Josh Allen went from -1000 to -450 in odds
Joe Burrow surged back to seventh in odds after the Bengals’ win
Saquon Barkley needs 268 yards to break the single-season rushing record
There are only two more Sundays of NFL football left until the postseason and the official race for the Super Bowl begins.
NFL MVP favorite Josh Allen stumbled last weekend and gave life to the rest of the field, namely Lamar Jackson, who is looking to win his third MVP at 27 years old. Baker Mayfield and Jalen Hurts also fell deep into the chase pack and are effectively out of the race while Joe Burrow and Sam Darnold are still alive with the potential for drastic movement in the final weeks.
Here’s a complete overview of NFL MVP odds, the cases for the top candidates, and much more.
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Player | Position | Team | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Josh Allen | QB | Buffalo Bills | -450 BET HERE |
Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens | +350 BET HERE |
Saquon Barkley | RB | Philadelphia Eagles | +1200 BET HERE |
Jared Goff | QB | Detroit Lions | +2500 BET HERE |
Sam Darnold | QB | Minnesota Vikings | +8000 BET HERE |
Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs | +8000 BET HERE |
Joe Burrow | QB | Cincinnati Bengals | +10000 BET HERE |
Jalen Hurts | QB | Philadelphia Eagles | +15000 BET HERE |
Jayden Daniels | QB | Washington Commanders | +25000 BET HERE |
Jordan Love | QB | Green Bay Packers | +25000 BET HERE |
Baker Mayfield | QB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +50000 BET HERE |
Justin Herbert | QB | Los Angeles Chargers | +50000 BET HERE |
Bo Nix | QB | Denver Broncos | +50000 BET HERE |
Matthew Stafford | QB | Los Angeles Rams | +75000 BET HERE |
Allen played, by his standards, a terrible game in a three-point win over the New England Patriots, going 16/29 for 154 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. That was reflected by his drop in odds as he went from -1000 to -450 following the performance. He still leads the NFL in QBR, is sixth in passing touchdowns, ninth in passing yards, and has 37 total touchdowns to six interceptions.
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Lamar finally exercised some of his demons and beat the Pittsburgh Steelers while going 15/23 for 207 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. He’s second in QBR and passing touchdowns, fifth in passing yards, and has 40 total touchdowns to four interceptions to go with a career-high 67.9 completion percentage. He and the Ravens are also only behind the Steelers on a tiebreaker and could still win the AFC North.
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Barkley ripped off another 150 rushing yards and two touchdowns in the Eagles’ dramatic loss to the Washington Commanders, bringing him to 1,838 rushing yards and 13 TDs on the season. He’s on pace for 2,083 rushing yards, which would put him just 23 away from breaking the all-time single-season rushing record held by Eric Dickerson. Depending on how the rest of the NFC shakes out, there’s also the chance that he doesn’t play in Week 18.
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Goff braved the elements of Soldier Field and went 23/32 for 336 yards and three touchdowns in the Lions’ 34-17 win against the Chicago Bears. He’s been excellent for most of the season and is second in passing yards, fourth in passing touchdowns, and eighth in QBR. His biggest issue, aside from splitting credit with the rest of his talented offense, is still that he threw five interceptions in a Nov. 10 game against the Houston Texans.
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Arguably the best comeback story of the year, Darnold went 22/35 for 246 yards and three touchdowns in the Vikings’ win against the Seattle Seahawks. He’s up to sixth in passing yards, fifth in passing TDs, and is 13th in QBR for a 13-2 Vikings squad. Kevin O’Connell and Justin Jefferson obviously played a huge role in his resurgence, but he’s also played extremely well lately and had 15 TDs and one interception over his last six games.
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It’s that time of the year when Mahomes becomes unbeatable—however, he was fairly pedestrian in recent weeks, only managing five touchdowns over his last four games. He’s still sixth in QBR, seventh in yards, and eighth in touchdowns, but his low 23-11 TD to INT ratio is not up to his usual standard. Regardless, the Chiefs are 14-1 and close out the season against the strong defenses of the Steelers and the Broncos.
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Ravens QB Lamar Jackson won the NFL MVP in 2023 after he led his team to a 13-4 record and the number-one seed in the AFC Championship. Jackson finished the year with 3.678 passing yards, 24 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, to go with 821 rushing yards and five rushing TDs.
The NFL MVP was previously known as the Joe F. Carr Trophy, which was awarded annually from 1938-46. Former New York Giants center and linebacker Mel Hein was the first player to win the Carr Trophy.
The first winner of the modern MVP award, as voted by the Associated Press, was Cleveland Browns fullback Jim Brown in 1957. Coincidentally, Brown is the only rookie and the youngest player ever to win the award.
Former Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning holds the record with five regular-season MVP trophies. New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers is second with four (all of which were won during his time with the Green Bay Packers).
