To close out the Week 6 NFL slate, we have a battle of two AFC West teams—the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos.
This game isn’t exactly what we had hoped for in the preseason, but it should be better than some of the previous Broncos games.
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It’s been a dreadful start to the season for the Broncos. In Week 5, they scored just nine points, and going back to Week 3; they scored 11.
The offense can’t seem to get on track, but against the Chargers, it has a shot to show some signs of life.
Over their last three games, the Chargers have surrendered an average of 30 points per game to the Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston Texans, and Cleveland Browns. In fact, 38 points went to the Jaguars alone.
The Chargers defense hasn’t been what we had imagined, especially with edge rusher Joey Bosa out for some time.
The secondary, led by safety Derwin James, has holes. Cornerbacks Asante Samuel Jr., J.C. Jackson, and to a lesser extent, Bryce Callahan, haven’t done so well in coverage.
Samuel and Jackson have both allowed over 240 yards receiving and multiple touchdowns.
For the Broncos, they have a secondary that is beatable but can hold its own. Of course, Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert will eventually get something going, but this is a spot for Wilson. His receivers get on track and start scoring some points.
The Chargers cannot put opponents away, and at 4.5 points, that’s just too much for them to overcome with so many issues right now.
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Taking the over here may sound risky after looking at some of the Broncos’ point totals as of late. Still, the Chargers defense doesn’t quite instill that level of fear we had imagined in the preseason.
Wilson, despite his flaws, should still be able to get the ball in the hands of Sutton, someone he frequently targets. Still, should turnovers happen, this will help the over here as both teams face defenses they should score some points against.
The Chargers have Herbert, and though they won’t have wide receiver Keenan Allen, they still have more than solid roster of pass catchers in Mike Williams, Josh Palmer, DeAndre Carter, tight end Gerald Everett, and running back Austin Ekeler.
If the Broncos can’t score outside the teens in this game, it may be time to start thinking about a head coaching change because the Chargers cannot stop anyone.
Take the over with confidence.
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