The Seattle Seahawks are currently in first place in the NFC West division standings
The Green Bay Packers have a one game lead over Washington for the sixth seed in the playoffs
Seattle’s defense ranks below league average in Def Rush Success Rate and Adjusted Line Yards
After a slow start to the season, the Green Bay Packers have swiftly climbed up the wildcard standings and have a one game lead over Washington for the sixth seed in the playoffs. They now hit the road to battle it out against the Seattle Seahawks in a NFC Conference matchup that may have major playoff implications. Especially in regard to Seattle as a loss on Sunday would open the door for the rest of the division to potentially chip away at the gap between them in the NFC West division standings.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | -2.5 (-120) | -154 | Over 46.5 (-105) |
Seattle Seahawks | +2.5 (-102) | +132 | Under 46.5 (-115) |
Heading into Sunday, Josh Jacobs has the opportunity to command defensive attention by running wild against a Seahawks front seven who ranks below league average in Def Rush Success Rate. This will open up gaps in coverage for Jordan Love and his deep group of pass catchers to exploit, giving their offense an opportunity to set a scoring pace too fast for Seattle to keep up with. Especially with their own defense continuing to improve as the Packers enter the contest ranked top-15 in Def DVOA and EPA.
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Not only is Josh Jacobs poised for a big game, but he may also receive an uptick in carries to help bolster his chances of clearing his yardage prop to help combat against the Seahawks vaunted secondary. His usage should remain relatively unscathed when in the red zone, stripping away opportunities for Love to throw a touchdown. On the other side of the field, expect Geno Smith to be under relentless pressure which hurts his ability to generate explosiveness while having less time in the pocket to let plays develop.
While the Seahawks secondary has vastly improved over the past few weeks of play, their front seven has still struggled with stopping the run. Especially when in the middle of the field as the Seahawks defense enters the contest ranked well below league average in Def Rush Success Rate and Adjusted Line Yards. That bodes well for the Packers Josh Jacobs, especially when running behind an offensive line who excels at creating wide open rushing lanes in the trenches as their high mark in Adjusted Line Yards indicates.
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Even though Jordan Love has steadily improved since making his return from injury, regression looms large as he faces off against a Seahawks secondary who ranks top-15 in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Especially when Love is expected to operate in a collapsing pocket as the Seahawks also excel at generating pressure with just their front four. That may lead to an uptick in carries for Josh Jacobs when in the red zone to combat against variance, lessening the chances of Love throwing a touchdown.
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Speaking of operating in a collapsing pocket, Geno Smith may find himself in a similar situation as he plays behind an offensive line who has been dreadful in Pass Block this season. As of writing, the Seahawks offensive line ranks near the bottom of the board in Off Adjusted Sack Rate and Adjusted Line Yards. With less time in the pocket, the Seahawks pass catchers will struggle to break away from the Packers coverage which hampers their ability to generate an explosive play down field.
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When: Sunday, December 15
Where: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
Where to Watch: NBC
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Packers Injuries
WR Romeo Doubs - Questionable
LB Edgerrin Cooper - Questionable
CB Jaire Alexander - Questionable
CB Javon Bullard - Questionable
S Evan Williams - Questionable
Seahawks Injuries
RB Kenneth Walker III - Questionable
CB Tre Brown - Questionable
Sunday Night Football Week 15 Picks
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