Saquon Barkley is the current leader in odds to finish the season with the most rushing yards at -900
Only Barkley and Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry have odds better than +10000
All odds for a quarterback to lead the league in rushing are off the board
Leading the NFL in rushing is a massive testament to a single player's success, but it also comes down to opportunity. If a player does well enough in the run, they could even be considered an MVP candidate.
Heading into Week 15, Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is the favorite by a longshot.
Below, I’ll look at the top two favorites to lead the league in rushing, highlight a deep underdog, and pick my favorite to lead the league in this category.
Odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to place your bets at Caesars: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets
Player | Position | Team | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Saquon Barkley | RB | Philadelphia Eagles | -900 BET HERE |
Derrick Henry | RB | Baltimore Ravens | +550 BET HERE |
Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | Detroit Lions | +10000 BET HERE |
Josh Jacobs | RB | Green Bay Packers | +10000 BET HERE |
Chuba Hubbard | RB | Carolina Panthers | +10000 BET HERE |
Kyren Williams | RB | Los Angeles Rams | +10000 BET HERE |
Alvin Kamara | RB | New Orleans Saints | +25000 BET HERE |
James Cook | RB | Buffalo Bills | +25000 BET HERE |
Aaron Jones | RB | Minnesota Vikings | +25000 BET HERE |
Below, I’ll examine the top three odds-on favorites to lead the league in rushing. All of these players have odds better than +10000.
The Ravens had their Week 14 bye week, and now, Barkley and Henry are even in terms of games played at 13.
Barkley leads Henry by 216 yards (1,623 total), and there are four games to go. He’ll face the Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Commanders, Dallas Cowboys, and New York Giants to close the season.
The Cowboys, Giants, and Commanders all rank inside the bottom six in rushing yards allowed.
Barring injury, Barkley should have zero issues taking this.
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Henry has logged less than 100 yards in four of the last six games, while Barkley had less than 100 yards just once over the last eight games. He had a 255-yard game against the Los Angeles Rams during that span.
Henry simply couldn’t keep up, and the Ravens bye week allowed Barkley to widen that gap even more.
He’ll have a chance to beat up on the Giants run defense this week, but still, this is a massive gap with only four weeks to go.
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While we examined the top candidates to lead the league in rushing in 2024, let’s look at the biggest underdog, odds-wise, to lead the league in rushing.
Taylor has less than half of the rushing yards that Barkley has. He has 186 carries for 804 yards and five touchdowns. He’s missed some time this season, only having played in 10 games through Week 14.
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Harris has 75 yards or less in the last five games and averages less than four yards per carry. He had 223 carries but only 877 rushing yards.
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After the 255-yard game from Barkley, he’ll win this. He has several cushy matchups, including the Panthers, Cowboys, Commanders, and Giants. Yes, he faces the Steelers and Ravens, but Henry has been tough matchups.
Henry could only catch up if he comes out of the game against the Eagles, leading Barkley by about 50 yards or so, which I don’t think will happen.
Barkley is (no pun intended) running away with this.
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McCaffey led the league in rushing in 2023 with 1,459 yards across 16 games and 272 carries. He averaged 5.4 yards per carry and 14 touchdowns. He added 268 yards on 59 carries in the postseason across three games.
According to Pro Football Reference, the single-season rushing yard leaders have been tracked every year since 1932. However, the modern “Super Bowl” era began in 1967.
Below, we’ll look back at each single-season rushing leader from 1967 and beyond.
Year | Player | Position | Team |
---|---|---|---|
2023 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | San Francisco 49ers |
2022 | Josh Jacobs | RB | Las Vegas Raiders |
2021 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | Indianapolis Colts |
2020 | Derrick Henry | RB | Tennessee Titans |
2019 | Derrick Henry | RB | Tennessee Titans |
2018 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
2017 | Kareem Hunt | RB | Kansas City Chiefs |
2016 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
2015 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
2014 | DeMarco Murray | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
2013 | LeSean McCoy | RB | Philadelphia Eagles |
2012 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
2011 | Maurice Jones-Drew | RB | Jacksonville Jaguars |
2010 | Arian Foster | RB | Houston Texans |
2009 | Chris Johnson | RB | Tennessee Titans |
2008 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
2007 | LaDanian Tomlinson | RB | San Diego Chargers |
2006 | LaDanian Tomlinson | RB | San Diego Chargers |
2005 | Shaun Alexander | RB | Seattle Seahawks |
2004 | Curtis Martin | RB | New York Jets |
2003 | Jamal Lewis | RB | Baltimore Ravens |
2002 | Ricky Williams | RB | Miami Dolphins |
2001 | Priest Holmes | RB | Kansas City Chiefs |
2000 | Edgerrin James | RB | Indianapolis Colts |
1999 | Edgerrin James | RB | Indianapolis Colts |
1998 | Terrell Davis | RB | Denver Broncos |
1997 | Barry Sanders | RB | Detroit Lions |
1996 | Barry Sanders | RB | Detroit Lions |
1995 | Emmitt Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
1994 | Barry Sanders | RB | Detroit Lions |
1993 | Emmitt Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
1992 | Emmitt Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
1991 | Emmitt Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
1990 | Barry Sanders | RB | Detroit Lions |
1989 | Christian Okoye | FB | Kansas City Chiefs |
1988 | Eric Dickerson | RB | Indianapolis Colts |
1987 | Charles White | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
1986 | Eric Dickerson | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
1985 | Marcus Allen | RB | Los Angeles Raiders |
1984 | Eric Dickerson | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
1983 | Eric Dickerson | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
1982 | Freeman McNeil | RB | New York Jets |
1981 | George Rogers | RB | New Orleans Saints |
1980 | Earl Campbell | RB | Houston Oilers |
1979 | Earl Campbell | RB | Houston Oilers |
1978 | Earl Campbell | RB | Houston Oilers |
1977 | Walter Payton | RB | Chicago Bears |
1976 | O.J. Simpson | RB | Buffalo Bills |
1975 | O.J. Simpson | RB | Buffalo Bills |
1974 | Otis Armstrong | RB | Denver Broncos |
1973 | O.J. Simpson | RB | Buffalo Bills |
1972 | O.J. Simpson | RB | Buffalo Bills |
1971 | Floyd Little | RB | Denver Broncos |
1970 | Larry Brown | RB | Washington Redskins |
1969 | Gale Sayers | RB | Chicago Bears |
1968 | Leroy Kelly | RB | Cleveland Browns |
1967 | Leroy Kelly | RB | Cleveland Browns |
Before you start wagering on the NFL single-season rushing leader, you must find the best sportsbook. This is something that many bettors often overlook. If your state has multiple online sportsbooks, you should explore these odds to compare and contrast.
Here’s some information on some of the most well-known online NFL betting sites.
BetMGM | Caesars | FanDuel | |
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Welcome Bonus | Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets* | Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets | Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins |
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Withdrawal Time | Instant | Up to 72 hours | Instant |
Bet on Rushing Yards Leader | BET HERE | BET HERE | BET HERE |
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Looking at the odds above, you’ll find that every player has a “+” next to their name. During the preseason, there’s a lot of speculation as to who everyone thinks will win, but once the season starts and stats start to accumulate, you’ll begin seeing “-” as players break away from the pact.
Using examples including $100, here’s how to read “+” and “-” odds.
With “+” odds, you’ll win the amount attached on a $100 wager. For example, McCaffrey is +650. If you wager $100 on this and win, you’ll win $650.
With “-” odds, you must wager that amount to win $100. For example, if McCaffrey was -650, you’d need to wager $650 to win $100.
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