Most NFL Passing Yards Odds, Predictions, Picks 2024: Lamar Jackson has Fallen Back After a Couple of Lackluster Weeks

• With back-to-back 300+ yard games, Joe Burrow has surged into the lead with 3,706 yards and has a comfortable lead over second-place Geno Smith with 3,474 yards

• Jameis Winston (1,323) and Tua Tagovailoa (1,301) are the only two quarterbacks with 1,300+ passing yards over the last month. Jared Goff is a distant third over the last month with 1,185 yards

• Joe Burrow is the only player in the top ten not playing for a playoff spot or division title

 To win in today’s NFL, teams need to do several things well. But there is one thing they must do well to even have a shot at being a good team—throw the ball. That is why quarterback is the most highly coveted position on the field and why good ones are taken early in the draft.

A quarterback is, of course, only as good as the pass catchers he works with although elite quarterbacks have been known to make mediocre players look good, good players excellent, and excellent players elite.

So, while it may help to have a superstar wide receiver to work with, it isn’t mandatory to lead the league in passing yards.

Lamar Jackson has fallen back after a couple of lackluster weeks, but Joe Burrow has charged ahead with 300+ yards in each of his last four games. While he does have a nice cushion between him and second place, it is fair to wonder if not having anything to play for could impact production down the stretch.

At the same time, could a new contender emerge with a couple of explosive days as that team tries to secure a playoff spot?

We’ll find out soon enough.

NFL Passing Yards Leaders Odds

The following table contains the odds for the top ten players listed on the BetRivers betting board, along with their relevant statistics.  Place your bets at BetRivers and claim the bonus: $100 Bonus Bet.

2024 NFL Passing Yards Leaders

We have seen some ridiculous passing performances this season, both in a good way and in a not-so-good way. Injuries have played a role in how well several offenses have thrown the ball and will continue to do so. However, the most significant factor going forward may be the playoffs.

If a team locks up its seed prior to the final week of the regular season, there is a solid chance the quarterback of that team will not play in the final game. Let’s take a closer look at some of the standout performers from Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season(odds via BetRivers):

Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (-500) at BetRivers

• 33-44 for 369 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 INT

Burrow does have a nice little cushion right now (226 yards). That cushion could come in handy as the Bengals will face the Titans, Browns, Broncos, and Steelers.

Join BetRivers and Get $500 Bonus Bet

Sam Darnold, QB, Minnesota Vikings (+2500) at BetRivers

• 22-28 for 347 yards, 5 TDs

He has been good throughout the season, but last week’s 300+ yards, five-TD day showed he has the potential for greatness. He’ll finish the regular season against the Bears, Seahawks, Packers, and Lions.

Bet on BetRivers Today to Clam $500 Bonus Bet

Kirk Cousins, QB, Atlanta Falcons (+1600) at BetRivers

• 23-37 for 344 yards, 2 INTs

Hope for ATL making the playoffs is fading fast. But with the four teams left on their schedule, Cousins should put up some big numbers down the stretch (vs. Raiders, Giants, Commanders, and Panthers).

If he stops throwing picks and starts throwing touchdown passes, they might even win a few games.

Place Your Bets at BetRivers for $500 Bonus Bet

Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (+25000) at BetRivers

• 22-37 for 342 yards, 3 TDs

With three touchdowns on the ground as well, Allen had an incredible individual game in the loss to the Rams last week. But since there is almost a 700-yard gap between Allen and first place, it is highly unlikely he will lead the league in passing yards this season.

Join BetRivers and Get $500 Bonus Bet

Aaron Rodges, QB, New York Jets N/A

• 27-39 for 339 yards, 1 TD

Rodgers has just under 3,000 passing yards to his name this season. Not that he’d have a chance if the Jets offense was clicking on all cylinders, but with how erratic it’s been all season, it is safe to say he doesn’t stand a chance.

Bet on BetRivers Today to Clam $500 Bonus Bet

Passing Yards Leader for the 2024 NFL Season - My Picks

Favorite - Joe Burrow

Joe and J’Marr are in the zone. Thanks to their shoddy defense, the Bengals will likely be working from behind for much of the remainder of the season. Subsequently, they’ll need Joe Burrow and J/Marr Chase to continue producing at the ridiculous rate they have been.

At this point, the only way he won’t lead the league is if he gets hurt and misses a game or two.

Dark Horse - Baker Mayfield, Kirk Cousins

Even on rare occasions where they run the ball well, Mayfield still puts up close to 300 yards. So, I could see him putting up solid numbers for the remainder of the season. Should Burrow miss a game, Mayfield could have a shot at moving into the lead.

When Cousins is in the zone, he is capable of producing some ridiculous stat lines. Ridiculous enough to overtake Burrow? With the talent at his disposal—absolutely. But with how he’s played over the last month, it is hard to have faith in him.

Long Shot - Lamar Jackson

He’s got a lot of ground to make up for, but with the explosive potential of the Ravens passing game, it would not be shocking to see him make a run.

Register at BetRivers and Grab $500 Bonus Bet

NFL Passing Yards Leaders - History

The following table contains a list of the passing yards leader for each year dating back to the 2000 season with the preseason betting odds for the winner where available along with how the season played out for their team

So, while the rules may favor the passing game, the regular season passing champ has led his team to the Super Bowl six times since the 2000 season, only to win once. Leading the league in passing didn’t even lead to a winning record for six teams nor a playoff berth for ten.

However, 14 teams won 10+ games, seven won 13+, and one had an undefeated regular season (16-0).

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NFL Most Passing Yards Odds

It may sound cliché, but it’s true—all sportsbooks are not created equal. However, just because one seems to be right for your buddy does not mean it’s the right one for you.

So—how do you decide? First, you have to figure out what means most to you in an online sportsbook. Then, we’d suggest taking a look at our sportsbook reviews for an in-depth look at the top sportsbooks in the U.S. market. But you can see a quick comparison of three of the top NFL Betting sites below.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

How to Read NFL Most Passing Yards Odds

Most Passing Yards is a futures market where the odds are listed with either a + or – sign and a three-digit number. The number indicates how much a bettor can win if they were to bet on that particular market.

If there is a – sign in front of the three-digit number, that number is how much a bettor needs to risk in order to win $100. But if there is a plus sign instead, the number indicates how much can be won if bettors risk $100.

Let’s look at a couple of examples:

•  Heading into the season, Patrick Mahomes has +500 odds. Bet $100 on Mahomes to lead the league in passing yards, and if he does, you win $500.

• Let’s say C.J. Stroud has an incredible season and has a healthy cushion on the rest of the league heading into Week 15. His odds are -500. To win $100, bettors would have to risk $500.