Packers vs. Bears Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Can Caleb Williams Bounce Back?

• Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is averaging just 156 passing yards per game over the last three weeks

• Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs is averaging over five yards per carry in each of the last three games

• Packers quarterback Jordan Love has thrown 10 interceptions this season, including at least one in each game

 The 6-3 Green Bay Packers are on the road in Week 11 against the 4-5 Chicago Bears. The Packers are in third place in the NFC North, while the Bears are last in the same division.

Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props. 

Packers vs. Bears Odds

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Create an account at FanDuel and make an initial wager of at least to claim $150 in bonus bets.

Packers vs. Bears: My Pick

• My Pick: Packers to cover the spread at -5.5 (-118) at FanDuel

The Bears are hosting the Packers, who are coming off a bye. Their starting quarterback, Caleb Williams, has been playing terrible football lately. He’s averaging a mere 156 passing yards per game over the last three weeks and just 198.3 this season. 

The Packers defense also averages 2.5 sacks per game, and the Bears offensive line morale is at an all-time low after allowing nine sacks against the New England Patriots.

The Packers win this one easily.

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Packers vs. Bears Predictions

Heading into this game, the Bears are coming off a loss to the Patriots, scoring just three points. They’ve also fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, who was in his first season with the team.

Thomas Brown, who was the Bears passing game coordinator, is taking over as the Bears offensive coordinator. He has a history as an offensive coordinator. He spent the 2023 season with the Carolina Panthers, who averaged a league-low 161.2 passing yards per game. 

This season, Williams is completing 60.5% of his passes for 1,785 yards, nine touchdowns, and five interceptions. 

Over the last three games, he’s averaging just 156 passing yards per game over the last three and hasn’t thrown a single touchdown over that span. 

He’s also been sacked 15 times over the last two games. 

Williams has had trouble throwing deep, too. He’s completing just eight of 38 passes for 278 yards, two touchdowns, and four interceptions on passes 20-plus yards downfield. 

The Bears have played well against quarterbacks this season, holding them to just 0.67 passing touchdowns per game. That said, they’ve surrendered four of the six they’ve given up over the last four games. 

They do struggle a bit against running backs. The position puts up 111.56 rushing yards per game and 4.90 yards per carry. 

The Packers' running back is Josh Jacobs, who’s averaging 84.7 rushing yards per game. In their last game against the Detroit Lions, which they lost 24-14, Jacobs ran 13 times for 95 yards. 

I expect a lower-scoring game, but the Bears will struggle to score amid this switch at offensive coordinator. 

The Packers win 20-10.

Packers vs. Bears Best Player Props

The follow prop bets are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook where you’ll get your first wager back up to $1,000 if it loses when you use promo code WSN1000. 

Josh Jacobs Any Time TD (-135 at Caesars Sportsbook)

I mentioned Jacobs in the prediction portion, and I think he’s in a good position to score here. 

The Bears allow 0.89 rushing touchdowns per game to running backs, including two to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9. 

Jacobs has only scored three times on the ground and once through the air. 

He scored twice against the Jacksonville Jaguars while adding 25 carries for 127 yards. 

He’s averaged 5.1 yards per carry in each of the last three games. 

The only thing that potentially scares me is he’s had 13 carries or less in two of the last three games. 

That said, running backs average 22.78 carries per game against the Bears. 

Jacobs will get the volume to score here.

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Caleb Williams Under 0.5 Passing TDs (+172 at Caesars Sportsbook)

As mentioned, it’s been tough sleddin’ for Williams lately, throwing zero touchdowns over the past three weeks. 

Before that, he had a four-game streak of at least one touchdown, including a four-touchdown game, and he started the season with no touchdowns over the first two weeks. 

Needless to say, it’s been a bit of a rollercoaster. 

The Packers have allowed at least one touchdown in all but one game this season. 

However, at +172, an offensive coordinator change, and his recent performance, I’ll roll half a unit wager on this.

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Jordan Love Under 0.5 INTs (+108 at Caesars Sportsbook)

The Bears are averaging 0.89 interceptions per game but have just one over the past three games. Love has 10 interceptions this season, throwing at least one in each game.

However, I’m leaning under here due to how I think this game will shake out. 

I don’t think the Packers will need to throw too much here. 

The Bears haven’t been playing well lately, and the quarterbacks have had 25 or fewer attempts in each of the last two games. 

Admittedly, I don’t feel super confident in this, but a half-unit wager is in order with +108 odds against a team that Love likely may not need to throw much against. 

Look for Jacobs to lead the way here, and luck will break favorably for Love.

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Packers vs. Bears: How to Watch

• When: Sunday, Nov. 17 at 1 PM ET

• Where: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

• Where to Watch: FOX

Packers vs. Bears Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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Packers vs. Bears Injuries

• Bears offensive tackle Darnell Wright is questionable. 

• Bears defensive end Darrell Taylor is questionable. 

• Bears linebacker Noah Sewell is questionable. 

• Bears offensive tackle Braxton Jones is questionable. 

• Bears guard Nate Davis is questionable. 

• Bears safety Jaquan Brisker is questionable. 

• Bears offensive tackle Kiran Amegadije is questionable. 

• Bears safety Tarvaris Moore is questionable with a concussion. 

• Bears guard Teven Jenkins is questionable with an ankle injury. 

• Packers center Josh Myers is questionable. 

• Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander is questionable. 

• Packers running back MarShawn Lloyd is questionable. 

• Packers safety Evan Williams is questionable with a hamstring injury.

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