NFC South Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2025: The Atlanta Falcons Continue to Disappoint

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers possess a two game lead for first in the NFC South standings

• The Atlanta Falcons outgained the Carolina Panthers in their 30-0 loss in week three

• Tampa Bay’s offensive line are now down three starters due to injury

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are looking to make history this season as they have the opportunity to be the first team in the NFC South to win five straight division titles. The Atlanta Falcons are looking to play spoiler after re-tooling their defense, as well as potentially receiving a bump in production at quarterback with Michael Penix Jr taking over for Kirk Cousins.

NFC South Winner Odds

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NFC South Winner Predictions

Even though the Tampa Bay Buccaneers continue to squeak out wins, negative regression looms large over the current division leaders as their offensive line has been ravaged by injuries. With their Pass Protection Win Rate expected to harshly decline, this will increase the amount of Havoc in Baker Mayfield’s throws. Should you have bet on the Buccaneers to win the division earlier in the year, consider hedging some of your wager on the Atlanta Falcons.

As for the Carolina Panthers, they made a statement in week three as they routed the Falcons 30-0. Even in their win, Bryce Young struggled to air out the ball as he finished the contest with 121 passing yards. The Panthers can not continue to rely on turnovers to keep them competitive as Young’s struggles in the pocket brings in a high amount of variance into the contest. Until Young elevates his play, then pass on the Panthers to win the NFC South division title.

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NFC South Winner - My Pick

Atlanta Falcons (+350) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It has been an unfortunate start to the year for the Atlanta Falcons as they continue to lose in games where they arguably outperformed their competition. Even in a 30-0 loss, it’s worth noting the Falcons comfortably outgained the Carolina Panthers in week three. Turnovers halted their progression, leading to scoring opportunities for the Panthers to exploit. Place a wager on the Falcons to win the division now before regression swings towards their way.

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How to Bet on the NFC South Winner

When looking to bet on a team to win the NFC South, it’s vital to factor in who they retained and added throughout the offseason. A team with continuity on both sides of the ball are in a great position to get off to a hot start as it helps limit the amount of variance in their contests. Should their additions also pan out, then that provides a team enough talent to help remain competitive throughout the season.

Another factor to consider is the team’s strength of schedule and situational spots. The easier the schedule, the higher the chance a team can string together their wins to help stay at the top of the division standings. Especially if they receive ample rest between their primetime and international games as it helps them avoid a potential let down spot.

How to Read NFC South Winner Odds

Before placing any type of wager, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. With the Falcons preseason odds listed at +230 to win the NFC South, then a $100 wager would profit you $230 if they win the division title.

If you wait to see if they build up a lead in the division standings and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (-145 for example), then you would need to wager $145 to profit $100. Always line shop before placing a wager as the odds for the same market can drastically vary between each sportsbook.

Where to Bet on the NFC South Winner

FanDuel Sportsbook has been one of the best apps to use for the NFL as they offer a wide range of markets and are quick to update their odds throughout the season. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel, then you can claim: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins after creating an account and winning your first wager of at least $5.

BetMGM Sportsbook is also another great choice to use as they rival the top sportsbooks in regard to their pricing and offer an abundance of promos to help boost your bankroll. New users can claim the following offer: Bet $10, Get $150 if You Win* after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

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NFC South Winner History

When a team wins the NFC South, they normally have a stranglehold over the division for a few years. Other than the Atlanta Falcons, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, New Orleans Saints, and Carolina Panthers all won the division at least three times in a row from 2013-2024.

The division is also close in regard to total titles as the Buccaneers and Saints are tied for first at seven apiece while the Panthers are in third with five. The Atlanta Falcons are not too far behind the pack as they are in fourth with four total division titles.