Best Parlay Picks for NFL Week 13: Is This the Week to Trust Underdogs

• The Steelers are 4-0 straight up as an underdog this season.

• Before their loss to the Lions, the Jaguars won against the spread in four straight games.

• The Bills are 5-1 against the spread during their current six-game winning streak.

Week 12 was not our finest hour, as the NFL was full of surprises. However, hitting our parlay in four of the last six weeks isn’t too bad. Looking at Week 13, a slight change in strategy might be needed, as the Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday games limit our options a little. Also, looking at the schedule, we might have a little more luck by targeting some underdogs this week. As usual, by teasing the odds a little, we’ve managed to find good value with a four-leg parlay that has an excellent chance of cashing.

This week’s parlay was put together using odds from Caesars Sportsbook. At Caesars, you’ll find a tool that makes it easy to tease the spread or point total of a game, making it perfect for parlays. Plus, new customers can bet $1 and double the winnings on their next 10 bets at the platform with our promo code WSNDYW.

For our Week 13 four-legged parlay bet, the current odds at Caesars Sportsbook are +504.

Once you’ve played your wager at Caesars, the next step is learning how you can stream NFL Week 13 games for free on the Caesars platform. This makes it easier to track the games that are part of your parlay. Meanwhile, since we’re almost to the stretch run of the season, be sure to check out our latest breakdown of the current Super Bowl LIX odds. For now, here are the four picks in our Week 13 parlay.

Steelers +6.5 vs. Bengals (-218) at Caesars Sportsbook 

Coming off one road loss against a division rival, the Steelers have another road game against a bitter rival. However, the Steelers are now underdogs, giving them a little bit of leeway if we tease the line a little. Pittsburgh is actually 4-0 straight up as an underdog this season, including a pair of road wins. Plus, the Steelers had won five in a row until the snow in Cleveland got in the way, so there is no need to overreact to last week’s loss.

At the same time, there is still no reason to trust the Bengals, even at home. Keep in mind that Cincinnati is just 1-4 at home this year. The Bengals have also found ways to lose games against quality teams. They’ve allowed at least 24 points in each of their last four games. If that trend continues, it’s going to be tough for the Bengals to win, much less cover a spread against the Pittsburgh defense. That makes us feel safe teasing this line a little in Pittsburgh’s favor.

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Titans vs. Commanders Over 41.5 (-178) at Caesars Sportsbook 

The Commanders are in a rut and seem to be playing a lot of high-scoring games right now. Their last four games have ended with at least 44 total points, including two games that have gone beyond 50 points. The Washington defense has been the culprit during the team’s losing streak. At the same time, the Commanders have an offense that can score a lot of points if they can get back on track. This is why they are 8-4 O/U this year, making us confident about teasing the point total down just a little.

Meanwhile, Will Levis and the Tennessee offense are showing signs of life. The Titans managed a high-scoring win against the Texans last week, giving them some confidence against a struggling Washington team. If the Titans can take advantage of Washington’s defensive struggles, this is going to be a high-scoring game. The Tennessee defense is still among the worst in baseball, which is why we want to lean to the over.

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Texans vs. Jaguars +10.5 (-258) at Caesars Sportsbook 

In theory, the Texans are a good team that should beat the Jaguars convincingly. But they don’t look like a team that can be trusted right now. Last week’s loss to the Titans is even more evidence that something isn’t quite right with this team. The Texans have lost three of their last four games and haven’t been good on the road other than their trip to Dallas two weeks ago. A win on the road, even against the Jags, is no longer a lock for Houston. But just to be safe, we’ll tease the spread to 10.5 points.

Admittedly, Jacksonville is coming off an ugly 52-6 loss to the Lions prior to last week’s bye. However, the Lions seem to be crushing everybody these days, so there is no need to read too much into that game. Before that game, the Jags had won four in a row against the spread despite facing a tough schedule. In losses to the Packers, Eagles, and Vikings, Jacksonville kept it closer than the spread, which makes us confident they can do the same this week, especially if we tease the spread to give Jacksonville a little more leeway.

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49ers vs. Bills -7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook 

This is the one game we don’t need to tease because the 49ers have lost the right to call themselves a quality team. This is an organization in disarray that just got blown out by the Packers on the road. The 49ers also have a double-digit loss to the Chiefs, so it’s not far-fetched to think they’ll fail to stay within a touchdown of the Bills. The injuries are just piling up too high for the 49ers to remain competitive against a team like Buffalo for 60 minutes.

After all, the last time we saw the Bills, they handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season in convincing fashion. They’ve won six in a row, beating the spread in five of those games and winning four of those six games by more than a touchdown. Unlike the injury-plagued 49ers, the Bills are coming off a bye week, so they should be as fresh and healthy as they’ve been in a while. That should translate to another comfortable win this week against a San Francisco team that’s reeling at the moment.

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