NFC East Odds, Betting Predictions, Picks 2024: Eagles One Win Away From Securing the Division Title

• The Philadelphia Eagles have a three game lead over Washington for first place in the NFC East

• Jayden Daniels is the current betting favorite to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award

• The Washington Commanders defense ranks below league average in Def DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate

After entering the year listed as the betting favorite to win the NFC East division title, the Philadelphia Eagles are now just one win away from accomplishing that feat. Not only are they in a position to win the division, but the Eagles also have a great opportunity to secure the top overall seed in the NFC while the Detroit Lions are dealing with an abundance of injuries. By securing the top seed, the Eagles would receive a first round bye as well as host their other two playoff games in their run to the Super Bowl.

With the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants eliminated from division title contention, the Washington Commanders are the only team left standing who can thwart the Eagles for the NFC East title. In order to do so, the Eagles would have to lose their last three games of the season while the Commanders would need to win out. That starts with a rematch against the Eagles this Sunday as the Commanders look to neutralize the tiebreaker after losing to Philadelphia 26-18 earlier in the year.

NFC East Division Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to BetMGM Sportsbook, place your bets and claim the bonus. Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets

NFC East Predictions and Favorites to Win 

Should the Detroit Lions stumble while dealing with injuries, the Philadelphia Eagles have a great opportunity to secure the number one seed in the NFC.

Washington Commanders (+15000) at Caesars

Since selecting Jayden Daniels with the second pick in the NFL Draft, the star dual threat quarterback has drastically elevated the Commanders offense and has turned them into one of the more formidable units in the league. As of writing, the Commanders offense ranks top-10 in Off DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate while Daniels has steadily pulled away on the oddsboard for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award.

While Daniels has kept them competitive throughout the season, the harsh reality is that the Commanders are still a few pieces away from being a well rounded unit as their defense has not found the same success. Heading into their rematch against the Eagles, the Commanders defense ranks below league average in Def DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, Adjusted Line Yards, and Adjusted Sack Rate. Unless you want to hedge your Eagles positions, then pass on the Commanders for the NFC East division title.

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Dallas Cowboys (N/A)

After a lackluster offseason, regression was looming large over the Dallas Cowboys as they entered the year with glaring holes on both sides of the field. Especially on offense after Dak Prescott went down with a season ending injury as his backup quarterback Cooper Rush has been a severe drop off in production. Heading into week 16, the Cowboys offense ranks near dead last in Off DVOA and EPA.

Their defense has not fared much better, mainly in regard to stopping the run as the Cowboys front seven ranks near the bottom of the board in Def Rush DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. Even with their secondary playing at a competitive level, their inability to stop the run has left them vulnerable to getting rolled over by competitive offenses. With massive holes all over the roster, the Dallas Cowboys will need to be aggressive this offseason should they want to avoid another disastrous year.

New York Giants (N/A)

Even after selecting Malik Nabers with their first round pick, the rookie wide receiver was unable to elevate Daniel Jones' level of play as the Giants quarterback still struggled to generate pass production. This eventually led to Jones getting cut from the team in the middle of the season, plummeting the Giants chances of winning in the process as their backup quarterbacks have not succeeded either.

Unfortunately for the Giants, their defense has been nearly equally as poor as they currently rank in the bottom half of the board in Def DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. While their defensive line has been very productive with top-15 marks in Adjusted Sack Rate and Adjusted Line Yards, their play has not been nearly enough for the Giants to be competitive this season. With no starting worthy quarterback on the roster, expect the Giants to target a quarterback with their first round pick in this year’s NFL Draft.

Who Will Win the NFC East - My Pick 

Philadelphia Eagles (-10000) at BetMGM

With a three game lead over the Washington Commanders, the Philadelphia Eagles are just one win away from locking up the NFC East division title. Their turnaround on defense has played a major role in their success this season as the Eagles head into week 16 ranked top-10 in Def DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, and Adjusted Line Yards. While the Eagles do struggle to generate pressure, that is because they anchor their linebackers in coverage at one of the higher rates in the league.

On the other side of the field, Saquon Barkley continues to terrorize opposing front sevens while building a strong case for the Offensive Player of the Year award. With Barkley commanding defensive attention, this has opened up higher quality passing lanes for Jalen Hurts to exploit. Even though their offensive line still struggles to hold their ground in pass sets as their low mark in Adjusted Sack Rate indicates, the Eagles are still in a tier of their own in the NFC and have a great chance of making a run to the Super Bowl.

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NFC East History

Ever since the Eagles won four straight division titles back in 2001 to 2004, no one has repeated as a division champion since. The Dallas Cowboys are the current reigning NFC East champions, leading the division with 22 NFC East titles. That trend is poised to continue as the Dallas Cowboys have been eliminated from division title contention.

The Eagles are the current universal betting favorite to win the NFC East, potentially being their 13th title in organization history and third title in a span of six years after winning it in 2022 and 2019. As for the Commanders and Giants, they are looking to shock the division and win their first title since 2020 and 2011. They will have their work cut out for them as they are listed as longshots to win the division title.

Past NFC East Winners

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NFC East

When making a wager on the NFC East futures market, it’s important to have access to as many sportsbooks as you can get. This gives you the ability to lineshop as odds can drastically vary for the division winner. The Commanders for example can be found as low as +2500 at BetMGM and as high as +15000 at Caesars to win the NFC East. That is a difference of $12,500 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Another major benefit of collecting multiple sportsbooks is that you can receive their unique signup bonus. This gives you a boost to your bankroll to wager with during the NFL season. FanDuel Sportsbook for example you can claim $150 in bonus bets after creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5.

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How to Read NFC East Winner Odds

When making any type of wager, it’s vital to know how listed odds work. Should you bet the Eagles to win the division at their preseason odds of -130, then you would have had to wager $130 to win $100 if they win the NFC East. Should you like one of the Washington Commanders at +15000, then a $100 wager would profit you $15,000 if they win the division.