Week 14 of the NFL season comes to a close with the Arizona Cardinals hosting the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football.
Here, we’ll look at the best bets for this game, looking at the point spread and total.
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The Patriots have scored exactly 10 points in two of their last three games. Those 10-point outings came against the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills, two teams with above-average defenses.
However, on Thanksgiving Day, they put up 26 against the Minnesota Vikings on the road—a team with a relatively poor defense.
Headed out west, the Cardinals' defense is far from a fearsome unit. Still, they’ve been playing better lately, giving up 221 passing and 97 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks.
However, the Patriots' strengths are pass rush, and they have several above-average cornerbacks.
Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray hasn’t been playing exceedingly well. Still, his athleticism will cause headaches for any defensive-minded coach, including Bill Belichick.
Look for the Patriots' pass rush to keep Murray in check and their secondary to flock toward wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins and do their best to contain him.
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There’s potential for this to go over due to Murray/Hopkins and the Cardinals' poor defense overall. However, the Cardinals' defense has been trending in a positive direction. The Patriots' offense is far from a juggernaut, and their primary source of production each week is likely to come from a running back.
For the Cardinals, they have Marquise Brown back. Still, the Patriots' cornerbacks are competent enough to weather the storm of both Brown and Hopkins going off on them.
Also, as mentioned, the Patriots' pass rush is excellent with Josh Uche, Deatrich Wise Jr., and Matthew Judon. Murray is a mobile quarterback, but this pass rush could be enough to throw off the rhythm of the passing game.
We think the Patriots will pull this one out 17-14.
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