a few points, we can take the moneyline without losing much value.

Also, there still aren’t a lot of reasons to believe the Patriots can beat a quality team. Despite giving the Bills a run for their money last week, they’ve still lost five in a row. New England’s only wins this year have come against the Bengals, Jets, and Bears. They’ve allowed the third-most points in the NFL this season and will be going up against the top defense in the league. That just doesn’t translate to a win for the Patriots.

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Broncos +7.5 (-238) vs. Bengals at Caesars Sportsbook 

Following consecutive wins over the Cowboys, Titans, and Browns, the oddsmakers are finally starting to believe in the Bengals by making them a home favorite on Saturday. But they still don’t have a win over a team with a winning record this season. The Bengals are also 2-5 at home and have a dreadful defense. It’s one thing to beat flawed teams like the Titans and Browns, it’s another thing to take down a team like Denver with playoff aspirations, which is why it’s hard to reconcile the Bengals as the favorite in this game.

That being said, we wanted to tease this spread to 7.5 points just to be safe. After all, the Bengals have a dynamic passing attack. On the other hand, the Broncos had won four in a row before losing a tough road game to the Chargers last Thursday. They are also unbeaten against teams with a losing record and have averaged 33.2 points per game over their last five games. Against the Cincinnati defense, the Broncos should at least score enough points to stay within a touchdown of the Bengals and have a good chance to win this game.

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Panthers +10.5 (-158) vs. Buccaneers at Caesars Sportsbook 

The Panthers have suddenly turned into a team that can be trusted. They’ve gone 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games, including a three-point loss to the Chiefs, a six-point loss to the Eagles, and a three-point loss to the Tampa Bay team they’ll face this week. While most of that success has come at home, Carolina is no doubt full of confidence after last week’s overtime win. Bryce Young has looked better while the Panthers have always had a stable running game with Chuba Hubbard. Since they’re already big underdogs, we only teased this line to 10.5 points to feel safe.

Keep in mind that the Bucs are coming off two long road trips and have been on the road in four of the last five weeks. They could be wearing out late in the season, which would explain their puzzling loss to the Cowboys last week. Also, Tampa is just 4-3 against the spread this season when favored. The Bucs are also a hard team to trust with Baker Mayfield’s propensity for turnovers and a defense that gives up 23.5 points per game. With the Panthers looking competent offensively lately, they should at least be able to keep this game within 10 points against a subpar Tampa defense.

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Dolphins -6.5 (-110) vs. Browns at Caesars Sportsbook 

There is no need to tease the spread in this game because the Browns look absolutely dead in the water. They looked pitiful in a 24-6 loss last week - against a division rival no less. The switch at quarterback did nothing to help Cleveland, which has scored 14 points or less in three straight games and five of its last seven overall. In those seven games, the Browns are 1-6 straight up and 1-6 against the spread. There is almost no reason to believe they can suddenly become competitive this week, even at home.

On the other side, the Dolphins have every reason to be motivated with their playoff hopes slim but still alive. They should play inspired football, especially after a double-digit win against the 49ers last week. Admittedly, the road has not been kind to the Dolphins, who are 3-4 against the spread away from home this year. But they have a top-10 defense that should shut down Cleveland’s terrible offense and too much talent offensively not to win this game by at least a touchdown.

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