NFC North Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2024: Lions Continue to Dominate

• The Detroit Lions are the new betting favorite to win the Super Bowl

• Lions offense ranks above league average in Off DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate

• The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers are still in contention for the NFC North division title

After a 52-6 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday, the Detroit Lions continue to look like one of the best teams in the NFL and have been listed as the new betting favorite to win the Super Bowl. Their metrics also back up their success as the Lions currently rank above league average on both sides of the ball in DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Newly acquired Za’Darius Smith also showed he can make an immediate impact, getting his first sack as a Lion while generating relentless pressure in the pocket.

As for the rest of the division, the Minnesota Vikings are still just one game back from Detroit in the NFC North division standings. While Sam Darnold has cooled off a bit after a hot start to the season, he gets the benefit of the Vikings still fielding the best defense in the league per DVOA. As for the Packers, they are two games back from the Packers in the division standings but need to quickly round back into form after having to rely on a blocked field goal to secure the win over the lowly Chicago Bears.

NFC North Odds 

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up at FanDuel and claim the bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

NFC North Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Not only are the Lions still on top of the oddsboard to win the division, but they are also listed as the new betting favorite to win the Super Bowl.

Minnesota Vikings (+550) at BetMGM

While just one game back from the Lions in the NFC North division standings, the Minnesota Vikings have a favorable opportunity to remain in division title contention as they are in the midst of a very friendly stretch of their schedule. Over the next four weeks of play, the Vikings face off against the Chicago Bears, Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, and Chicago Bears again. All teams with glaring holes in their roster.

Should the Vikings want to make quick work of their easy stretch of their schedule, then their defense must sustain their high level of play as they enter week 12 ranked top-10 across the board in Def DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, Adjusted Line Yards, Adjusted Sack Rate, and Pressure Rate. Especially while Sam Darnold has seemingly cooled off after a hot start to the season, bringing down the Vikings offense with him as they have regressed down to just league average marks in DVOA and EPA.

Go to BetMGM and Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets

Green Bay Packers (+1300) at BetMGM

It was an underwhelming performance to say the least for the Green Bay Packers as they needed a blocked field goal to help secure the win against the lowly Chicago Bears last Sunday. Their near dead last mark in Def Pass Success Rate was on full display as they allowed Caleb Williams to complete nearly 75% of passes while throwing for 231 yards. Their front seven did not perform much better as they conceded over five yards per carry to both Caleb Williams and D’Andre Swift.

Should the Packers want to remain in division title contention, then their defense must quickly round back into form or else they will be prone to playing in high variance contests. Especially while their offense continues to struggle with consistently moving the ball down the field as the Packers currently rank just league average or worse in both Pass Success Rate and Rush Success Rate. That falls on the shoulders of Jordan Love who still looks noticeably less than 100% after suffering an injury earlier in the year.

Use WSNSPORTS at BetMGM for $1,500 Bonus

Chicago Bears (+100000) at FanDuel

Speaking of the Bears, their offense looked a lot better after firing their offensive coordinator Shane Waldron as they outgained the Packers in total yards last weekend while nearly generating the upset. Caleb Williams started to show signs of why he was listed as the betting favorite for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award heading into the season, finishing the contest throwing for 231 passing yards while rushing for another 70 yards on 9 carries.

Unfortunately for Williams, his offensive line is still one of the worst units in the league as they currently rank near dead last in Adjusted Sack Rate and Adjusted Line Yards. While this season may be a lost cause, the Bears are at least in a position to accelerate their rebuild should they be able to retool their offensive line this offseason. Especially if they are able to maintain a majority of their defense as that side of the ball ranks above league average in Def DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate.

Win $5 Wager, Get $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel

Who Will Win the NFC North - My Pick 

Detroit Lions (-410) at FanDuel

After their most recent dominant performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Detroit Lions are now listed as the new betting favorite to win the Super Bowl. An almost unfathomable turnaround after years of embarrassing performances, yet Dan Campbell and Brad Holmes have created a team who excels at nearly every position. Even Za’Darius Smith has proven to make an immediate impact as Aidan Hutchinson’s replacement, helping the Lions improve on their low mark in Adjusted Sack Rate.

With their defense in a position to improve, the Lions can make a case for being one of the most well rounded units in the league as their offense continues to rank well above league average in Off DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Jared Goff and company have had no issue with picking apart opposing gaps in coverage while Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery run wild in their backfield. Barring a catastrophe, expect the Lions to run away with the NFC North division title and make a deep run in the playoffs.

Get a $150 Sign-Up Bonus with FanDuel

NFC North History

Since its inception in 2002, the NFC North has been in large part dominated by the Green Bay Packers. From Brett Favre, to Aaron Rodgers, and now Jordan Love, the Packers have fielded elite teams that have been head and shoulders above the rest of the division.

Their early years of dominance may be behind them though as the rest of the NFC North has quickly improved with the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions winning the past two division titles. The Lions are the favorite to win it again this year, potentially being the first to repeat since the Packers did it in 2020-2021. Should Caleb Williams live up to the hype right away, then the Bears can potentially contend to win the division for the first time since 2018.

Past NFC North Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NFC North

Having access to multiple online sportsbooks is more vital than ever for a multitude of reasons. Starting with their listed odds, they can wildly vary between each sportsbook as shown in the table below. The Detroit Lions for example can be found as high as -600 at BetMGM and as low as -410 at FanDuel. That is a difference of $190 in a tied up wager for a $100 bettor while returning the same amount of profit.

Another benefit of having access to multiple sportsbooks is that they all have their own unique signup bonus. Caesars Sportsbook for example is giving new users up to $1,000 back in the form of bonus bets should they lose their first wager after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSN1000.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

How to Read NFC North Winner Odds

When making any type of wager, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. Should you have wagered on the Detroit Lions in the preseason at -145, then you would have needed to wager $145 to win $100 should they win the NFC North. If you like one of the longer shots like the Green Bay Packers at +1300, then a $100 wager would profit you $1,300 if they win the division title.