NFC South Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2025: Expect the Falcons to Win Their First Division Title in 10 Years

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the defending NFC South division champions

• The Atlanta Falcons drafted two edge rushers in the first round of the NFL Draft

• Tampa Bay’s secondary finished last season ranked 23rd overall in Def Pass DVOA

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are looking to make history this season as they have the opportunity to be the first team in the NFC South to win five straight division titles. The Atlanta Falcons are looking to play spoiler after re-tooling their defense, as well as potentially receiving a bump in production at quarterback with Michael Penix Jr taking over for Kirk Cousins.

NFC South Winner Odds

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NFC South Winner Predictions

After winning their fourth straight division title, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to retain their championship by bringing back a majority of their offense that finished the year ranked seventh overall in Off DVOA and in EPA. Should the Bucs want to avoid falling short, then their secondary must elevate their level of play to help reduce the amount of variance in their contests as they clocked in at 23rd in Def Pass DVOA, 22nd in EPA, and 28th in Success Rate.

As for the Carolina Panthers, positive regression looms large over their offense with their offensive line back at full health. When ravaged by injuries, Bryce Young found himself under a high amount of pressure which led to near dead last marks in Off Pass DVOA and in Success Rate. If Bryce Young can recapture the same success he had at the end of last season, then the Panthers may be worth a wager at their current odds before they steadily drop.

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NFC South Winner - My Pick

Atlanta Falcons (+210) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After finishing the 2024 season ranked near dead last in Def Adjusted Sack Rate, the Atlanta Falcons have made a concentrated effort to bolster their pass rush by selecting edge rushers Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr in the first round in the NFL Draft. Should Michael Penix Jr prove to be an upgrade over the aging Kirk Cousins, then the Falcons will be one of the more well balanced units in the NFC South which increases their chances of winning the division title.

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How to Bet on the NFC South Winner

When looking to bet on a team to win the NFC South, it’s vital to factor in who they retained and added throughout the offseason. A team with continuity on both sides of the ball are in a great position to get off to a hot start as it helps limit the amount of variance in their contests. Should their additions also pan out, then that provides a team enough talent to help remain competitive throughout the season.

Another factor to consider is the team’s strength of schedule and situational spots. The easier the schedule, the higher the chance a team can string together their wins to help stay at the top of the division standings. Especially if they receive ample rest between their primetime and international games as it helps them avoid a potential let down spot.

How to Read NFC South Winner Odds

Before placing any type of wager, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. With the Falcons preseason odds listed at +230 to win the NFC South, then a $100 wager would profit you $230 if they win the division title.

If you wait to see if they build up a lead in the division standings and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (-145 for example), then you would need to wager $145 to profit $100. Always line shop before placing a wager as the odds for the same market can drastically vary between each sportsbook.

Where to Bet on the NFC South Winner

FanDuel Sportsbook has been one of the best apps to use for the NFL as they offer a wide range of markets and are quick to update their odds throughout the season. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel, then you can claim: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins after creating an account and winning your first wager of at least $5.

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NFC South Winner History

When a team wins the NFC South, they normally have a stranglehold over the division for a few years. Other than the Atlanta Falcons, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New Orleans Saints, and Carolina Panthers all won the division at least three times in a row from 2013-2024.

The division is also close in regard to total titles as the Buccaneers and Saints are tied for first at seven apiece while the Panthers are in third with five. The Atlanta Falcons are not too far behind the pack as they are in fourth with four total division titles.