Best Parlay Picks for NFL Week 15: Moneyline Bets Are Your Friend

• The Saints are 0-6 this season against teams that currently have a winning record, including four losses by double digits.

• Baker Mayfield has thrown 13 interceptions this season, the second most in the league.

• The Broncos are tied for the second-fewest points allowed in the NFL this year.

With just four weeks left in the regular season, the stretch run of the NFL season is here. There should be more than enough data points about every team to make good betting decisions and create a successful parlay for Week 15. We’ve had success with our four-leg parlay in five of the last eight weeks, giving us a lot of confidence heading into the final few weeks of the season. For Week 15, our focus is going to be on the moneyline of favored teams, taking the spread completely out of the equation without sacrificing value. 

When it comes to parlays, Caesars Sportsbook is among the top NFL betting platforms. This is particularly true with the current welcome offer that gives new customers 10 separate 100% profit boosts when they make a $1 bet. That means you can sign up, make a $1 bet, and then double your profit on your next 10 bets. Doubling your profit for a four-leg parlay can make a big difference, especially since the odds for this week’s parlay - without any profit boost - is currently +490.

In addition to the welcome offer, Caesars also makes it easy to stream NFL Week 15 games for free right on the Caesars platform. That way, you can track your parlay as the games are unfolding. Naturally, with just four weeks left in the season, it’s also a good idea to look at our most recent breakdown of the current Super Bowl LIX odds. Of course, first comes our four-leg parlay picks for Week 15.

Commanders -6.5 vs. Saints (-146) at Caesars Sportsbook 

There is no moneyline required for this game. Instead, we’ve teased the line a little to bring it under a touchdown. After the Commanders snapped their losing streak against the Titans before last week’s bye, Washington should be a safe pick to take care of business, even on the road. With road wins over the Bengals, Cardinals, and Giants this season, the Commanders can be trusted to beat a bad team on the road. The 5-8 Saints certainly qualify as a bad team right now.

Granted, New Orleans has won three of its last four games. But those wins all came against teams with losing records. In games this season against teams that currently have a winning record, the Saints are 0-6 with four of those losses coming by 13 points or more. The kicker is that Derek Carr has a broken hand and is in concussion protocol, so he looks unlikely to play in Week 15. That should limit the New Orleans offense, making it a little easier for the Commanders to win by at least a touchdown.

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Buccaneers vs. Chargers ML (-160) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Even with a small spread, it’s safer to go with the moneyline in this game. Even with a loss last week and a loss in their last home game, the Chargers should find a way to win this game. They continue to be the best defensive team in the NFL, which makes them extra tough to beat at home. Keep in mind that Baker Mayfield can be turnover-prone at times, throwing 13 interceptions this season, including four over his last two games. Against the Los Angeles defense, one or two turnovers could be the nail in the coffin for Mayfield and the Bucs.

To be fair, Tampa is in the midst of a three-game winning streak. However, beating the Giants, Panthers, and Raiders is a lot different than beating the Chargers on the road. Tampa’s last win over a team with a winning record came in Week 4. Since then, the Bucs have struggled to beat quality opponents. But they’re also 4-2 against the spread on the road and have stayed competitive in some of their losses. That’s why it’s safer to take the Chargers’ moneyline in this game.

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Colts vs. Broncos ML (-210) at Caesars Sportsbook 

If you want to squeeze a little more value from this parlay, you might trust the Broncos to cover the spread. However, after things got a little too close for comfort against the Browns in their last game, Denver’s moneyline is the safer choice. The Broncos have gone 4-2 at home this season with their last home loss coming in Week 6. Also, despite failing to contain Jerry Jeudy in that Monday night win over the Browns, Denver is tied for the second-fewest points conceded in the NFL this season. Coming off a bye, they should be in good shape to get a win that could propel them to the playoffs.

For what it’s worth, the Colts have won their last two road games. Of course, each of those wins have come by a single point against the Jets and Patriots. They also have a three-point road win over the Titans earlier this season. But winning in Denver is a different type of challenge, especially given Anthony Richardon’s uneven play lately. The young quarterback has completed more than 50% of his passes just twice in nine games this season. Also, the Colts have allowed at least 24 points in their last four games. If that trend continues, Richardson may not be able to top that number against the Denver defense, giving the Broncos a clear path to victory.

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Patriots vs. Cardinals -2.5 (-218) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Admittedly, there is some risk to this bet with the Cardinals losing three in a row. But they’ve been good at home this season and know that this is a must-win game if they hope to stay in the playoff picture. Also, two of their three recent losses came against a red-hot Seattle team with a one-point road loss to the Vikings sandwiched in between. Before that, the Cards had rattled off four straight wins. Things aren’t quite as bleak as they might seem for a team on a three-game losing streak. At home, Arizona should find a way to bounce back and win by at least a field goal.

It’s not as if there are a lot of reasons why the Patriots should be considered a threat. New England has also lost three in a row and is just 2-4 on the road this season. Even if Drake Maye is showing some signs of promise, he’s thrown an interception in five straight games and taken at least three sacks in four of those five games. That’s too many negative plays to overcome for a team that’s averaging the second-fewest points per game in the league. That’s why we feel good about including the Cardinals in our parlay this week.

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