NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year 2024: Jayden Daniels Still Trying to Hold Off Bo Nix

• C.J. Stroud ran away with NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in 2023.

• Caleb Williams is the clear frontrunner to be 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year.

• Three of the last five Offensive Rookie of the Year winners have been quarterbacks.

Most years, the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award is one of the most fascinating races to watch. While the players selected early in the draft are usually the preseason favorites, once the season kicks off, everyone is on level ground. In the NFL, anything can happen, especially with previously unproven rookies. Plus, this is not necessarily a quarterback-dominated award like MVP. Plenty of wide receivers and running backs have also taken home Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in past years.

This year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year race has become a two-horse race. However, it’s not the two-horse race we thought it might be at the start of the season or even at the midway point of the season. According to FanDuel, Washington’s Jayden Daniels is the betting favorite, which has been the case for most of the season. However, Denver’s Bo Nix remains a serious contender while Brock Bowers and Caleb Williams are hanging around as sleepers.

With four weeks left in the season, those four games will ultimately decide whether it’s Daniels, Nix, or someone else who ends up winning Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in 2024. Since there is plenty of time left to place a bet on the winner of this race, let’s breakdown where each candidate stands heading into the last four weeks of the season and offer our current pick for who will win the award.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel to place your bets and claim the following bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Predictions

Here is a breakdown of some of the current favorites and where they stand in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race.

Jayden Daniels - Quarterback, Commanders (-270) at FanDuel

At the midway point of the season, Daniels had a stranglehold on the OROTY race, but he has managed to stabilize things over the past couple of weeks. He’s moved his odds from -200 to -270 despite having a bye in Week 14.  Daniels also broke out of a slump in Week 13 with a big game over the Titans. However, he still needs to finish the season strong because Bo Nix has more passing yards and passing touchdowns than Daniels with four weeks left in the season. Daniels has the edge because of a better QB rating and a higher completion percentage. But he still needs to have a strong finish to the season, especially with four interceptions in his last three games, which is a lingering concern for Daniels.

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Bo Nix - Quarterback, Broncos (+230) at FanDuel

Between Week 10 and Week 12, Nix moved his odds for Offensive Rookie of the Year from +1600 to +160. Amidst an uneven Monday night against the Browns and a bye week, Nix has seen his odds drop to +230 after Week 14. That being said, Nix is still a serious competitor for Offensive Rookie of the Year. He still has some momentum on his side with the Broncos winning three in a row and Nix throwing nine touchdown passes in his last four games. One thing to watch is how Nix responds to a challenging schedule during the final four weeks of the season. But if he can perform at a high level against those teams and secure a playoff spot for the Broncos, Nix could find himself on level footing with Daniels at the end of the season.

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Brock Bowers - Tight End, Raiders (+1000) at FanDuel

Bowers just refuses to go away completely in the OROTY race. He’s still a sleeper behind the two quarterbacks, although his odds have moved from +4200 to +1000 over the past two weeks. On a primetime Black Friday game against the Chiefs, Bowers showed up with 10 catches for 140 yards and a touchdown. He’s close to crossing the 1,000-yard threshold on the season and ranks fifth in the NFL in receiving yards. If he were a wide receiver, Bowers would probably be a lot closer to Daniels and Nix, which is why he’s someone to watch closely in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race over the final four weeks.

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Caleb Williams - Quarterback, Bears (+7500) at FanDuel

Purely based on the numbers, Williams isn’t that far from Daniels and Nix when it comes to passing yards and touchdowns this season. He’s thrown seven touchdowns over his last three games and has gone seven straight games without an interception. The problem for Williams is he’s lost seven straight games and putting up big numbers in garbage time. Unless he can start leading the Bears to wins, he won’t be level footing with Daniels and Nix regardless of what the numbers say.

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Who Will Win Offensive Rookie of the Year - My Pick

Bo Nix (+230) at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Daniels still has the edge - and has for a long time - Nix still has momentum on his side. Equally important, the Broncos have momentum whereas the Commanders have fallen off a little over the last month. As mentioned, Nix is adding a lot to his touchdown total in recent weeks while Daniels is adding more to his interception total. Given the difference in momentum at the moment, Daniels doesn’t have strong value with -270 whereas Nix offers good value at +230. Even if Daniels is still more likely to win Offensive Rookie of the Year right now, Nix is the better pick heading into the last few weeks of the season.

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Who Was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023?

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud won Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023. He had one of the best seasons ever by a rookie quarterback, even leading the NFL in passing yards per game. More importantly, he led the Texans to the AFC South title and a playoff victory.

Offensive Rookie of the Year History

The Offensive Rookie of the Year award only dates back to 1967. A panel of 50 Associated Press members vote to decide the winner.

Past Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on Offensive Rookie of the Year

Before you bet on Offensive Rookie of the Year, you have to be sure you’re using the best sportsbook. Keep in mind that each sportsbook has unique odds, features, and promos. Therefore, you need to do a little research to find the best NFL betting sites that fit your needs.

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How to Read Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Barring a heavy favorite, every candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year will be assigned plus (+) odds. This means that the profit will be greater than the wager if that player wins. For example, if you get $100 on a player with +250 odds, you will profit $250. Of course, if one player is the clear favorite late in the season, he may have negative (-) odds. For instance, if a player has -500 odds, you will need to wager $500 in order to make a $100 profit.