NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year 2024: New Contender Aims to Catch Jayden Daniels

• C.J. Stroud ran away with NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in 2023.

• Caleb Williams is the clear frontrunner to be 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year.

• Three of the last five Offensive Rookie of the Year winners have been quarterbacks.

Most years, the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award is one of the most fascinating races to watch. While the players selected early in the draft are usually the preseason favorites, once the season kicks off, everyone is on level ground. In the NFL, anything can happen, especially with previously unproven rookies. Plus, this is not necessarily a quarterback-dominated award like MVP. Plenty of wide receivers and running backs have also taken home Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in past years.

For much of the season, reigning Heisman winner Jayden Daniels has been the betting favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2024. While top overall pick Caleb Williams began the season as the favorite, Daniels has been by far the best rookie during the first half of the season. Based on the current odds at FanDuel, he is the clear frontrunner to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. 

Of course, with eight weeks left in the season, the race isn’t over yet. It would take something special and a little bit of luck for someone to overtake Daniels. However, Bo Nix of the Broncos has emerged as a viable contender and represents the best chance to beat out Daniels for OROTY honors. There are also a few other standout rookies who also have an outside chance if they can finish strong. After 10 weeks, let’s look closer at the top candidates to win Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2024.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel to place your bets and claim the following bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Predictions

Here is a breakdown of some of the current favorites and where they stand in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race.

Jayden Daniels - Quarterback, Commanders (-1200 at FanDuel)

Daniels had a slight setback in Week 10, completing just 50% of his passes against the Steelers. Yet, the Commanders only lost by a single point. However, it wasn’t much of a setback for his Offensive Rookie of the Year hopes, which moved from -450 after Week 8 to -1200 after Week 10. That’s a sizable lead over the rest of the pack, so it’ll take more than one mediocre game to hurt Daniels’ stock. On the other hand, he hasn’t wrapped up the award just yet.

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Bo Nix - Quarterback, Broncos (+1600 at FanDuel)

Oddly enough, Nix has longer odds after Week 10 than he did two weeks ago, moving from +1400 to +1600. The difference is that he suddenly has the second-shortest odds for OROTY. He’s taken clear steps forward over the past month and nearly led the Broncos to a win in Kansas City. His overall numbers aren’t too impressive right now. But if Nix can continue to improve from week to week and keep the Broncos in the playoff race, he’ll remain in the Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation.

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Brock Bowers - Tight End, Raiders (+3300 at FanDuel)

Similar to Nix, Bowers has longer odds now than two weeks ago, dropping from +2800 to +3300. However, he has overtaken all rookie wide receivers and now has the third-shortest odds. Considering the fact that no tight end has ever won Offensive Rookie of the Year, that’s a big deal. Of course, his last couple of games weren’t his best. He also plays for a team that hasn’t won a game since September. Right now, that’s preventing Bowers from being a more serious OROTY contender.

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Marvin Harrison Jr. - Wide Receiver, Cardinals (+4000 at FanDuel)

Just when oddsmakers were starting to write off Harrison, he jumped back into the picture and now has the shortest OROTY odds of any wide receiver. Harrison has found the end zone twice in his last three games and is getting more consistent targets from Kyler Murray. However, he’s not even on pace for 1,000 receiving yards this season, which means Harrison will need a monster second half of the season to have any chance to be Offensive Rookie of the Year.

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Malik Nabers - Wide Receiver, Giants (+5000 at FanDuel)

As the Giants implode, Nabers is seeing his Rookie of the Year chances disappear. Since his monster 115-yard receiving game against the Cowboys last month, he’s yet to tally more than 71 receiving yards in a game or score a touchdown. If the Giants bench Daniel Jones, that could potentially help Nabers. But he has a lot of ground to make up in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race, and playing for one of the worst teams in football isn’t helping at the moment.

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Caleb Williams - Quarterback, Bears (+5000 at FanDuel)

There is probably a better chance that Williams gets benched than he wins Offensive Rookie of the Year. He was once neck and neck with Daniels, only for his odds to plummet. Over the past two weeks alone, Williams has moved from +1000 to +5000. Since his brilliant four-touchdown performance against the Jaguars in London, Williams has failed to throw a touchdown pass and barely completed 50% of his passes. That tells you everything you need to know about the direction he’s trending.

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Brian Thomas Jr. - Wide Receiver, Jaguars (+5000 at FanDuel)

At the end of October, things were looking up for Thomas. However, over his last two games, he has a total of four catches for 34 total yards. The injury to Trevor Lawrence certainly hasn’t helped. That has caused his odds to move from +1700 to +5000. While Thomas is still on the radar, he’ll need to do something special if he hopes to contend for Offensive Rookie of the Year honors.

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Who Will Win Offensive Rookie of the Year - My Pick

Bo Nix (+1600) at FanDuel Sportsbook

If you haven’t placed a bet on Daniels, you probably missed the boat. At -1200, there is no value in betting on him to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. The payout isn’t big enough for a player who plays in a way that makes him a clear injury risk. At this point, an injury is all that could derail Daniels. That means the best bet right now is Nix, who is trending in the right direction and showing clear signs of progress. If Daniels doesn’t get hurt but does come back down to earth a little, Nix could still make a late-season run because the Broncos have a favorable schedule down the stretch and Nix could play well enough to keep them in the playoff hunt.

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Who Was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023?

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud won Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023. He had one of the best seasons ever by a rookie quarterback, even leading the NFL in passing yards per game. More importantly, he led the Texans to the AFC South title and a playoff victory.

Offensive Rookie of the Year History

The Offensive Rookie of the Year award only dates back to 1967. A panel of 50 Associated Press members vote to decide the winner.

Past Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on Offensive Rookie of the Year

Before you bet on Offensive Rookie of the Year, you have to be sure you’re using the best sportsbook. Keep in mind that each sportsbook has unique odds, features, and promos. Therefore, you need to do a little research to find the best NFL betting sites that fit your needs.

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How to Read Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Barring a heavy favorite, every candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year will be assigned plus (+) odds. This means that the profit will be greater than the wager if that player wins. For example, if you get $100 on a player with +250 odds, you will profit $250. Of course, if one player is the clear favorite late in the season, he may have negative (-) odds. For instance, if a player has -500 odds, you will need to wager $500 in order to make a $100 profit.