Year | Player | Position | Team |
---|---|---|---|
1957 | Jim Brown | FB | Cleveland Browns |
1958 | Jim Brown | FB | Cleveland Browns |
1959 | Johnny Unitas | QB | Baltimore Colt |
1960 | Norm Van Brocklin | QB | Philadelphia Eagles |
1961 | Paul Hornung | HB | Green Bay Packers |
1962 | Jim Taylor | FB | Green Bay Packers |
1963 | Y.A. Tittle | QB | New York Giants |
1964 | Johnny Unitas | QB | Baltimore Colts |
1965 | Jim Brown | FB | Cleveland Browns |
1966 | Bart Starr | QB | Green Bay Packers |
1967 | Johnny Unitas | QB | Baltimore Colts |
1968 | Earl Morrall | QB | Baltimore Colts |
1969 | Roman Gabriel | QB | Los Angeles Rams |
1970 | John Brodie | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1971 | Alan Page | DT | Minnesota Vikings |
1972 | Larry Brown | RB | Washington Redskins |
1973 | O.J. Simpson | RB | Buffalo Bills |
1974 | Ken Stabler | QB | Oakland Raiders |
1975 | Fran Tarkenton | QB | Minnesota Vikings |
1976 | Bert Jones | QB | Baltimore Colts |
1977 | Walter Payton | RB | Chicago Bears |
1978 | Terry Bradshaw | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1979 | Earl Campbell | RB | Houston Oilers |
1980 | Brian Sipe | QB | Cleveland Browns |
1981 | Ken Anderson | QB | Cincinnati Bengals |
1982 | Mark Moseley | K | Washington Redskins |
1983 | Joe Theismann | QB | Washington Redskins |
1984 | Dan Marino | QB | Miami Dolphins |
1985 | Marcus Allen | RB | Los Angeles Raiders |
1986 | Lawrence Taylor | ROLB | New York Giants |
1987 | John Elway | QB | Denver Broncos |
1988 | Boomer Esiason | QB | Cincinnati Bengals |
1989 | Joe Montana | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1990 | Joe Montana | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1991 | Thurman Thomas | RB | Buffalo Bills |
1992 | Steve Young | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1993 | Emmit Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
1994 | Steve Young | QB | San Francisco 49ers |
1995 | Brett Favre | QB | Green Bay Packers |
1996 | Brett Favre | QB | Green Bay Packers |
1997 | Brett Favre/Barry Sanders | QB/RB | Green Bay Packers/Detroit Lions |
1998 | Terrell Davis | RB | Denver Broncos |
1999 | Kurt Warner | QB | St. Louis Rams |
2000 | Marshall Faulk | RB | St. Louis Rams |
2001 | Kurt Warner | QB | St. Louis Rams |
2002 | Rich Gannon | QB | Oakland Raiders |
2003 | Steve McNair/Peyton Manning | QB/QB | Tennessee Titans/Indianapolis Colts |
2004 | Peyton Manning | QB | Indianapolis Colts |
2005 | Shaun Alexander | RB | Seattle Seahawks |
2006 | LaDanian Tomlinson | RB | San Diego Chargers |
2007 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2008 | Peyton Manning | QB | Indianapolis Colts |
2009 | Peyton Manning | QB | Indianapolis Colts |
2010 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2011 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
2012 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
2013 | Peyton Manning | QB | Indianapolis Colts |
2014 | Aaron Rogers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers |
2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Atlanta Falcons |
2017 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
2020 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
2021 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
2022 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
2023 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
Some states do not allow bettors to wager on the NFL MVP. However, users in those that do have a variety of options that they may use to place their best MVP futures bets.
One of the most important considerations should be line shopping, or hunting to find the best sportsbooks that offer the most favorable odds for your favorite NFL MVP bet. Beyond that, choosing your sportsbook for MVP bets should look very similar to how it would during any other process.
Things to consider include sportsbook bonuses, user interface, accessibility and responsiveness, aesthetics, mobile app, and more. More info on the best NFL betting sites can be found in our detailed guide.
BetMGM | Caesars | FanDuel | |
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MVP Winner Odds - Josh Allen | -1000 | -1000 | -1000 |
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Reading MVP odds is exactly like reading most other odds. A “-” preceding a number means that a user must bet the listed amount to win $100. For example, -120 means the bettor must risk $120 to win $100 if the bet hits.
Conversely, a “+” preceding a number means that the user will win that amount with a $100 bet. So a +400 candidate will win $400 with a $100 bet if they go on to win the NFL MVP award.
Favorites are sometimes but not always indicated by a “-.” Because there are a plethora of options, most candidates will be plus-money (“+”) until the MVP race really takes shape and one or two players emerge as the top favorites.
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