Best Parlay Picks for NFL Week 14: Bet Heavy on Home Favorites to Cover

• The Eagles are 6-2 against the spread during their current eight-game winning streak.

• Atlanta has scored 36 total points during the team’s current three-game losing streak.

• The Dolphins have won their last eight home games against the Jets.

Our parlay success during the middle part of the season continued last week. Our four-leg parlay has cashed in five of the last seven weeks after another successful group of picks in Week 13. Even with a change of strategy last week that focused more on underdogs, we were able to secure four accurate picks and hit a parlay valued at +504. The goal is the same in Week 14, although we’ll be going back to our old strategy of trusting home favorites to cover the spread, even if playing with the spread is needed here and there.

Since it has a tool that makes it easy to tease spreads, Caesars Sportsbook is our preferred platform for this week’s parlay. New Caesars customers can also place a $1 bet on their first wager and receive 10 separate 100% profit boosts. In other words, after placing your first bet, you can double the potential profit on your next 10 bets. Given our recent success, doubling your profit on our Week 14 parlay sounds like a good deal. Without any profit boosts, the current odds for our Week 14 parlay at Caesars Sportsbook are currently +522. Don't forget to use our promo code WSNDYP to claim this offer at Ceasars.

Another great thing about Caesars is that once you’ve placed your parlay, you’ll be able to stream NFL Week 14 games for free on the Caesars platform. This will make it easier to check the status of your bets. Finally, since we only have five weeks left in the NFL season, now is also a good time to check out our latest breakdown of the current Super Bowl LIX odds. In the meantime, here are the four picks in our Week 14 parlay.

Panthers vs. Eagles -9.5 (-164) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Admittedly, the Panthers have been a little better lately, going 4-0 against the spread in their last four games. Bryce Young is starting to find his footing a little, helping Carolina score at least 20 points in each of those four games. However, the Panthers will be facing a Philadelphia defense that’s held the Commanders, Rams, and Ravens to 20 points or less in consecutive weeks. Also, Carolina’s recent success has come at home, which matters because the Panthers are 1-4 against the spread on the road.

At the same time, the Eagles have won eight in a row, going 6-2 against the spread during that stretch. In fairness, the Eagles haven’t exactly won a lot of lopsided games during that stretch. But there is clearly a gap between them and Carolina. Therefore, we’ll tease this line just a little so that Philadelphia only has to win by 10 points in a game that the Eagles should be able to dominate.

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Falcons vs. Vikings ML (-235) at Caesars Sportsbook 

This game is filled with narrative with Kirk Cousins making his return to Minnesota. However, Cousins’ job could be in jeopardy amidst Atlanta’s three-game losing streak in which he’s thrown no touchdowns and six interceptions. The Falcons have scored just 36 total points during that stretch. With the added pressure of returning to Minnesota, it’s hard to envision Cousins suddenly getting his act together and finding a way to beat a 9-2 team that’s allowing just 18.3 points per game.

On the other hand, the Vikings are a hard team to trust with regard to covering a spread. While in the midst of a five-game winning streak, Minnesota has only covered the spread twice during that stretch. The Vikings needed overtime to get past the Bears two weeks ago and only beat the Cardinals by a single point last week. That being said, the Vikings are a quality team and always seem to find ways to win and have only lost once at home this season. Therefore, Minnesota’s moneyline is a safe inclusion in our parlay.

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Jets vs. Dolphins -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Last week’s loss in Green Bay aside, the Dolphins have been playing great since Tua Tagovailoa returned from injury. Prior to last week, Miami put together three straight wins by at least eight points. That’s a good indicator that the Dolphins can cover 6.5 points against the Jets. It’s worth noting that the Jets have lost their last eight trips to Miami with five of the last six games decided by at least a touchdown. In fact, six of the last eight meetings between these teams have been won by the Dolphins by at least seven points.

The current version of the Jets doesn’t create much confidence that such a trend will change. In their last nine games, the Jets are 1-8 overall and 1-9 against the spread. Even with a couple of close games in recent weeks, they’ve lost two of their last three road games by more than 20 points. Aaron Rodgers has failed to throw for 200 yards in three straight games, making a sudden outburst against Miami to be unlikely. That makes us secure in picking the Dolphins to cover without teasing the spread.

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Jaguars vs. Titans Over 34.5 (-238) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Oddsmakers have overlooked the fact that seven of the last 10 games between these teams have ended with 48 total points or more. To be fair, neither of these teams is that good offensively this season. With Mac Jones and Will Levis likely to be the starting quarterbacks, this doesn’t seem like a high-scoring game on paper, which is why we’ve teased down the point total a little. But the history of high-scoring games in this rivalry speaks volumes.

It’s also worth mentioning that both teams have hit the over more times than not this season. Also, both are subpar defensively with the Jags giving up 28.3 points per game and the Titans allowing 27.7 points per game. Given the defensive shortcomings of both teams, it’s not unreasonable to think that both teams could score at least 20 points in this game. Even if only one team reaches that threshold, there is a good chance at least 35 total points will be scored in this game.

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