Ja’Marr Chase (1,510 yards) now has a 123-yard cushion on second-place Justin Jefferson (1,387 yards) heading into Week 17
Chase and Jefferson have had comparable performances the last month, with Chase gaining 454 yards to 448 for Jefferson
CeeDee Lamb is in a distant third place with 1,194 yards
Quarterbacks are only as good as their wide receivers and the other guys that catch passes. But the same can be said the other way around: receivers are only as good as their quarterbacks (just ask Tyreek Hill). So—who will lead the league in receiving yards this season?
At this stage of the season, two players have separated from the rest of the pack: Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase and Minnesota Vikings superstar Justin Jefferson. Now, this is not to say no one else can win.
Never say never, right? But for betting purposes, bet365 just has odds for Chase and Jefferson.
Odds courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook. Sign up at bet65 and claim your bonus: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets.
Technically, CeeDee Lamb is still in the running, but he’ll have to have two incredible games down the stretch, with Chase and Jefferson both having quiet ones, for him to take the lead. Do you want to bet money on that happening? I sure don’t.
So, let’s take a look at our last two players with odds:
Week 16 Opponent: vs. Broncos
Week 17 Opponent: @ Steelers
Chase has a nice little cushion on Jefferson (123 yards), but it is not so big that he can afford to slow down too much and still win the receiving title. But even though the Bengals are out of it, we can trust them to pay to win.
Denver has been a decent pass defense this season (219.8 yards per game allowed), but it has been lit up the past three weeks (299.7 yards per game allowed). Pittsburgh has been allowing close to the same (220.7 yards per game this season; 221.3 yards per game in the last three).
Joe Burrow had modest days the last couple of weeks, with 271 and 252 yards. The Broncos held Anthony Richardson and Kirk Cousins under 20o, but they got torched by Jamies Winston for close to 500. I wouldn’t expect that kind of day, but 300+ is likely.
Burrow had 300+ against the Steelers a couple of weeks ago.
I’d expect Burrow to have good outings in both games and if that happens, Chase will, too.
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Week 16 Opponent: vs. Packers
Week 17 Opponent: @ Lions
The deficit is not an impossible one for Jefferson to make up, especially if Chase has big days in his final two games. In Minnesota’s earlier matchups with Green Bay and Detroit, he went for just 85 and 81 yards—that’s not going to cut it.
Detroit has had a solid defense this season, but it is dealing with a lot of injuries, and it got torched for 300+ in two of the last three weeks. Green Bay, on the other hand, has not allowed a defense to go over 300 yards since Trevor Lawrence lit them up for 300+ in Week 8.
He may have a big day against the Lions in Week 17; if they are playing for the division, count on it. However, it is less likely (but not impossible) vs. the Packers. In eight games against the Packers, he has gone for 100+ twice—but they were big days (169 and 184 yards.
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Ja’Marr Chase is the obvious favorite and will more than likely finish the regular season as the receiving yards champ. So, the question here is not who will win but if there is enough value in betting on Chase to risk your hard-earned money.
The answer? Sort of.
There is a chance (be it a small one) that the final two games play out in a fashion that allows Jefferson to make up the deficit. They’ve been neck and neck the last four games (Chase—454 yards; Jefferson-- 448 yards), but Jefferson had more the last two (217 yards to 191).
That’s not enough of a difference, of course, but it shows that it is possible. However, while possible, it is still improbable. But at +1000 odds, a $25 bonus bet could win you $250. If you have a no-sweat bet or another form of bet insurance, it is okay to risk more.
But if you are thinking of betting real cash, don’t.
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The following table contains the player with the most receiving yards going back to 2000. When available, the player’s preseason betting odds to lead the league in receiving yards are included.
Season | Player | Preseason Odds (Favorite) | Total Receiving Yards |
---|---|---|---|
2023 | Tyreek Hill | +950 | 1,799 |
2022 | Justin Jefferson | +800 (F) | 1,809 |
2021 | Cooper Kupp | +3500 | 1,947 |
2020 | Stefon Diggs | +5000 | 1,535 |
2019 | Michael Thomas | +1000 | 1,725 |
2018 | Julio Jones | +400 | 1,677 |
2017 | Antonio Brown | +375 (F) | 1,533 |
2016 | T.Y. Hilton | +2600 | 1,448 |
2015 | Julio Jones | +600 (F) | 1,871 |
2014 | Antonio Brown | +1600 | 1,698 |
2013 | Josh Gordon | Not Listed | 1,646 |
2012 | Calvin Johnson | +300 (F) | 1,964 |
2011 | Calvin Johnson | +800 | 1,681 |
2010 | Brandon Lloyd | Not Listed | 1,448 |
2009 | Andre Johnson | +400 (F) | 1,569 |
2008 | Andre Johnson | NA | 1,575 |
2007 | Reggie Wayne | NA | 1,510 |
2006 | Chad Johnson | NA | 1,369 |
2005 | Steve Smith Sr. | NA | 1,563 |
2004 | Muhsin Muhammad | NA | 1,405 |
2003 | Torry Holy | NA | 1,696 |
2002 | Marvin Harrison | NA | 1,722 |
2001 | David Boston | NA | 1,598 |
2000 | Torry Holy | NA | 1,635 |
The NFL is a perfect time to place bets on different aspects of the game and it is not just the wins and losses that can be bet on. Among other aspects to place bets on are NFL awards like NFL MVP, Coach of the Year, Rookie of the Year, and Comeback Player of the Year. There are also other areas to place bets on such as league passing yards leader or rushing yards leader.
There are plenty of opportunities for bettors to earn some winnings, but finding the best sportsbook is critical for an individual to trust and understand. WSN contains links to understanding how specific sportsbooks work, how to sign up and bet, and even what promo codes are good for the season and how they work.
A good place to start is looking at the best NFL betting sites or the best NFL promo codes selected by the WSN team. The following table contains a quick overview of three of the top sportsbooks:
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Most receiving yards is a futures market. The Odds for each player will consist of a three-digit number preceded by either a + or a – sign. If the odds have a + sign, the odds indicate how much a bettor can win with a $100 wager. But if there’s a – sign, bettors must risk the listed number to win $100.
Let’s review a couple of examples:
CeeDee Lamb has +900 odds entering the 2024 NFL season. If bettors were to put $100 on him before Week 1, and he goes on to lead the league in receiving yards, they’ll win $900.
Wait until Week 16 when he has a nice lead on the rest of his field and has become the betting favorite at -250. Bettors will need to risk $250 to win $100.
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